TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x37aa…01f4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
101
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NHL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 55 out of 100; worst AI at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT3545.7%16 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.19
United States to score first vs. Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.85
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.2
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.58
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$22.5
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)backed Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$17.53
Spread: United States (-1.5)backed United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.4
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$9.3
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.22
Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+38.5%+$41.18
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Folarin Balogun: 1+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+96.5%+$77.19
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+97.5%+$29.26
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.08
Pedro Neto: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.2
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+82.2%+$40.6
Spread: Norway (-1.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Iraq?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+25.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+37%+$14.82
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$69.99
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$14
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+100%+$20
Iran strike on US military by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Nothing Ever Happens: Khameneibacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+156.4%+$67.88
Will Khamenei tweet again by March 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.82
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$105
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+53.8%+$28
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$27.84
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$14.19
US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+78.6%+$17.68
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+33.8%+$10.1
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+45.7%+$17.45
All 15 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-57.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.92
Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$261.24
Will the 2026 Men's NCAA basketball National Champion come from the ACC (Atlantic Coast Conference)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Michigan State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.71
SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+270.5%+$37.6
Virginia Cavaliers vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$21.61
Virginia Cavaliers vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 140.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.9
Clemson Tigers vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Clemson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Virginia Tech Hokies vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked Virginia Tech Hokies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$159.41
All 12 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-75.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-61.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$29.4
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+68.3%+$16.31
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$173.55
All 3 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick14cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-54.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Seguro win Portugal's Overseas Vote?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+33.1%+$57.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'Don't Be Dumb' debut week album sales be at least 200k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.