TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Wisconsin Badgers vs. Michigan Wolverines

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Michigan Wolverinesof Wisconsin Badgers, Michigan Wolverines
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$494,182

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $494,182 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xabb8…bba3backed Michigan Wolverines47c11,928$5,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,373.0624351.4%125 W · 118 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Wisconsin Badgers22c11,353$2,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,539.6346246.5%215 W · 247 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Wisconsin Badgers12c8,261$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.34146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d2…cc46backed Wisconsin Badgers26c7,724$1,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,986.632729.6%8 W · 19 L-4.0wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-40.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Wisconsin Badgers14c7,601$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080.2941752.5%219 W · 198 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Michigan Wolverines78c7,191$5,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,561.8831837.7%120 W · 198 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Michigan Wolverines79c5,234$4,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,112.6518954.5%103 W · 86 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Michigan Wolverines73c3,977$2,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,070.2734943.3%151 W · 198 L-15.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Wisconsin Badgers14c3,497$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.8614325.9%37 W · 106 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Michigan Wolverines71c3,251$2,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948.0218548.6%90 W · 95 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Wisconsin Badgers30c3,092$916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.865,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Wisconsin Badgers40c2,438$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.884,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ab5…ff12backed Wisconsin Badgers10c2,182$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.168130.9%25 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Wisconsin Badgers38c2,090$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.7512230.3%37 W · 85 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Wisconsin Badgers14c1,835$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.977727.3%21 W · 56 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Wisconsin Badgers54c1,604$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.5326945.7%123 W · 146 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Michigan Wolverines80c1,572$1,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.755,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Wisconsin Badgers16c1,443$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.0325130.7%77 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec15…9b0cbacked Wisconsin Badgers9c1,365$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.3211741.9%49 W · 68 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0df…7408backed Wisconsin Badgers1c1,333$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Wisconsin Badgers13c1,235$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.674152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7551…b6b1backed Wisconsin Badgers13c1,071$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.94425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f70…9f21backed Wisconsin Badgers23c1,044$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.022642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Wisconsin Badgers45c944.28$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.911,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Michigan Wolverines72c897.35$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.191,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Michigan Wolverines74c888$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.8831646.8%148 W · 168 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Wisconsin Badgers15c870.3$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.543435.3%12 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed Wisconsin Badgers14c865.57$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.7914027.1%38 W · 102 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Wisconsin Badgers22c816.08$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.6411439.5%45 W · 69 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cbe…1c79backed Wisconsin Badgers13c766.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick48cpaid-72.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d6f…7135backed Wisconsin Badgers26c743.26$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.254047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x985f…7a5bbacked Michigan Wolverines74c743.23$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.249051.1%46 W · 44 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4729…8cfdbacked Wisconsin Badgers3c711.72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.933540%14 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-25.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Wisconsin Badgers24c699.97$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.992965.5%19 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Michigan Wolverines60c666.09$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.0325246.4%117 W · 135 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Wisconsin Badgers13c630.9$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.681157%8 W · 107 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-57.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e09…1088backed Wisconsin Badgers52c581.41$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.341136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Wisconsin Badgers41c487.05$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.573,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Wisconsin Badgers24c455.41$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.31,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Michigan Wolverines61c452.67$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.959448.9%46 W · 48 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaee6…48c6backed Wisconsin Badgers19c452.39$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.53825%2 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Wisconsin Badgers4c446.02$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.83993.3%13 W · 386 L-21.0wins-0.05per pick9cpaid-89.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Wisconsin Badgers20c402.56$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.0125829.5%76 W · 182 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Wisconsin Badgers13c399.74$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4637246.2%172 W · 200 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd5…8afbbacked Michigan Wolverines50c396.5$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.831421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick35cpaid-65.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1667…4806backed Wisconsin Badgers55c382.56$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.1520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Michigan Wolverines58c372.08$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.832,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x843c…cfaebacked Wisconsin Badgers16c338.3$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.342347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cea…b12dbacked Wisconsin Badgers27c333.65$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.426023.3%14 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-32.