TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc0ba…8497

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
151
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst UFC at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT6048.3%29 W · 31 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$50.91
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+86.5%+$951.16
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.4
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-5.5)backed Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.2
Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-6.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$60.58
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-5.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$99.13
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$347Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$148.9
Will Iowa State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-3.5)backed Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.69
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.62
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.57
Will St. John's win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-9.5)backed Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.69
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-6.5)backed St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51.59
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.89
Will Houston win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$71
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-7.5)backed Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.69
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.31
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.57
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-6.5)backed Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.57
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$37.59
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-1.5)backed Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+119.2%+$17.73
Will Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST3839.5%15 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Ole Miss win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Georgia (-6.5)backed Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Indiana (-6.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+78.6%+$39.29
O/U 48.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+96.1%+$28.82
Spread: Oregon (-2.5)backed Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+104.1%+$104.08
Spread: Oregon (-1.5)backed Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+96.1%+$192.16
New Mexico vs. Minnesotabacked New Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$75
California vs. Hawaiibacked Hawaii · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+96.1%+$96.08
Alabama vs. Oklahomabacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Old Dominion vs. South Floridabacked South Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Julian Sayin win the Heisman Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Will Fernando Mendoza win the Heisman Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+244.9%+$171.41
Will Dante Moore win the Heisman Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$34
Will Carson Beck win the Heisman Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Will Ty Simpson win the Heisman Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Duke vs. Virginiabacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+163.2%+$32.63
Spread: Ohio State (-4.5)backed Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100
North Texas vs. Tulanebacked North Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Notre Dame (-32.5)backed Notre Dame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Spread: SMU Mustangs (-13.5)backed SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Alabama (-6.5)backed Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+88.7%+$26.6
Spread: Alabama (-5.5)backed Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+88.7%+$31.04
Spread: Tennessee (-2.5)backed Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick39cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$241.9
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$270.83
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+218.4%+$61.81
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+105.2%+$105.24
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Spread: Warriors (-7.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+88.7%+$88.68
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+85.2%+$85.19
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+51.5%+$51.52
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+75.4%+$37.72
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
All 13 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+96.1%+$276.85
Will Josh Allen win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$47.28
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Ravens vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$65
Texans vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$64.74
Broncos vs. Chiefs: O/U 36.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Broncos (-13.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+316.7%+$63.33
Spread: Cowboys (-8.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Packers vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+122.2%+$42.78
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+93.5%+$46.73
All 11 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-36.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Caio Borralho · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+51.5%+$25.76
UFC 326: Michael Johnson vs. Drew Dober (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Michael Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$25
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$25
UFC 326: Gregory Rodrigues vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Gregory Rodrigues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+66.7%+$16.67
UFC 326: Cody Garbrandt vs. Xiao Long (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Xiao Long · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$40
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
UFC 326: Ricky Turcios vs. Alberto Montes (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Alberto Montes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+56.3%+$28.13
UFC 326: Sumudaerji vs. Jesus Aguilar (Flyweight, Early Prelims)backed Sumudaerji · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$25.57
UFC 326: Diyar Nurgozhay vs. Rafael Tobias (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Rafael Tobias · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+244.8%+$84.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Scroll airdrop by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2024, EDT+38.9%+$50.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthony Joshua win by KO/TKO/DQ?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+35.1%+$29.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Diddy be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.