College Football · resolved market
Duke vs. Virginia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbcb4a58ebaa239ab6dc2a86ab1b9a11b8dbf27b15e911d6686893168a1bdbe63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dukeof Duke, Virginia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,457,330
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,436,610
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,457,330 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 432 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Duke | 41c | 274,142$112,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161,790.9 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Virginia | 63c | 68,907$43,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,407.99 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Virginia | 54c | 59,930$32,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,544.47 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Duke | 42c | 49,825$21,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,715.47 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Virginia | 63c | 47,918$30,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,145.06 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2232…f6fabacked Virginia | 63c | 40,938$25,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,601.89 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Duke | 39c | 39,999$15,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,399.37 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Virginia | 63c | 39,562$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Duke | 38c | 39,090$14,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,235.73 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e6…1dc2backed Virginia | 63c | 36,508$23,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,000 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Virginia | 26c | 34,885$8,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,928.5 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e2…667fbacked Virginia | 62c | 30,451$18,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,879.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Virginia | 50c | 29,010$14,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,370.85 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Virginia | 41c | 28,724$11,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,819.05 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Virginia | 61c | 27,504$16,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,777.44 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Virginia | 63c | 25,000$15,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,750 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Virginia | 62c | 24,483$15,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,097.89 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Virginia | 63c | 23,049$14,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,465.04 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Virginia | 37c | 22,542$8,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,241.51 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x569e…4175backed Virginia | 63c | 17,968$11,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,320 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Duke | 37c | 15,000$5,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,450 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed Duke | 64c | 13,912$8,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,002.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6f…89b9backed Duke | 37c | 12,000$4,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,559.99 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked Virginia | 43c | 11,500$4,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,945 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Duke | 67c | 11,417$7,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,791.17 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Duke | 38c | 10,886$4,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,788.93 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Duke | 56c | 10,588$5,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,614.5 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Virginia | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,399.99 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Virginia | 6c | 9,978$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.85 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Duke | 61c | 9,138$5,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,598.97 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Virginia | 1c | 9,078$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.6 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2f…3794backed Virginia | 7c | 8,648$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.6 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c52…ff83backed Virginia | 1c | 7,780$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.13 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Virginia | 62c | 7,238$4,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,487.8 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e8…8540backed Virginia | 29c | 6,374$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…abddbacked Virginia | 38c | 6,000$2,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,268.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8768…dd9bbacked Virginia | 63c | 6,000$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,780 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b6…efecbacked Virginia | 51c | 5,990$3,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,030.45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc62a…c2c7backed Duke | 37c | 5,897$2,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,715.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +174%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Duke | 37c | 5,835$2,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,658.15 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Duke | 37c | 5,740$2,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,616.07 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Duke | 79c | 5,671$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.54 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Duke | 36c | 5,555$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,555.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Virginia | 1c | 5,519$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Duke | 50c | 5,079$2,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,537.21 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Duke | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Virginia | 53c | 5,000$2,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,669.06 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Duke | 38c | 4,780$1,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,963.5 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Virginia | 33c | 4,761$1,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,585.54 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed Virginia | 38c | 4,640$1,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,775 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd570…3b72backed Duke | 38c | 4,300$1,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,666 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Duke | 57c | 4,157$2,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,807.89 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4954…23d6backed Duke | 38c | 4,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,480 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Virginia | 63c | 3,968$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…fb60backed Duke | 55c | 3,949$2,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,758.6 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 68cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeec0…34c8backed Virginia | 63c | 3,802$2,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,395 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Virginia | 62c | 3,670$2,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,275.56 | 213 | 48.8%104 W · 109 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Virginia | 4c | 3,493$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.8 | 86 | 29.1%25 W · 61 L | +15.2wins | +0.18per pick | 11cpaid | +361.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Duke | 36c | 3,230$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,067.33 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…7bf8backed Virginia | 62c | 3,150$1,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,953 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…082abacked Virginia | 62c | 3,044$1,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,887.13 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 70cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Duke | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Virginia | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfc…0085backed Virginia | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Duke | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x723f…c7d3backed Virginia | 63c | 2,800$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,764 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Virginia | 63c | 2,698$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Duke | 38c | 2,500$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4124…3291backed Virginia | 63c | 2,500$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Duke | 73c | 2,452$1,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.87 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Duke | 69c | 2,315$1,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.78 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Duke | 44c | 2,202$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.93 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Duke | 37c | 2,159$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.09 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Virginia | 62c | 2,086$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.32 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Virginia | 25c | 2,037$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.28 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Duke | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Virginia | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…9390backed Duke | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Virginia | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Virginia | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7546…3a91backed Virginia | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.7 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…75c1backed Virginia | 55c | 1,989$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.41 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…bc81backed Virginia | 51c | 1,963$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2195…16f9backed Duke | 37c | 1,892$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.89 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce4f…ceaabacked Virginia | 11c | 1,867$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23b1…6d0bbacked Virginia | 63c | 1,746$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Duke | 38c | 1,741$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.15 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7e…08fdbacked Virginia | 30c | 1,684$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0b…9f41backed Duke | 70c | 1,676$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.95 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked Duke | 39c | 1,641$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.03 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Virginia | 1c | 1,613$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Virginia | 35c | 1,392$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.86 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Duke | 72c | 1,388$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Virginia | 11c | 1,341$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.95 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Duke | 38c | 1,308$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.59 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked Duke | 73c | 1,296$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.44 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Virginia | 61c | 1,268$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.48 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Virginia | 62c | 1,258$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Duke | 60c | 1,239$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.14 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Duke | 37c | 1,224$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.12 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Duke vs. Virginiathis page
- Duke vs. Virginia: 1H MoneylineDuke won
- Duke vs. Virginia: O/U 58.5Under won
- O/U 57.5Under won
- Spread: Virginia (-3.5)Duke won
- Spread: Virginia (-3.5)Duke won
- Spread: Virginia (-4.5)Duke won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.