TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Will St. John's win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$867,493
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$501,417

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $867,493 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes1c46,832$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.71119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-49.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes2c40,843$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.2490645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes2c40,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9530139.2%118 W · 183 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b6b…3ba7backed Yes1c39,713$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.07850%4 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+33.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeba7…85b9backed Yes1c36,907$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001729.4%5 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-24.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes2c36,000$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.386127.9%17 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x646b…5112backed Yes1c20,479$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.19382.6%1 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-83.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Yes1c15,635$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.2540%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88a7…845bbacked Yes3c15,628$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Yes1c15,526$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.213740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes1c13,954$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.54822.4%2 W · 80 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-88.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes1c13,275$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.416721%35 W · 132 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cec…7c61backed Yes1c11,604$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.668446.4%39 W · 45 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a80…c54cbacked Yes1c11,565$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.773420.6%7 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-51.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8932…eb14backed Yes1c11,000$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1542630.8%8 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes1c10,345$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.621,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed Yes1c10,000$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.413016.7%5 W · 25 L-7.2wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-69.3%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xf1f9…1245backed Yes1c9,966$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.561020%2 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick9cpaid-29.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Yes2c9,681$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.762227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-46.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb874…6eacbacked Yes3c9,624$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9449…d829backed Yes1c9,185$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.36170%0 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4910…b2b8backed Yes2c9,177$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1702142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x356f…639fbacked Yes0c8,922$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.84540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick24cpaid+31.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39a5…87f2backed Yes2c8,722$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.83862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebba…38e2backed Yes3c8,556$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.6920%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes0c8,450$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.91136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick26cpaid-14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f65…0075backed Yes1c7,737$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c7,589$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.429012.1%35 W · 255 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7f1…d867backed Yes2c6,760$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.331020%2 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-40.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Yes0c6,300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.641145.5%5 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick24cpaid+87.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes1c6,143$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.668232.9%27 W · 55 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-27.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes2c6,093$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.867626.3%20 W · 56 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa21a…c0c6backed Yes2c6,025$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick32cpaid-28.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x58e6…d075backed Yes5c5,783$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.21540%6 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x692e…ee58backed Yes2c5,275$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003828.9%11 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x364b…f9bebacked Yes1c4,780$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.58210%0 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32f2…60fbbacked Yes3c4,671$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.4530%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes2c4,643$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.388230.5%25 W · 57 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-30.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6ec…81c2backed Yes2c4,490$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.778817%15 W · 73 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes2c4,345$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.15190%0 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes1c4,210$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1357448.3%277 W · 297 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd046…c496backed Yes2c4,169$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.610034%34 W · 66 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1446…0a30backed Yes1c4,000$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick9cpaid-34.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes2c3,870$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.586336.5%23 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes1c3,769$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.89230%0 W · 23 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x84a8…ad8fbacked Yes2c3,647$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.85540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-33.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcdf6…d7f7backed Yes1c3,575$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505552.7%29 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3b…2eb3backed Yes1c3,536$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.171435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-38.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b5…fa78backed Yes1c3,300$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.362714.8%4 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-59.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Yes2c3,161$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6711844.1%52 W · 66 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xed16…916ebacked Yes2c3,139$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7590%0 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55fb…a3acbacked Yes2c3,000$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691315.4%2 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.23per pick39cpaid-49.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf964…e224backed Yes2c2,873$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Yes1c2,486$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.75270%0 W · 27 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes2c2,174$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502544%11 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-26.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5668…eababacked Yes1c2,088$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a4b…df5abacked Yes1c2,068$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8480%0 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc148…3c7ebacked Yes2c2,000$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-35.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4df…e4f3backed Yes3c1,973$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick11cpaid-46.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…a219backed Yes2c1,928$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.057542.7%32 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1487…d443backed Yes3c1,900$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.47648.7%37 W · 39 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7794…8df9backed Yes2c1,844$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283324.2%8 W · 25 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-39.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cb9…e983backed Yes1c1,700$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2570%0 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd479…be37backed Yes2c1,663$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354443.2%19 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03c0…14c1backed Yes1c1,608$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.951136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick29cpaid-17%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3513…b52fbacked Yes1c1,538$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2090%0 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes2c1,520$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.08120%0 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc7e…06a2backed Yes1c1,500$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182128.6%6 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick22cpaid-25.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf992…db4dbacked Yes1c1,464$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.21136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ef6…5afdbacked Yes1c1,400$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8130%0 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd49b…abffbacked Yes3c1,314$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421030%3 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-41.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes2c1,292$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-31.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes1c1,282$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.491238.1%10 W · 113 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Yes1c1,251$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.512540%10 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Yes1c1,250$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.251250%6 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd33a…1fe2backed Yes3c1,247$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.45911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick23cpaid-75.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaadc…a559backed Yes2c1,200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.440%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0015…d5b0backed Yes1c1,150$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.35616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-69.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0ba…8497backed Yes2c1,121$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206048.3%29 W · 31 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30b9…0847backed Yes3c1,115$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f25…c7edbacked Yes1c1,100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3100%0 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x61f6…7b83backed Yes3c1,087$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.736720.9%14 W · 53 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-46.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb099…3560backed Yes3c1,076$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.011323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-50.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c52…ff83backed Yes2c1,000$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-64.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Yes1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x091e…f49cbacked Yes3c961.54$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd4a…2553backed Yes1c960$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.56119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick6cpaid-60.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Yes2c957.22$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.111030%3 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-36%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd79c…a0e7backed Yes3c925.93$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251010%1 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick30cpaid-83.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3b73…1f20backed Yes2c905$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cab…331fbacked Yes3c900$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0706…6ffebacked Yes2c900$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.54015%6 W · 34 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-59.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76d9…e3c1backed Yes2c869.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2050%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes2c859.25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.35214.8%1 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick8cpaid-60.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Yes2c841.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1545351.4%233 W · 220 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x96eb…7ca6backed Yes2c750$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1540%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5e4…b7aebacked Yes4c741.12$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30150%0 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37b5…b6c8backed Yes2c717.43$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08c7…7203backed Yes3c642.31$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-63.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b4e…0432backed Yes2c625$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 70. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.