College Football · resolved market
O/U 57.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe73598bf1c39eb1fca907822ade3889d52a4e2b76d5d0a3645c00888f91fc0dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,080
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,421
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,080 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Under | 48c | 6,250$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Over | 54c | 2,222$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Over | 52c | 2,136$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.71 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 1,719$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.13 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d9…870ebacked Over | 54c | 1,492$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.03 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 1c | 1,147$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 46c | 498.88$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.94 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Under | 45c | 441.76$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.97 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 43c | 415.71$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.99 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Over | 54c | 259.26$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Under | 67c | 200$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 60c | 171$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.82 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Under | 47c | 129.28$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.52 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3475…eea8backed Under | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc6…6043backed Under | 48c | 102.4$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 52c | 75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 176 | 55.1%97 W · 79 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 65c | 72$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.14 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa221…5b1fbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.32per pick | 45cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 60c | 38.09$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4de…b91ebacked Under | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5485…231cbacked Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a38…7446backed Over | 51c | 27.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 244 | 36.9%90 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c1…60c2backed Over | 55c | 18.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O/U 57.5this page
- Duke vs. VirginiaDuke won
- Duke vs. Virginia: 1H MoneylineDuke won
- Duke vs. Virginia: O/U 58.5Under won
- Spread: Virginia (-3.5)Duke won
- Spread: Virginia (-3.5)Duke won
- Spread: Virginia (-4.5)Duke won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.