College Football · resolved market
O/U 46.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd988b900beabcc8aeb7eea525dc96de36ad8f61da6be86e9e4e9ecbcac925d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,945
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,224
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,945 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 46c | 2,742$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.11 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…3081backed Over | 54c | 2,709$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe08e…1d61backed Over | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 41c | 1,561$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.18 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 59c | 1,392$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.7 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Over | 53c | 800$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 47c | 766$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.02 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 58c | 600$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Over | 58c | 352.98$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.25 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5912…2fe0backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed Over | 60c | 165.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.57 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.29per pick | 56cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 33c | 143.94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 19c | 141.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -5.1wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Under | 42c | 129.25$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.29per pick | 48cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0540…98ebbacked Under | 40c | 129.1$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.14 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Over | 57c | 111.09$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.77 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.93 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x230a…3be4backed Over | 60c | 82.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 41c | 75.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 38c | 74.62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 65c | 73.87$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 47c | 59.77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 29c | 48.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 39c | 45.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x575b…14f0backed Over | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…9fddbacked Under | 43c | 40.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd75c…392bbacked Over | 62c | 40.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Over | 78c | 39.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 41c | 36.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0edb…8260backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Over | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…347fbacked Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 69cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O/U 46.5this page
- Oregon vs. IndianaIndiana won
- Oregon vs. Indiana: 1H MoneylineIndiana won
- Oregon vs. Indiana: O/U 47.5Over won
- Oregon vs. Indiana: O/U 48.5Over won
- Oregon vs. Indiana: O/U 49.5Over won
- Oregon vs. Indiana: O/U 50.5Over won
- Spread: Indiana (-3.5)Indiana won
- Spread: Indiana (-4.5)Indiana won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.