TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-12.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Wisconsin Badgersof Michigan Wolverines, Wisconsin Badgers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$250,300

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $250,300 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xabb8…bba3backed Michigan Wolverines49c194,764$95,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95,747.2324351.4%125 W · 118 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Wisconsin Badgers50c31,240$15,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,688.9339454.6%215 W · 179 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wisconsin Badgers49c29,879$14,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,202.0890645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Wisconsin Badgers46c28,541$13,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,297.964146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Wisconsin Badgers58c20,476$11,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,597.15,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Wisconsin Badgers48c18,598$9,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,587.7212,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd36…6ec9backed Wisconsin Badgers47c10,488$4,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,558.515752.6%30 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb2f…eca9backed Michigan Wolverines47c10,485$4,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,939.9411652.6%61 W · 55 L+7.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Wisconsin Badgers47c10,408$4,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,516.4884147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Wisconsin Badgers47c9,545$4,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,058.8813746.7%64 W · 73 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Wisconsin Badgers47c7,211$3,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,821.6174152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8aba…4961backed Wisconsin Badgers60c7,025$4,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,810.062334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-32.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Wisconsin Badgers65c6,388$4,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,235.6517742.9%76 W · 101 L+0.8wins0.00per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Wisconsin Badgers47c5,050$2,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,660.2527755.2%153 W · 124 L+19.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfc38…1e98backed Michigan Wolverines54c4,954$2,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,675.194654.3%25 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wisconsin Badgers47c4,536$2,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,382.62,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Wisconsin Badgers48c4,088$1,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,125.751,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Wisconsin Badgers48c3,589$1,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,875.781,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Wisconsin Badgers65c3,263$2,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,141.754,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Wisconsin Badgers80c3,222$2,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.371,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Michigan Wolverines51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02027947.3%132 W · 147 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Wisconsin Badgers63c1,868$1,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.983,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Wisconsin Badgers47c1,809$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.981,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Michigan Wolverines49c1,793$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878.7515850%79 W · 79 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Michigan Wolverines48c1,550$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.115858.2%92 W · 66 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Michigan Wolverines51c1,483$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.55044%22 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbddc…83b9backed Michigan Wolverines51c1,473$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.377048.6%34 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Wisconsin Badgers46c1,020$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.15,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Wisconsin Badgers60c991.6$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.6415356.2%86 W · 67 L+14.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+27.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d6f…7135backed Wisconsin Badgers54c709.91$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.944047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Wisconsin Badgers59c619.73$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.052,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b42…62afbacked Wisconsin Badgers60c541.12$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.6114459%85 W · 59 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Wisconsin Badgers48c537.27$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.4163551.5%327 W · 308 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Wisconsin Badgers48c516.28$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.475545.5%25 W · 30 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Michigan Wolverines45c515.95$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.782,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Michigan Wolverines47c507.92$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.261,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x59a8…eb4ebacked Wisconsin Badgers50c505.54$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.7710150.5%51 W · 50 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Wisconsin Badgers49c499.99$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25591848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Wisconsin Badgers50c497.73$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.9225130.7%77 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a61…1787backed Wisconsin Badgers52c465.88$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.6216445.1%74 W · 90 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Wisconsin Badgers56c454.15$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.7664647.5%307 W · 339 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4e2…5ec0backed Wisconsin Badgers50c399.2$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.61338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e64…89c3backed Michigan Wolverines51c388.73$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.254551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81e4…648fbacked Michigan Wolverines50c291.01$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.511936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Wisconsin Badgers48c289.12$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.341,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf48d…fe48backed Michigan Wolverines52c287.47$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.4812649.2%62 W · 64 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0643…d46bbacked Wisconsin Badgers50c244.01$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.079348.4%45 W · 48 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-16.