College Football · resolved market
Oregon vs. Indiana
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99cc3bbbe311e157297c096850255c688c60c3b30eeeb9d673c67cfc0b49ed24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Indianaof Oregon, Indiana
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,663,153
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,743,639
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,663,153 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 941 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Oregon | 39c | 1,335,013$520,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520,655.07 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Oregon | 39c | 424,243$165,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165,455.01 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Indiana | 61c | 400,000$244,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156,000 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Oregon | 36c | 335,032$119,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119,801.32 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Indiana | 61c | 308,301$188,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120,174.79 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Indiana | 61c | 273,635$166,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106,717.47 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Indiana | 62c | 260,000$161,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98,799.98 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Indiana | 61c | 200,000$122,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,000 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Indiana | 76c | 196,142$148,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,328.31 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b6…13acbacked Oregon | 39c | 138,510$54,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,019 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Oregon | 39c | 115,385$45,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,000 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56e2…4b88backed Oregon | 38c | 100,000$38,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,999.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Indiana | 60c | 67,928$41,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,837.76 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Indiana | 61c | 60,000$36,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,599.99 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x979f…4032backed Indiana | 62c | 50,000$31,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,800 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb889…a430backed Indiana | 60c | 50,000$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,999.98 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf40…87debacked Indiana | 60c | 49,628$29,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,851.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Indiana | 63c | 47,730$30,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,694.19 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Oregon | 38c | 40,000$15,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,200 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Oregon | 6c | 35,750$2,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,156.77 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Indiana | 62c | 34,542$21,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,125.94 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Indiana | 78c | 33,351$26,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,286.35 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Oregon | 0c | 32,899$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.9 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Indiana | 62c | 31,177$19,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,847.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Indiana | 62c | 31,000$19,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,840 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Indiana | 69c | 30,179$20,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,281.34 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Indiana | 61c | 30,000$18,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,700 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Oregon | 5c | 30,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0026…1ed5backed Oregon | 10c | 26,638$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Oregon | 1c | 24,500$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.5 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Oregon | 38c | 20,000$7,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,600 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc153…6c8bbacked Indiana | 61c | 20,000$12,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,800 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Oregon | 39c | 20,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,800 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…3081backed Indiana | 61c | 20,000$12,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,800 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Oregon | 37c | 20,000$7,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,399.96 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Oregon | 38c | 20,000$7,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,549.93 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Indiana | 62c | 19,008$11,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,223.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Oregon | 40c | 18,986$7,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,594.2 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Oregon | 0c | 18,800$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 49 | 0%0 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e14…2266backed Oregon | 13c | 18,371$2,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,451.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked Oregon | 5c | 18,065$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.32 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Indiana | 67c | 17,062$11,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,661.06 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Oregon | 0c | 16,874$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe70f…7cc3backed Indiana | 61c | 16,785$10,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,545.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…76ffbacked Indiana | 61c | 16,393$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,393.44 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Oregon | 37c | 15,097$5,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,593.74 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a65…15b1backed Indiana | 61c | 15,000$9,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,850 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Oregon | 29c | 14,136$4,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,047.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Oregon | 2c | 14,066$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.79 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Oregon | 2c | 13,000$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Oregon | 39c | 12,897$5,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,015.15 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Indiana | 63c | 12,807$8,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,778.28 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x227e…e118backed Indiana | 63c | 12,698$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,698.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Oregon | 40c | 12,500$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Oregon | 3c | 12,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 134 | 32.8%44 W · 90 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41eb…da1dbacked Oregon | 1c | 11,522$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Oregon | 38c | 11,025$4,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,189.34 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Oregon | 30c | 10,781$3,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,232.46 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -7.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Indiana | 61c | 10,000$6,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,899.8 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Indiana | 61c | 10,000$6,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,900 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Oregon | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Oregon | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…eb89backed Oregon | 6c | 10,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd2…31f4backed Indiana | 63c | 10,000$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,700 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Indiana | 61c | 10,000$6,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,900 | 290 | 55.2%160 W · 130 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Indiana | 62c | 10,000$6,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,799.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Indiana | 74c | 10,000$7,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.97 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -6.7wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd748…2125backed Indiana | 62c | 10,000$6,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,799.95 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Oregon | 38c | 9,882$3,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,755.07 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Oregon | 33c | 9,740$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Indiana | 61c | 9,470$5,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,693.17 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Indiana | 62c | 9,400$5,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,542.5 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Oregon | 37c | 9,220$3,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,406.72 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75da…fc93backed Oregon | 3c | 9,179$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba81…dc35backed Indiana | 61c | 8,750$5,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,412.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Indiana | 62c | 8,452$5,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,211.61 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Indiana | 62c | 8,065$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,064.52 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Oregon | 38c | 8,000$3,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,040 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -7.0wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -36%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Indiana | 61c | 8,000$4,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,119.97 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Oregon | 38c | 7,966$3,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,027.25 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Indiana | 62c | 7,949$4,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,020.73 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Indiana | 61c | 7,806$4,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,019.25 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Indiana | 72c | 7,793$5,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,216.5 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Indiana | 61c | 7,500$4,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,925 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1214…5a19backed Oregon | 10c | 7,434$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Indiana | 61c | 7,212$4,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,812.65 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…92c3backed Oregon | 16c | 7,193$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Oregon | 11c | 6,932$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.07 | 69 | 66.7%46 W · 23 L | +11.4wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Indiana | 62c | 6,675$4,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,536.5 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f62…4123backed Oregon | 39c | 6,496$2,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,533.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Oregon | 32c | 6,362$2,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,011.48 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…63d6backed Oregon | 33c | 6,224$2,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,058.88 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Indiana | 62c | 6,000$3,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Oregon | 29c | 5,974$1,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,732.48 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…be9abacked Oregon | 5c | 5,616$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.96 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…74e1backed Indiana | 61c | 5,464$3,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,130.93 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a06…3800backed Indiana | 62c | 5,323$3,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,017.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Oregon | 37c | 5,193$1,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,921.42 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5668…eababacked Oregon | 19c | 5,138$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b3b5backed Oregon | 39c | 5,125$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.75 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oregon vs. Indianathis page
- O/U 46.5Over won
- Oregon vs. Indiana: 1H MoneylineIndiana won
- Oregon vs. Indiana: O/U 47.5Over won
- Oregon vs. Indiana: O/U 48.5Over won
- Oregon vs. Indiana: O/U 49.5Over won
- Oregon vs. Indiana: O/U 50.5Over won
- Spread: Indiana (-3.5)Indiana won
- Spread: Indiana (-4.5)Indiana won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.