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2849…3d49backed Wisconsin Badgers29c331.93$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.792568%17 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf5f…56a0backed Wisconsin Badgers19c320.06$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.654334.9%15 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Wisconsin Badgers33c302.4$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2235338.5%136 W · 217 L-18.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Wisconsin Badgers13c299.87$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.981,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Wisconsin Badgers14c285.79$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.363,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Wisconsin Badgers31c278.4$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.4377142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Michigan Wolverines45c274.6$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.3372248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd454…b47fbacked Wisconsin Badgers11c266.31$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0121850.9%111 W · 107 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Michigan Wolverines65c257.64$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.5346446.8%217 W · 247 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf8e…0f12backed Michigan Wolverines77c231.69$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.75757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+21.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2a4…caf5backed Wisconsin Badgers13c229.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.887020%14 W · 56 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Wisconsin Badgers12c227.27$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.261,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a2b…c97cbacked Michigan Wolverines53c208.55$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.776357.1%36 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Wisconsin Badgers22c203.55$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.861,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x191a…b47dbacked Wisconsin Badgers5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.250%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Michigan Wolverines65c199.99$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.591,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Wisconsin Badgers14c199.06$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8538837.6%146 W · 242 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa54e…97bcbacked Wisconsin Badgers27c198.61$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.271315.4%2 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.23per pick38cpaid-79.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Wisconsin Badgers20c194.12$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7715559.4%92 W · 63 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x60d7…e874backed Wisconsin Badgers9c192.6$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98a5…a6edbacked Wisconsin Badgers13c191.78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.932828.6%8 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-41.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Wisconsin Badgers26c189.32$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2622050.5%111 W · 109 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x938e…9b66backed Wisconsin Badgers14c177.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.893764.9%24 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xceb7…8b33backed Michigan Wolverines76c171.82$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.249554.7%52 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked Michigan Wolverines76c171.82$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2410553.3%56 W · 49 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Michigan Wolverines76c171.82$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.247553.3%40 W · 35 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…4638backed Michigan Wolverines76c171.82$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.245152.9%27 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe96b…eb54backed Wisconsin Badgers25c166.94$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.731323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa081…77e6backed Wisconsin Badgers13c158.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.929454.3%51 W · 43 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x804c…7846backed Wisconsin Badgers13c153.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.924032.5%13 W · 27 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x99d9…7db4backed Michigan Wolverines48c144.65$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.261973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+30.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb500…426fbacked Wisconsin Badgers14c142.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.925759.6%34 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ec7…1e38backed Wisconsin Badgers42c135.73$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.835933.9%20 W · 39 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdddc…ced2backed Wisconsin Badgers21c131.94$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.717839.7%31 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Wisconsin Badgers15c127.74$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4430054%162 W · 138 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b42…62afbacked Michigan Wolverines44c126.2$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.8814459%85 W · 59 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6212…4eb3backed Wisconsin Badgers12c112$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.446936.2%25 W · 44 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa61b…6559backed Wisconsin Badgers12c109.6$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.452536%9 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Wisconsin Badgers13c107.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0462140.4%251 W · 370 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Wisconsin Badgers13c100.31$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.982,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce4d…ade4backed Wisconsin Badgers13c99.68$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.96137.7%1 W · 12 L-4.6wins-0.35per pick43cpaid-85.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x2097…8b03backed Wisconsin Badgers13c99.6$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.956030%18 W · 42 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x708f…b2fabacked Wisconsin Badgers24c99.36$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.85333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76bb…4548backed Wisconsin Badgers20c97.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.882548%12 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc62e…108dbacked Wisconsin Badgers13c97.08$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6210638.7%41 W · 65 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x686e…3415backed Wisconsin Badgers42c94.19$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.361241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x290e…0783backed Wisconsin Badgers21c89.7$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.22240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Wisconsin Badgers13c88.61$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1264647.5%307 W · 339 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Wisconsin Badgers21c88.44$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.451,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x0b90…3d27backed Wisconsin Badgers13c85.43$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1117122.8%39 W · 132 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe894…514abacked Wisconsin Badgers22c84.28$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.44333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.