TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Will Houston win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$787,628
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$355,717

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $787,628 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2707…0afabacked Yes8c184,446$14,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,121.856127.9%17 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes10c75,462$7,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,296.3833438.9%130 W · 204 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes8c71,987$5,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,531.4430139.2%118 W · 183 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Yes1c58,439$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.35137.7%1 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-70.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes8c20,738$1,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,658.471,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ddf…ab10backed Yes6c17,980$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,078.781711.8%2 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-65.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…c54cbacked Yes6c16,595$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,078.223420.6%7 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-51.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08e0…bfdfbacked Yes8c12,050$1,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,01680%0 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed Yes11c10,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1003016.7%5 W · 25 L-7.2wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-69.3%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xd658…ecadbacked Yes11c10,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick31cpaid-75.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0706…6ffebacked Yes9c8,753$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.254015%6 W · 34 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-59.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cb9…e983backed Yes9c8,437$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75070%0 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Yes7c7,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52511048.2%53 W · 57 L+0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbde…a758backed Yes9c7,200$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6122832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Yes7c7,180$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.63740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd33a…2cc4backed Yes7c7,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4901861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+24.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x50e4…1cedbacked Yes8c6,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Yes11c5,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5508350.6%42 W · 41 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes7c4,464$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.4670%0 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes10c4,294$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.4190645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95fc…10f6backed Yes11c3,779$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.671163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+29.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0453…c87fbacked Yes11c3,628$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.8230%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b5f…1ae6backed Yes9c3,172$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.994731.9%15 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+34.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3498…1533backed Yes8c3,160$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.81145.5%5 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick26cpaid+41.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9449…d829backed Yes6c3,100$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186170%0 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes9c3,036$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.241,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ee5…b0dcbacked Yes9c2,700$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes7c2,500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16516721%35 W · 132 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4a0…bc3cbacked Yes9c2,346$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-36.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5104…a114backed Yes12c2,205$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255100%0 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81e0…2c3bbacked Yes8c2,029$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.94714.3%1 W · 6 L0.0wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03de…4bfdbacked Yes7c2,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-44.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003441.2%14 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1d…ff10backed Yes8c1,992$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.36911.1%1 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick11cpaid-50.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes9c1,819$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.64147.1%1 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick7cpaid-63.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb15c…c161backed Yes9c1,733$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.012729.6%8 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb68b…b926backed Yes6c1,700$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021250%6 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e8f…b7fdbacked Yes6c1,628$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.68825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-53.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8214…ef72backed Yes9c1,600$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14419446.4%90 W · 104 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0094…c496backed Yes13c1,553$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick15cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6af…a0ebbacked Yes9c1,532$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.8520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes7c1,399$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.887626.3%20 W · 56 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdad9…6b63backed Yes12c1,276$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.8680%0 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes7c1,276$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.3331537.8%119 W · 196 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8a0…36aabacked Yes6c1,266$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.93333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick9cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011844.1%52 W · 66 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1e9…6d8ebacked Yes8c1,250$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.52429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-36%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa496…9eccbacked Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004344.2%19 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdf6…d7f7backed Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005552.7%29 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes1c1,199$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.181238.1%10 W · 113 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a89…a4d6backed Yes8c1,170$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.6714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes10c1,163$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.0837835.7%135 W · 243 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb83d…3aa2backed Yes9c1,162$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes7c1,140$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.23190%0 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ba1…cf36backed Yes11c1,113$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.43812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid-43.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32bf…c556backed Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick14cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41f9…84e6backed Yes8c1,100$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6320642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x66a1…80d9backed Yes7c1,035$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.33130%0 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Yes8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8025043.2%108 W · 142 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaadc…a559backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09ab…fd5fbacked Yes11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11050%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c1…2dd3backed Yes7c1,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-28.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0395…c9edbacked Yes7c1,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-60.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f10…c927backed Yes6c995$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.71127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd4a…2553backed Yes8c962$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.96119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick6cpaid-60.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2721…325bbacked Yes9c916$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.51616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0ba…8497backed Yes8c914.29$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716048.3%29 W · 31 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76d9…e3c1backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd38f…ea43backed Yes11c907.36$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8140%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes10c900$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909833.7%33 W · 65 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-28.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x230c…d36fbacked Yes11c897.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick16cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58fe…dc22backed Yes11c891.74$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.091330.8%4 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Yes11c850.63$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.573455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5411…72c0backed Yes8c835$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.8520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b81…074abacked Yes12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe29…a8f5backed Yes12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b5a…fa77backed Yes9c806.82$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70140%0 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3458…b5a7backed Yes6c800$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485459.3%32 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Yes8c800$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6b6…3addbacked Yes7c800$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7b5…fa78backed Yes7c799.98$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562714.8%4 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-59.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x337d…6984backed Yes8c772.01$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.5420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06f7…af9abacked Yes7c760.68$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes10c746.35$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.358230.5%25 W · 57 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-30.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x837a…77e1backed Yes8c740.19$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.221030%3 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick17cpaid+18.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x713c…cc61backed Yes7c730$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.120%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c16…0272backed Yes7c714.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.055117.6%9 W · 42 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-54.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f1a…af3bbacked Yes7c699.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4930%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc50…df9bbacked Yes8c631.54$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.92229.1%2 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick19cpaid-48.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd23d…9d38backed Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-37.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeaef…56aebacked Yes8c621.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.750%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e30…676cbacked Yes9c621$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.89616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick13cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6895…7e97backed Yes11c609.09$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa61b…6559backed Yes8c600$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482536%9 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x250e…d7f1backed Yes8c588.13$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0dc…a237backed Yes8c562.5$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa297…2574backed Yes8c561.24$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.35714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes8c560.25$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.827157.7%41 W · 30 L+7.3wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+13.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc20a…9787backed Yes9c537.6$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.51450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fc5…610ebacked Yes7c530.7$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5120%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 70. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.