Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Will Michigan State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xedffa92c5118c91718066835df3911cac4817351162a4e0b1f6ccc64179d6f46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $925,261
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $523,710
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $925,261 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Yes | 2c | 79,052$1,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,735.6 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 2c | 47,001$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.72 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 2c | 44,056$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.37 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Yes | 2c | 29,433$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.39 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 2c | 27,348$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.77 | 167 | 21%35 W · 132 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…ca79backed Yes | 2c | 22,530$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Yes | 2c | 20,705$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.83 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Yes | 2c | 19,867$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x646b…5112backed Yes | 2c | 19,517$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.26 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x533c…2658backed Yes | 2c | 18,589$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.62 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -67%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 3c | 18,180$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.17 | 98 | 33.7%33 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…c54cbacked Yes | 2c | 15,570$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.18 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd594…98c4backed Yes | 1c | 12,860$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.04 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 2c | 12,697$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.75 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Yes | 2c | 10,000$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…a1b0backed Yes | 3c | 9,979$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 9,183$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.23 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6980…27cfbacked Yes | 1c | 7,568$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 6cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes | 2c | 6,984$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.01 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda31…8e56backed Yes | 2c | 6,979$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.94 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbde…a758backed Yes | 1c | 6,461$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd046…c496backed Yes | 2c | 6,359$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.97 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9449…d829backed Yes | 2c | 6,190$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.67 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 2c | 5,812$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9094…dcabbacked Yes | 2c | 4,983$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.74 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 4,975$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.52 | 290 | 12.1%35 W · 255 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a0…bc3cbacked Yes | 2c | 4,895$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3582…8fc6backed Yes | 2c | 4,821$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…6dddbacked Yes | 1c | 4,747$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.71 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef6…5afdbacked Yes | 3c | 4,438$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.06 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0706…6ffebacked Yes | 2c | 4,294$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.06 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…df9bbacked Yes | 2c | 4,161$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.56 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…6790backed Yes | 2c | 4,045$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.71 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 3c | 4,009$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.62 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ed…b0f4backed Yes | 3c | 4,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…e4edbacked Yes | 3c | 3,754$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5104…a114backed Yes | 3c | 3,745$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4f…267ebacked Yes | 5c | 3,709$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a0…92b5backed Yes | 3c | 3,700$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x710e…f6b8backed Yes | 7c | 3,580$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Yes | 1c | 3,571$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 2c | 3,486$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.66 | 136 | 9.6%13 W · 123 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba92…babfbacked Yes | 2c | 3,339$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f0…d345backed Yes | 2c | 3,231$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.88 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ab…fd5fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,031$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.91 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x539d…0213backed Yes | 6c | 3,010$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 11cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b30…29a4backed Yes | 6c | 3,000$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -55%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,799$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.41 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 3c | 2,689$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.08 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfade…68cfbacked Yes | 4c | 2,662$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.78 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd1…a151backed Yes | 2c | 2,632$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8067…7727backed Yes | 2c | 2,457$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…978fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,455$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.47 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 2c | 2,442$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.24 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…712abacked Yes | 2c | 2,314$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…5106backed Yes | 7c | 2,312$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 2,303$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbe…bbaabacked Yes | 3c | 2,285$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 2c | 2,275$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6977…80a4backed Yes | 7c | 2,266$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 2c | 2,221$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0138…8451backed Yes | 2c | 2,200$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.72 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x440f…b6f0backed Yes | 3c | 2,157$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,094$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.23 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed16…916ebacked Yes | 3c | 2,008$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37aa…01f4backed Yes | 2c | 2,007$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9712…0c47backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…39e2backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.13 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…b19fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,960$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.11 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…6559backed Yes | 2c | 1,952$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…a219backed Yes | 2c | 1,938$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…70e6backed Yes | 2c | 1,875$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 5c | 1,855$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.49 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa653…444ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,695$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.32 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9033…343fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,688$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe19…9362backed Yes | 3c | 1,683$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1487…d443backed Yes | 2c | 1,671$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d90…1b61backed Yes | 3c | 1,648$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x258b…4ae2backed Yes | 3c | 1,575$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Yes | 3c | 1,540$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.33 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde59…451fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,500$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -72%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…35b9backed Yes | 2c | 1,500$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…fa78backed Yes | 2c | 1,500$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2c…0efcbacked Yes | 3c | 1,469$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdae4…f1fcbacked Yes | 2c | 1,446$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaa…a1a1backed Yes | 3c | 1,316$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c41…42ebbacked Yes | 3c | 1,304$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f25…c7edbacked Yes | 2c | 1,300$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92ad…c78fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Yes | 2c | 1,250$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes | 7c | 1,198$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c1…fe25backed Yes | 1c | 1,190$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,190$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 3c | 1,165$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.45 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92b6…d4e2backed Yes | 2c | 1,158$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa837…c19bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,156$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbce0…18d6backed Yes | 2c | 1,084$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd12a…46a3backed Yes | 2c | 1,071$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3129…22edbacked Yes | 2c | 1,046$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6654…2f15backed Yes | 2c | 1,042$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 70. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Michigan State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?this page
- Will Akron win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Alabama win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Arkansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Auburn win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will BYU win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Cal Baptist win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Clemson win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Creighton win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Furman win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Georgia win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Gonzaga win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Hawaii win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will High Point win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Hofstra win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Houston win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Howard win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Idaho win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Iowa State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Iowa win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Kansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Kennesaw State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Kentucky win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will LIU win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Lehigh win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Louisville win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will McNeese win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Miami (FL) win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Miami (OH) win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Yes won
- Will Missouri win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will NC State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Nebraska win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will North Carolina win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will North Dakota State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Northern Iowa win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Ohio State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Penn win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Prairie View A&M win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Queens win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will SMU win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Saint Louis win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Santa Clara win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Siena win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will South Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will St. John's win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will St. Mary's win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will TCU win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Tennessee State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Tennessee win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Texas A&M win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Texas Tech win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Texas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Troy win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.