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xec14…7fafbacked Wisconsin Badgers47c210.91$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.784837.5%18 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Wisconsin Badgers47c210.91$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.7834746.1%160 W · 187 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Wisconsin Badgers48c206.51$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.3983350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Michigan Wolverines50c206.18$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.9578052.2%407 W · 373 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb98e…8823backed Wisconsin Badgers49c202.3$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.1714447.2%68 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x011c…0b37backed Wisconsin Badgers48c201.12$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.58450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Wisconsin Badgers80c198.88$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.784353.5%23 W · 20 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Wisconsin Badgers48c197.35$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.553,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0ba…8497backed Wisconsin Badgers51c194.36$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.246048.3%29 W · 31 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Wisconsin Badgers65c160.44$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.1515551.6%80 W · 75 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Wisconsin Badgers71c154.97$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.7115559.4%92 W · 63 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2442…0c2bbacked Wisconsin Badgers51c145.77$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.4314051.4%72 W · 68 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6859…fb90backed Wisconsin Badgers48c142.49$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.112749.6%63 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa097…fba7backed Wisconsin Badgers50c138.78$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.399148.4%44 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Wisconsin Badgers61c128.87$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9660954.5%332 W · 277 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Wisconsin Badgers48c126.97$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.5229650.7%150 W · 146 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed Wisconsin Badgers49c120.6$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.5122950.7%116 W · 113 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Wisconsin Badgers47c120.08$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.3930054%162 W · 138 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Wisconsin Badgers58c117.77$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4684854.5%462 W · 386 L+32.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4855…6a41backed Wisconsin Badgers47c105.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.8932652.8%172 W · 154 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0e8…7042backed Wisconsin Badgers47c105.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.892045%9 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Michigan Wolverines51c102.46$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2522047.7%105 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x35f9…e09dbacked Wisconsin Badgers51c101.19$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.586235.5%22 W · 40 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-28%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Wisconsin Badgers49c99.13$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.5562451.1%319 W · 305 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9386…cfe5backed Wisconsin Badgers51c99.13$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.574050%20 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Michigan Wolverines42c95.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.441,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5425…f968backed Wisconsin Badgers52c95.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.944042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f34…94d0backed Wisconsin Badgers52c95.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.7511654.3%63 W · 53 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81f3…1f2abacked Michigan Wolverines51c91.78$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.816446.9%30 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Wisconsin Badgers65c86.46$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8633445.5%152 W · 182 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Wisconsin Badgers48c83.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3362140.4%251 W · 370 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed Michigan Wolverines53c75.1$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.559259.8%55 W · 37 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Michigan Wolverines53c75.1$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.55540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Wisconsin Badgers50c69.39$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6913050%65 W · 65 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Wisconsin Badgers58c64.13$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.130652%159 W · 147 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf25a…d724backed Wisconsin Badgers47c63.27$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Wisconsin Badgers47c61.48$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7535338.5%136 W · 217 L-18.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Wisconsin Badgers47c61.47$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5816650%83 W · 83 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Wisconsin Badgers51c59.99$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.440849.8%203 W · 205 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Michigan Wolverines52c59.48$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9313447%63 W · 71 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d94…954ebacked Michigan Wolverines51c58.31$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.742564%16 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+22.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Michigan Wolverines36c57.08$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.691,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x24a1…3d34backed Wisconsin Badgers48c56.36$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.311963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+26.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0b56…c7bebacked Wisconsin Badgers50c52.88$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.254447.7%21 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-22.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x18ed…04cbbacked Michigan Wolverines57c50.26$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.655149%25 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda0d…7132backed Wisconsin Badgers49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.52166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Wisconsin Badgers51c49.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.291,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x843c…cfaebacked Wisconsin Badgers51c48.59$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.812347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x396a…f2ffbacked Michigan Wolverines54c45.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.782147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Michigan Wolverines51c43.7$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2831448.7%153 W · 161 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf28f…6d18backed Wisconsin Badgers70c42.49$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.71560%9 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f15…0ce5backed Wisconsin Badgers50c41.25$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.62862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Michigan Wolverines50c40.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1246246.5%215 W · 247 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.