MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. Chicago White Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56f40485774ba29b6ebb4068b2fe7e136924f479748839d2430814d234fe950b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago White Soxof Washington Nationals, Chicago White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $319,986
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $327,542
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $319,986 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 260 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Washington Nationals | 47c | 136,830$64,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,283.36 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Chicago White Sox | 53c | 136,052$72,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,944.44 | 505 | 53.5%270 W · 235 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 10,526$4,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,947.4 | 983 | 49.8%490 W · 493 L | -18.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Washington Nationals | 45c | 6,768$3,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,076.7 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…f361backed Chicago White Sox | 78c | 6,004$4,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344.81 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Washington Nationals | 30c | 5,780$1,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,716.81 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 5,272$2,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,091.16 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Chicago White Sox | 39c | 5,179$2,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,157.66 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 3,387$1,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,895.35 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Chicago White Sox | 51c | 3,163$1,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.57 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…fcccbacked Washington Nationals | 37c | 2,442$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Washington Nationals | 24c | 2,406$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.41 | 170 | 14.1%24 W · 146 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed Washington Nationals | 1c | 2,250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 75 | 6.7%5 W · 70 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Washington Nationals | 1c | 2,250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 136 | 5.9%8 W · 128 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Washington Nationals | 1c | 2,250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 83 | 4.8%4 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Chicago White Sox | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 277 | 51.6%143 W · 134 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Chicago White Sox | 56c | 1,998$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.71 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Chicago White Sox | 54c | 1,994$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.35 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Chicago White Sox | 66c | 1,947$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.92 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Washington Nationals | 14c | 1,897$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.6 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf983…7fb3backed Chicago White Sox | 79c | 1,861$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Chicago White Sox | 44c | 1,778$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.73 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Chicago White Sox | 57c | 1,743$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.12 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7b…440fbacked Washington Nationals | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 5.1%2 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Chicago White Sox | 30c | 1,455$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.41 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 1,445$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.62 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Chicago White Sox | 54c | 1,441$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.67 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…bd4fbacked Washington Nationals | 2c | 1,398$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 49 | 8.2%4 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +173.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Chicago White Sox | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Washington Nationals | 1c | 999.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Washington Nationals | 26c | 875.62$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.63 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Chicago White Sox | 53c | 852.62$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.73 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d8…0175backed Washington Nationals | 1c | 850$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Washington Nationals | 23c | 793.84$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.57 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Chicago White Sox | 62c | 788.06$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.46 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 708.81$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.05 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…0e68backed Chicago White Sox | 55c | 635.07$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.81 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc217…8701backed Chicago White Sox | 46c | 632.62$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.92 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 622.81$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.49 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Washington Nationals | 27c | 600.06$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.64 | 1,212 | 50%606 W · 606 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Washington Nationals | 54c | 599.65$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.81 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Washington Nationals | 24c | 598.53$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.65 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Washington Nationals | 27c | 591.17$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.36 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 580.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.58 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Chicago White Sox | 80c | 560.54$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.37 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Washington Nationals | 18c | 558.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.83 | 1,194 | 29%346 W · 848 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Chicago White Sox | 42c | 531.83$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.46 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Chicago White Sox | 53c | 502.57$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.54 | 396 | 40.9%162 W · 234 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Washington Nationals | 38c | 501.1$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.24 | 1,153 | 42.8%494 W · 659 L | -37.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Chicago White Sox | 53c | 499.99$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.99 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Washington Nationals | 21c | 453.62$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.26 | 947 | 34.4%326 W · 621 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Chicago White Sox | 70c | 445.07$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.67 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Washington Nationals | 64c | 436.07$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.3 | 322 | 66.5%214 W · 108 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb7…a0f1backed Chicago White Sox | 52c | 435.17$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.88 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Washington Nationals | 21c | 424.28$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.46 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Chicago White Sox | 53c | 417.87$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.4 | 319 | 49.5%158 W · 161 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…b250backed Chicago White Sox | 30c | 410.25$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.18 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Chicago White Sox | 50c | 389.8$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.02 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Chicago White Sox | 77c | 384.62$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.46 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Washington Nationals | 47c | 360$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.2 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64da…2292backed Washington Nationals | 59c | 329.69$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.51 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Washington Nationals | 69c | 327.13$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.72 | 816 | 57.1%466 W · 350 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Chicago White Sox | 53c | 323$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.81 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Chicago White Sox | 55c | 318.43$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.86 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Washington Nationals | 57c | 318.11$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.77 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…90c0backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 315.76$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.41 | 282 | 44.7%126 W · 156 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Washington Nationals | 54c | 314.69$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.5 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Chicago White Sox | 33c | 311.08$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.7 | 1,139 | 42.7%486 W · 653 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 310.59$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.4 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Washington Nationals | 15c | 303.04$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.04 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Chicago White Sox | 41c | 302.24$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.91 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x941f…58ecbacked Chicago White Sox | 64c | 299.72$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.79 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…a35ebacked Chicago White Sox | 44c | 297.11$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.9 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 290.46$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.52 | 406 | 45.1%183 W · 223 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Washington Nationals | 61c | 264.75$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.24 | 371 | 43.9%163 W · 208 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Chicago White Sox | 37c | 262.08$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.92 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 262.03$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.86 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Chicago White Sox | 53c | 234.32$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.13 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Chicago White Sox | 53c | 230.04$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.06 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Chicago White Sox | 53c | 229.2$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.72 | 218 | 56%122 W · 96 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Chicago White Sox | 73c | 226.69$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.24 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Chicago White Sox | 53c | 226$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.22 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Chicago White Sox | 54c | 219.69$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.06 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Washington Nationals | 48c | 208.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.51 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4b…bb93backed Washington Nationals | 60c | 206.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 120 | 21.7%26 W · 94 L | -25.1wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Washington Nationals | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 354 | 46%163 W · 191 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Chicago White Sox | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 770 | 52.1%401 W · 369 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Washington Nationals | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 415 | 49.2%204 W · 211 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Chicago White Sox | 53c | 199.97$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.99 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Washington Nationals | 33c | 196.11$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.69 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 195.75$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.44 | 2,588 | 61.5%1,591 W · 997 L | +72.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Washington Nationals | 47c | 193.64$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.01 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…6a1bbacked Washington Nationals | 47c | 193.64$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.01 | 363 | 45.7%166 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 190$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.4 | 1,418 | 43.4%616 W · 802 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Chicago White Sox | 54c | 189.62$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.22 | 785 | 50.2%394 W · 391 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 185.4$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.14 | 379 | 41.2%156 W · 223 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…08bbbacked Washington Nationals | 73c | 181.5$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 387 | 68.5%265 W · 122 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf2…a2fabacked Chicago White Sox | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…90a8backed Washington Nationals | 69c | 177.83$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.7 | 172 | 52.9%91 W · 81 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea0…865dbacked Chicago White Sox | 54c | 167.47$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.04 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. Chicago White Soxthis page
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Washington Nationals vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Chicago White SoxNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.