TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Will Gonzaga win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$483,873

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $483,873 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4488…e319backed Yes2c81,947$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,249.8161652.8%325 W · 291 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes1c51,476$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.8616721%35 W · 132 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Yes2c48,300$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,041.018145.7%37 W · 44 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Yes2c30,793$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.2740%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes1c30,103$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.368232.9%27 W · 55 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-27.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda74…fc4bbacked Yes1c19,880$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes1c12,440$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.2290645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f9…1245backed Yes1c10,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401020%2 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick9cpaid-29.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26a9…f6b7backed Yes1c9,954$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.4560%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c2a…4ab7backed Yes2c8,900$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba92…babfbacked Yes2c8,676$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021225%3 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-56.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes2c8,536$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.891,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c6…9508backed Yes1c8,275$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.72200%0 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8314…1730backed Yes1c7,143$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-40%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06a2…0acbbacked Yes2c7,000$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1482231.8%7 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick26cpaid-29%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1363…5748backed Yes2c6,164$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.56812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid-67.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x697f…b756backed Yes2c6,071$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.91825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-52.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Yes2c5,770$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.963943.6%17 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd046…c496backed Yes1c5,544$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3110034%34 W · 66 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…c54cbacked Yes1c5,447$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.093420.6%7 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-51.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4a0…bc3cbacked Yes2c5,257$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-36.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes2c5,225$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.237626.3%20 W · 56 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe76f…6892backed Yes1c5,112$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaa7…e4adbacked Yes2c5,065$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8070%0 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes2c5,030$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.05147.1%1 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick7cpaid-63.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ef6…5afdbacked Yes2c4,991$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.27130%0 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ab…fd5fbacked Yes1c4,907$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4350%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes1c4,620$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.55822.4%2 W · 80 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-88.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91ac…85d9backed Yes1c4,311$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a2f…cfbfbacked Yes2c4,250$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x300d…978fbacked Yes2c4,173$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.943641.7%15 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Yes2c3,817$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.4270%0 W · 27 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2eb5…c2adbacked Yes3c3,333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.999352.7%49 W · 44 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdae4…f1fcbacked Yes2c3,243$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.583447.1%16 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d1…7009backed Yes2c3,180$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc735…fc7bbacked Yes1c3,180$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81fa…c4d6backed Yes2c3,177$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.654330.2%13 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-36.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94c4…2a41backed Yes2c3,092$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.53946.2%18 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9449…d829backed Yes1c3,079$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.11170%0 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda75…930cbacked Yes2c3,054$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes2c2,973$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.68230.5%25 W · 57 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-30.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0481…595dbacked Yes1c2,820$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49aa…4fffbacked Yes2c2,765$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3548…14dabacked Yes2c2,714$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502025%5 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-52.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b0b…287abacked Yes2c2,657$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1865…34f0backed Yes2c2,638$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x167b…adb4backed Yes2c2,615$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.330%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x725f…fa87backed Yes2c2,549$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5991…7760backed Yes2c2,534$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c0d…80b5backed Yes2c2,467$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Yes1c2,451$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.432123.8%5 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-24%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes1c2,429$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.86190%0 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e33…1482backed Yes2c2,318$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7760%0 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4fb9…6753backed Yes2c2,219$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe94f…d6e5backed Yes2c2,207$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e59…a24abacked Yes2c2,041$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes2c1,867$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.64230%0 W · 23 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7750…324dbacked Yes1c1,857$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06f7…af9abacked Yes2c1,797$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Yes1c1,667$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511844.1%52 W · 66 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb79e…920cbacked Yes2c1,653$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b1c…dfa2backed Yes2c1,646$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes3c1,609$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.94214.8%1 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick8cpaid-60.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x383d…87eabacked Yes2c1,584$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.047746.8%36 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77fc…0eacbacked Yes1c1,572$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes2c1,550$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.05120%0 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5871…0defbacked Yes2c1,533$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.564348.8%21 W · 22 L+5.2wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+19%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Yes1c1,500$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215514.5%8 W · 47 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-63.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4395…5b90backed Yes2c1,500$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.540%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9be4…aa0ebacked Yes2c1,471$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea07…02d9backed Yes1c1,433$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7b5…fa78backed Yes1c1,430$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.022714.8%4 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-59.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa771…c281backed Yes2c1,402$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd026…2763backed Yes2c1,381$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa181…2e0fbacked Yes1c1,333$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85b9…d1abbacked Yes2c1,321$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.09911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-83.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7794…8df9backed Yes2c1,298$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203324.2%8 W · 25 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-39.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4993…d909backed Yes1c1,278$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Yes2c1,261$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.212540%10 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Yes2c1,250$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.251250%6 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4703…fc36backed Yes1c1,245$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77f1…4e98backed Yes2c1,198$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25fa…455fbacked Yes2c1,177$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd42a…c156backed Yes2c1,081$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb25…a01fbacked Yes2c1,065$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66a1…80d9backed Yes4c1,020$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.69130%0 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9d9…1fd3backed Yes2c1,010$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61f6…7b83backed Yes1c1,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.56720.9%14 W · 53 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-46.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ccb…3f79backed Yes2c1,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ae8…24f3backed Yes1c1,000$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-44.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Yes2c992$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.862437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d6d…f2b4backed Yes2c964.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd4a…2553backed Yes1c960$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.44119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick6cpaid-60.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3513…b52fbacked Yes2c952.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2090%0 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x891d…b19fbacked Yes2c936$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222339.1%9 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-22.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8035…cfeabacked Yes2c925.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8850%4 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe3b4…7730backed Yes2c916.44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15478.5%4 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-52.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b5a…fa77backed Yes2c909.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20140%0 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Yes2c903.88$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.23455.9%19 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7842…4d91backed Yes2c902.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.85425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick10cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 70. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.