UFC · resolved market

UFC 326: Michael Johnson vs. Drew Dober (Lightweight, Main Card)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b1068613f56ef6c682764ca182f41a2ef2e40cd939bc525aaabdc3a33812cc2

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Drew Doberof Michael Johnson, Drew Dober
Resolved: Mar 8, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,267,507

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,267,507 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 788 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in UFC
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6a72…33eebacked Michael Johnson	43c	450,000$195,388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195,387.92	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.25per pick	58cpaid	-44%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Michael Johnson	38c	199,422$75,032 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75,031.84	38	42.1%16 W · 22 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Michael Johnson	45c	83,319$37,115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37,114.53	51	52.9%27 W · 24 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Drew Dober	55c	79,525$44,064 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35,461.3	201	39.8%80 W · 121 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Drew Dober	51c	71,097$36,568 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34,529.13	56	55.4%31 W · 25 L	+5.3wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Drew Dober	56c	65,547$36,678 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28,868.56	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-2.6wins	-0.15per pick	42cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Drew Dober	60c	48,590$29,318 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,271.31	371	52.8%196 W · 175 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Drew Dober	60c	45,512$27,339 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,173.81	34	55.9%19 W · 15 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Drew Dober	63c	40,927$25,916 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,011.2	115	58.3%67 W · 48 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Drew Dober	56c	39,866$22,377 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,488.95	72	51.4%37 W · 35 L	+7.0wins	+0.10per pick	42cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Michael Johnson	38c	38,989$14,666 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,666.32	195	44.6%87 W · 108 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Michael Johnson	36c	38,729$14,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,079.95	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Drew Dober	62c	38,670$24,005 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,665.35	145	30.3%44 W · 101 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160d…5295backed Michael Johnson	46c	33,813$15,620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,619.79	74	52.7%39 W · 35 L	+5.1wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Drew Dober	55c	31,806$17,468 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,338.78	274	48.2%132 W · 142 L	+12.7wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe749…f660backed Drew Dober	57c	31,781$18,130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,650.96	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad2b…f091backed Drew Dober	64c	31,038$19,871 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,166.95	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.7wins	+0.35per pick	45cpaid	+66.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Drew Dober	48c	29,840$14,195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,644.97	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Drew Dober	58c	28,982$16,948 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,033.89	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Drew Dober	56c	27,583$15,520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,062.98	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Michael Johnson	37c	27,000$9,990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,990	25	60%15 W · 10 L	+2.5wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+26.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Michael Johnson	41c	25,975$10,767 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,766.9	50	50%25 W · 25 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Drew Dober	54c	22,715$12,266 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,448.69	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Michael Johnson	46c	22,690$10,360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,360.5	60	45%27 W · 33 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Drew Dober	60c	22,604$13,528 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,075.8	100	35%35 W · 65 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Michael Johnson	41c	22,029$9,011 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,011.46	40	42.5%17 W · 23 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58ae…5be9backed Drew Dober	65c	21,170$13,857 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,312.51	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.16per pick	66cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Drew Dober	62c	20,650$12,803 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,847	62	38.7%24 W · 38 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Drew Dober	61c	20,557$12,569 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,988.32	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	-3.4wins	-0.12per pick	61cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7966…6f94backed Michael Johnson	51c	20,000$10,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,149.95	72	38.9%28 W · 44 L	-5.6wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc2c1…9fe2backed Drew Dober	55c	18,000$9,923 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,076.69	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Drew Dober	62c	17,700$10,974 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,726	75	34.7%26 W · 49 L	-4.4wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Drew Dober	60c	15,424$9,276 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,147.65	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Drew Dober	56c	14,927$8,303 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,623.78	145	51%74 W · 71 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4762…ba70backed Drew Dober	61c	14,357$8,760 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,597.14	49	46.9%23 W · 26 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb49…1fbebacked Drew Dober	60c	14,212$8,514 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,698.65	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	+1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c54…09c4backed Michael Johnson	37c	13,728$5,079 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,079.36	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.17per pick	43cpaid	+59.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86e7…613ebacked Michael Johnson	49c	13,342$6,522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,521.99	134	53%71 W · 63 L	+7.0wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1e6…1dc1backed Drew Dober	64c	12,800$8,206 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,594	25	52%13 W · 12 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Drew Dober	57c	12,582$7,158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,424.38	117	61.5%72 W · 45 L	+5.6wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Drew Dober	62c	11,247$6,960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,286.35	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+2.1wins	+0.11per pick	47cpaid	+28.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Drew Dober	57c	11,127$6,365 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,762.42	356	48.6%173 W · 183 L	+16.8wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2256…0386backed Michael Johnson	46c	10,889$5,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,010	71	60.6%43 W · 28 L	+4.4wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a10…543cbacked Drew Dober	59c	10,586$6,194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,392.17	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed Michael Johnson	48c	10,575$5,109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,109.02	156	41%64 W · 92 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Drew Dober	55c	10,556$5,835 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,720.31	212	47.2%100 W · 112 L	+10.1wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Drew Dober	56c	10,357$5,770 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,587.03	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.1wins	-0.31per pick	45cpaid	-74.