College Football · resolved market
Spread: Indiana (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x321c8e081fb01b192e9433691eb4ec1ca8731479225024322233e6bdf37ee02c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Indianaof Indiana, Oregon
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $462,063
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $623,300
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $462,063 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Indiana | 58c | 142,758$82,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,785.71 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Oregon | 57c | 105,118$59,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,914.67 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Oregon | 41c | 64,714$26,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,826.82 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Indiana | 43c | 61,250$26,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,912.5 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Oregon | 43c | 51,459$22,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,100.73 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Oregon | 42c | 30,000$12,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,500 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Indiana | 43c | 16,607$7,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,465.73 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…fdffbacked Indiana | 43c | 15,100$6,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,581.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +131.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Indiana | 55c | 9,789$5,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,424.29 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4940…05cbbacked Indiana | 45c | 9,145$4,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,029.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Oregon | 55c | 6,291$3,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,480.16 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Oregon | 48c | 4,044$1,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,934.13 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -7.0wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -36%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Oregon | 55c | 3,865$2,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,125.9 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1656…6c04backed Indiana | 43c | 3,485$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,986.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Oregon | 53c | 3,273$1,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,734.56 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Indiana | 45c | 3,024$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,669.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Indiana | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.99 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Indiana | 43c | 2,826$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610.82 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf410…ca73backed Indiana | 44c | 2,637$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476.75 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a06…3800backed Indiana | 43c | 2,442$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,391.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Oregon | 39c | 2,198$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.82 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Indiana | 56c | 2,005$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.25 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Indiana | 43c | 1,833$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.81 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Oregon | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe08e…1d61backed Oregon | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Oregon | 6c | 1,677$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.06 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4192…7f00backed Indiana | 44c | 1,509$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc14d…cbdbbacked Oregon | 54c | 1,415$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Oregon | 50c | 1,270$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.18 | 148 | 36.5%54 W · 94 L | -11.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Oregon | 4c | 1,200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…e6e2backed Oregon | 56c | 1,071$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +8.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8a…e842backed Oregon | 54c | 1,032$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…3721backed Oregon | 56c | 942.08$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.8 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Indiana | 43c | 721$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.97 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0203…270dbacked Indiana | 43c | 693.02$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8289…2b2ebacked Indiana | 80c | 663.11$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Indiana | 44c | 518.18$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.18 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Indiana | 42c | 512.92$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.49 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac0…89e4backed Oregon | 57c | 496.63$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.08 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 60cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Indiana | 44c | 489.99$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.4 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Oregon | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Indiana | 43c | 431.25$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.81 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Indiana | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…c24dbacked Indiana | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2d…72febacked Oregon | 58c | 405.17$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Indiana | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 209 | 50.2%105 W · 104 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Oregon | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Oregon | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 69 | 66.7%46 W · 23 L | +11.4wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Indiana | 61c | 327$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.53 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.17per pick | 31cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Oregon | 41c | 321.34$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50f9…c327backed Indiana | 56c | 317.14$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.54 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Indiana | 47c | 299.74$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.86 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Oregon | 55c | 296.48$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.06 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -7.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x53c0…3f90backed Oregon | 56c | 276.79$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a52…9ad6backed Oregon | 58c | 275.86$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Indiana | 43c | 274.47$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.45 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Indiana | 42c | 260.79$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.95 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Oregon | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Indiana | 46c | 241.89$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.46 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Oregon | 52c | 237.1$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.15 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…b3e8backed Indiana | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Indiana | 46c | 224.65$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.31 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Oregon | 57c | 223.87$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Indiana | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…f2cdbacked Indiana | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf48d…fe48backed Oregon | 54c | 210$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.4 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0802…81cabacked Indiana | 45c | 202.17$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.17 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…22eabacked Oregon | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f0…7e22backed Oregon | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 46cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0540…98ebbacked Indiana | 51c | 191$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc43d…8928backed Oregon | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Indiana | 79c | 172.32$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74b2…f6c3backed Oregon | 54c | 165.51$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb986…d032backed Indiana | 43c | 156.33$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…be9abacked Oregon | 55c | 155$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Indiana | 46c | 152.17$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.17 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…3984backed Oregon | 58c | 150$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9569…27fdbacked Indiana | 44c | 146.1$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1a…e36cbacked Indiana | 46c | 127$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddd…372dbacked Indiana | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…e9f8backed Indiana | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Indiana | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Indiana | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Oregon | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Indiana | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Oregon | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Oregon | 58c | 89.66$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x575b…14f0backed Indiana | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Indiana | 44c | 82.03$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.94 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc992…6f2cbacked Oregon | 56c | 81.25$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ae…2103backed Oregon | 58c | 80.36$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.61 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28a8…57d5backed Indiana | 43c | 79.26$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.18 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Indiana | 57c | 77.09$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f31…2d48backed Oregon | 58c | 73.72$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Indiana | 46c | 72$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Indiana | 45c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Indiana | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Indiana | 46c | 63.91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.77 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bd…2bf8backed Oregon | 54c | 63.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.94 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Indiana | 44c | 59.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Indiana (-4.5)this page
- O/U 46.5Over won
- Oregon vs. IndianaIndiana won
- Oregon vs. Indiana: 1H MoneylineIndiana won
- Oregon vs. Indiana: O/U 47.5Over won
- Oregon vs. Indiana: O/U 48.5Over won
- Oregon vs. Indiana: O/U 49.5Over won
- Oregon vs. Indiana: O/U 50.5Over won
- Spread: Indiana (-3.5)Indiana won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.