TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,394,009
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,891,786

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,394,009 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,406 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0ddf…ab10backed Yes5c109,443$5,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,695.581711.8%2 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-65.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes4c101,904$4,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,095.3730139.2%118 W · 183 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes5c69,353$3,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,803.59119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-49.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Yes4c55,152$2,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,212.2361652.8%325 W · 291 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x11dd…dd86backed Yes8c39,032$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c90…69c0backed Yes4c25,149$1,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,030.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Yes4c25,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011048.2%53 W · 57 L+0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1223…d424backed Yes1c22,470$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.73333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-51.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Yes4c18,023$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.0640%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd658…ecadbacked Yes7c17,757$1,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,219.08812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick31cpaid-75.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1e9…6d8ebacked Yes4c14,730$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.132429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-36%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes5c13,717$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.138230.5%25 W · 57 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-30.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1842…16eabacked Yes4c12,707$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50080%0 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5663…63c1backed Yes5c12,427$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes4c11,760$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.78147.1%1 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick7cpaid-63.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes4c11,705$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.897626.3%20 W · 56 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…c54cbacked Yes4c10,508$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.593420.6%7 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-51.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25ea…8cd0backed Yes4c10,211$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42340%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a8a…7699backed Yes6c10,000$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.031533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-48.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes5c9,929$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.69190%0 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9449…d829backed Yes4c9,473$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.47170%0 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc57b…0a2bbacked Yes5c8,650$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb0c…127dbacked Yes6c8,470$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b05…d181backed Yes7c8,174$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.4430%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfaf…7affbacked Yes4c7,827$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.062733.3%9 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5052…f1c8backed Yes7c7,669$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x985f…7a5bbacked Yes4c7,600$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.629051.1%46 W · 44 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes4c7,531$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.9170%0 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9712…9057backed Yes4c7,450$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.4540%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes2c7,170$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.9129012.1%35 W · 255 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes4c6,677$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.01128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-55.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3401…e981backed Yes6c6,500$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.5220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes4c6,398$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.341,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x413c…a4babacked Yes7c5,989$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb801…0755backed Yes7c5,980$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceec…4ad9backed Yes9c5,568$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-56.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes4c5,541$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.18120%0 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27a4…f4afbacked Yes6c5,422$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0706…6ffebacked Yes6c5,049$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.784015%6 W · 34 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-59.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17a1…09d9backed Yes6c5,043$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5815…4d68backed Yes6c5,038$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30060%0 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x71a3…746ebacked Yes5c4,981$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa150…8cbdbacked Yes6c4,958$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a61…575bbacked Yes5c4,896$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.6320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8279…b4b4backed Yes7c4,878$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.0520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49dd…2a32backed Yes5c4,799$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.363250%16 W · 16 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc5b5…8253backed Yes5c4,753$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.7825%2 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5c7…bf54backed Yes7c4,556$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.9220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x551d…4afebacked Yes4c4,477$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.1750%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3fc…9d56backed Yes6c4,440$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01fb…ad54backed Yes5c4,421$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.4425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick11cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74f7…d7a6backed Yes6c4,371$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.4120%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3822…d767backed Yes6c4,366$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaef…56aebacked Yes5c4,364$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20050%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa4e…116fbacked Yes5c4,346$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.5830%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf514…311ebacked Yes7c4,249$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31e5…8c1dbacked Yes6c4,247$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3d6…81f9backed Yes6c4,205$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb3c…2f42backed Yes6c4,198$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.2920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb287…347dbacked Yes7c4,148$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc017…f439backed Yes6c4,141$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73a4…7b8abacked Yes6c4,141$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32e1…5fccbacked Yes6c4,070$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x555a…eaeebacked Yes6c4,056$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e2…1fcdbacked Yes7c4,053$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x971b…8c50backed Yes6c4,029$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.8630%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8829…c93fbacked Yes6c4,010$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd71d…c351backed Yes6c4,003$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5387…c91ebacked Yes4c4,000$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1524030%12 W · 28 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-45.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Yes4c4,000$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1577337%27 W · 46 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2672…91a6backed Yes7c3,982$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x288f…c416backed Yes6c3,978$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8c5…5866backed Yes6c3,975$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ea…6849backed Yes7c3,974$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9073…fd34backed Yes6c3,964$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c25…d593backed Yes6c3,941$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e11…e0b1backed Yes6c3,919$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61db…e557backed Yes6c3,903$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc5f…5b22backed Yes6c3,864$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dc1…d269backed Yes6c3,860$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.4820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf705…c799backed Yes7c3,824$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59e4…d123backed Yes8c3,788$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa699…c20ebacked Yes6c3,776$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b96…043ebacked Yes6c3,722$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes3c3,720$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.038232.9%27 W · 55 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-27.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdba…fca8backed Yes6c3,614$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8214…ef72backed Yes4c3,600$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.619446.4%90 W · 104 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbde…a758backed Yes4c3,600$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.82832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes4c3,500$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1476127.9%17 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbef6…f2f9backed Yes5c3,496$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes2c3,411$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.79230%0 W · 23 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2a7e…dc99backed Yes6c3,391$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb15c…c161backed Yes4c3,376$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.932729.6%8 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x162a…1d23backed Yes6c3,301$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66a1…80d9backed Yes2c3,254$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.44130%0 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91ca…cad0backed Yes6c3,120$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf07c…d8debacked Yes6c3,067$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf73c…6c6bbacked Yes6c3,064$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x393f…50cfbacked Yes7c3,046$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.2720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee9d…ee13backed Yes7c3,030$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 70. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.