College Football · resolved market
Spread: Virginia (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c3e010fb9ac1679ab6ac1e82d90187d077a2df21841651a33c85186aeb73abb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dukeof Virginia, Duke
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $409,212
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $408,381
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $409,212 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Duke | 50c | 203,397$101,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101,888.83 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Duke | 50c | 127,638$64,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,519.5 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Virginia | 50c | 125,183$62,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,339.53 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Virginia | 50c | 116,064$58,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,161.54 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Virginia | 50c | 42,000$21,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,000 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Virginia | 50c | 30,576$15,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,287.97 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Duke | 50c | 30,000$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,000 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Virginia | 50c | 23,326$11,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,718.52 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Duke | 50c | 14,000$6,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,019.4 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Duke | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06fd…c0bebacked Virginia | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Virginia | 50c | 9,857$4,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,879 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Virginia | 50c | 6,574$3,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,281.02 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Virginia | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Duke | 49c | 5,000$2,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,530 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Virginia | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…1795backed Duke | 50c | 3,560$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,780 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Virginia | 51c | 3,500$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…8ae8backed Virginia | 50c | 3,360$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Virginia | 51c | 3,333$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.83 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Virginia | 50c | 2,464$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.5 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Duke | 49c | 2,327$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.77 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d9…717bbacked Duke | 50c | 2,131$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +35%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c81…fce3backed Duke | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Virginia | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc7…cf77backed Virginia | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Virginia | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Virginia | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Duke | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Virginia | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Virginia | 32c | 782$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…1d86backed Virginia | 52c | 752$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.45 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…5909backed Virginia | 50c | 700$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Virginia | 50c | 650$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Duke | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Virginia | 2c | 566$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 86 | 29.1%25 W · 61 L | +15.2wins | +0.18per pick | 11cpaid | +361.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Virginia | 49c | 512.72$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.23 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Duke | 51c | 512.72$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.23 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd368…1889backed Virginia | 50c | 511$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.5 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed Virginia | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…d16cbacked Virginia | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 174 | 50%87 W · 87 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Duke | 48c | 453.17$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.65 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Virginia | 50c | 450$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Virginia | 51c | 390$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.9 | 209 | 50.2%105 W · 104 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff9…ce7abacked Virginia | 50c | 320$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Duke | 49c | 294$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.94 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Virginia | 51c | 274.51$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…532bbacked Duke | 51c | 269.02$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.44 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…9aa6backed Virginia | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2f38backed Virginia | 50c | 230.01$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.01 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Virginia | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf2…d360backed Virginia | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Virginia | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…129ebacked Virginia | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f20…87c9backed Virginia | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Virginia | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Virginia | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf48d…fe48backed Duke | 50c | 180$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Virginia | 50c | 170$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb01…603fbacked Duke | 50c | 156$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f79…c16cbacked Virginia | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8a…b155backed Virginia | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Virginia | 30c | 133.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Virginia | 35c | 125.52$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Virginia | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 134 | 32.8%44 W · 90 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Virginia | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9386…cfe5backed Virginia | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Duke | 51c | 90$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Duke | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2246…5bccbacked Virginia | 50c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Duke | 51c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Duke | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Duke | 50c | 52.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.08 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Virginia | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 241 | 57.3%138 W · 103 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f8…79a8backed Duke | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.18 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd64…c090backed Virginia | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3d…d3e6backed Duke | 50c | 49.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x417d…62c7backed Duke | 51c | 48.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb461…d24abacked Duke | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0edb…8260backed Virginia | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3914…2103backed Virginia | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ea…a0f8backed Virginia | 50c | 39.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36e9…9c03backed Duke | 51c | 38.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Virginia | 52c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c1…416abacked Virginia | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d15…6914backed Duke | 51c | 29.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd043…a007backed Virginia | 51c | 29.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa221…5b1fbacked Duke | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.32per pick | 45cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Virginia | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Duke | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Virginia | 50c | 25.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6b…d720backed Virginia | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…8cbcbacked Duke | 51c | 21.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…fba2backed Virginia | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Duke | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…2afcbacked Virginia | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976c…7634backed Virginia | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Virginia (-3.5)this page
- Duke vs. VirginiaDuke won
- Duke vs. Virginia: 1H MoneylineDuke won
- Duke vs. Virginia: O/U 58.5Under won
- O/U 57.5Under won
- Spread: Virginia (-3.5)Duke won
- Spread: Virginia (-4.5)Duke won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.