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Michael Johnson	53c	10,348$5,470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,470.3	117	46.2%54 W · 63 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Drew Dober	51c	10,250$5,198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,051.45	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed Drew Dober	63c	10,005$6,303 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,702	44	65.9%29 W · 15 L	+4.3wins	+0.10per pick	56cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb51…d2f5backed Drew Dober	59c	10,000$5,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,100	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1918…20d1backed Michael Johnson	50c	9,903$4,964 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,963.51	26	50%13 W · 13 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x686f…ccb1backed Drew Dober	64c	9,710$6,197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,512.65	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-46.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea7b…a34bbacked Michael Johnson	53c	9,476$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Michael Johnson	37c	9,459$3,519 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,518.56	54	37%20 W · 34 L	-2.9wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed Drew Dober	61c	9,371$5,716 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,654.55	78	41%32 W · 46 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Drew Dober	53c	9,017$4,741 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,275.54	87	54%47 W · 40 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Michael Johnson	45c	9,000$4,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,080	288	49.7%143 W · 145 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Michael Johnson	46c	8,744$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	83	60.2%50 W · 33 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Michael Johnson	33c	8,433$2,808 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,808.33	331	32%106 W · 225 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Michael Johnson	40c	8,231$3,267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,266.78	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf40…87debacked Michael Johnson	38c	8,158$3,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,100.01	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Michael Johnson	49c	8,127$3,981 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,981.46	84	34.5%29 W · 55 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Drew Dober	53c	8,000$4,240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,760	67	38.8%26 W · 41 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Drew Dober	54c	8,000$4,320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,679.9	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Drew Dober	61c	7,938$4,819 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,119.34	170	55.3%94 W · 76 L	+10.6wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+11%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Drew Dober	57c	7,871$4,467 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,404.38	55	41.8%23 W · 32 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d47…d0a2backed Drew Dober	62c	7,824$4,851 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,973.19	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Michael Johnson	44c	7,788$3,459 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,458.51	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Michael Johnson	38c	7,720$2,961 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,961.05	130	39.2%51 W · 79 L	-6.4wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Michael Johnson	51c	7,517$3,810 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,809.8	88	48.9%43 W · 45 L	+4.5wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc5b…1edcbacked Drew Dober	49c	7,347$3,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,746.94	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.2wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+41.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04d2…4c2cbacked Drew Dober	64c	7,344$4,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,643.75	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.30per pick	45cpaid	+62.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Drew Dober	57c	7,286$4,128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,158.26	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	+2.4wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7cee…b72abacked Drew Dober	62c	7,194$4,460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,733.69	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	39cpaid	+10%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06e8…4675backed Drew Dober	56c	6,863$3,825 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,037.77	88	35.2%31 W · 57 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4e29…8931backed Drew Dober	61c	6,800$4,158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,641.93	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.16per pick	59cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4db0…d3eabacked Drew Dober	48c	6,300$3,024 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,275.99	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-1.8wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9a6…0009backed Drew Dober	55c	6,229$3,426 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,803.09	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2b…34e4backed Drew Dober	58c	5,975$3,481 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,494	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-23%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Drew Dober	58c	5,917$3,414 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,503.31	44	61.4%27 W · 17 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00ff…f7adbacked Michael Johnson	52c	5,886$3,081 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,080.82	50	44%22 W · 28 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Drew Dober	52c	5,613$2,919 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,694.26	39	43.6%17 W · 22 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked Drew Dober	48c	5,496$2,639 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,857.15	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa2dc…f9d3backed Michael Johnson	40c	5,002$2,011 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,011	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31b6…2d92backed Drew Dober	47c	5,000$2,350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,650	91	41.8%38 W · 53 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bcf…e964backed Michael Johnson	53c	5,000$2,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,650	21	71.4%15 W · 6 L	+2.2wins	+0.10per pick	61cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Drew Dober	58c	4,983$2,871 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,112.56	149	29.5%44 W · 105 L	-15.2wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Michael Johnson	45c	4,666$2,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,099.7	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-2.0wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Drew Dober	62c	4,651$2,907 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,744.23	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe64f…7d71backed Drew Dober	54c	4,400$2,354 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,045.64	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Michael Johnson	44c	4,327$1,886 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,885.53	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c35…afa8backed Michael Johnson	1c	4,230$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.3	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Michael Johnson	36c	4,202$1,513 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,512.54	36	50%18 W · 18 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Drew Dober	57c	4,048$2,290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,758.63	50	44%22 W · 28 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Michael Johnson	49c	3,936$1,913 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,913.44	159	39.6%63 W · 96 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Michael Johnson	47c	3,790$1,781 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,781.49	291	51.9%151 W · 140 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Michael Johnson	44c	3,699$1,640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,640.12	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb86f…da81backed Drew Dober	63c	3,688$2,313 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,374.72	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.37per pick	63cpaid	+59.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Drew Dober	58c	3,614$2,097 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,517.37	52	73.1%38 W · 14 L	+8.1wins	+0.16per pick	57cpaid	+40.1%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

UFC 326: Michael Johnson vs. Drew Dober (Lightweight, Main Card)this page
Fight to Go the Distance?No won
O/U 0.5 RoundsOver won
O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
Will Drew Dober win by KO or TKO?Yes won
Will Michael Johnson win by KO or TKO?No won
Will the fight be won by submission?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

UFC 326: Michael Johnson vs. Drew Dober (Lightweight, Main Card)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event