TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Norway (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Senegalof Norway, Senegal
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,452,440
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,430,120

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,452,440 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 699 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Senegal63c455,645$285,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169,946.184,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Norway51c161,716$83,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83,120.752,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Senegal79c99,992$78,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,275.7828162.6%176 W · 105 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Norway21c80,480$17,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,279.6921343.2%92 W · 121 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Norway23c41,316$9,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,502.6821029%61 W · 149 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cc0…5765backed Norway32c41,180$13,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,383.076152.5%32 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Senegal70c37,288$26,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,155.734,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70ef…e6ddbacked Norway15c30,907$4,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,668.210840.7%44 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Norway20c30,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00026320.5%54 W · 209 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Senegal73c25,000$18,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,864.1320044.5%89 W · 111 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Norway30c24,190$7,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,242.6275335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Senegal71c23,221$16,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,744.493,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Norway26c22,709$5,812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,811.558,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked Senegal78c22,135$17,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,869.658943.8%39 W · 50 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Norway21c21,469$4,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,508.520844.7%93 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x839e…0d3cbacked Norway23c20,435$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,70013639%53 W · 83 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Norway8c20,319$1,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,677.133,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Norway50c18,508$9,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,242.016835.3%24 W · 44 L-0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-31.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fd8…ce32backed Norway21c15,200$3,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,19213330.1%40 W · 93 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Senegal78c15,000$11,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,299.991,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Norway7c14,616$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.514542.1%61 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Norway22c13,099$2,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,892.552,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5e…fd91backed Norway69c12,000$8,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,279.894431.8%14 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30e1…8be4backed Norway22c11,650$2,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,563.064233.3%14 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08ff…32ebbacked Senegal62c11,570$7,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,396.9310550.5%53 W · 52 L-8.1wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-28.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Norway45c10,808$4,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,914.414,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Senegal24c10,568$2,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,061.0524533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Norway40c10,114$4,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,028.791,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0e60…3badbacked Norway23c10,113$2,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,326.058627.9%24 W · 62 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Senegal68c10,000$6,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,199.9824058.8%141 W · 99 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Senegal79c9,456$7,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,985.78348.2%40 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+55.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Senegal73c9,266$6,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,538.521,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x896e…53f2backed Norway22c9,091$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00017443.1%75 W · 99 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Norway21c9,000$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,89029646.3%137 W · 159 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Norway67c8,525$5,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,693.8558049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Norway26c7,968$2,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,051.642,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Norway22c7,780$1,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,711.61,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Senegal21c7,594$1,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,017.7536234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Senegal68c7,405$5,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,376.8277152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Senegal78c7,104$5,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,562.721,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Norway71c6,224$4,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,439.1766846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Norway22c6,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32022229.7%66 W · 156 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca76…3d14backed Norway16c5,837$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914.177627.6%21 W · 55 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Senegal33c5,399$1,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,606.0753629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Senegal78c5,163$4,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,136.9974034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf4d…77c6backed Norway21c5,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.997647.4%36 W · 40 L+13.4wins+0.18per pick30cpaid+80.2%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Senegal78c5,000$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.9986452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Norway54c4,820$2,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,586.42,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Norway21c4,819$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0125127.5%14 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb0…34ecbacked Senegal79c4,613$3,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968.663658.3%21 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Norway22c4,500$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99035244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Norway30c4,420$1,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,335.781,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x514b…5fa9backed Norway74c4,400$3,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2487538.7%29 W · 46 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd325…fd1bbacked Norway23c4,330$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009630.2%29 W · 67 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Senegal78c4,154$3,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.7771638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Norway1c4,147$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4722933.6%77 W · 152 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Norway22c4,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8802,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Norway21c4,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84029250.7%148 W · 144 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ede…4284backed Norway22c4,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88018738%71 W · 116 L+0.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Senegal69c3,432$2,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.8920448%98 W · 106 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Norway21c3,333$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.9314325.2%36 W · 107 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-42.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Norway22c3,246$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.2543230.1%130 W · 302 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-41%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Senegal74c3,233$2,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8551,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed Senegal43c3,211$1,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,817.0620856.7%118 W · 90 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde45…8597backed Norway32c3,125$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009538.9%37 W · 58 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x338b…bf88backed Norway23c3,000$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.2319332.6%63 W · 130 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23b0…13a3backed Norway19c3,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.9915128.5%43 W · 108 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Senegal78c2,900$2,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.471,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Norway22c2,830$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.5922846.1%105 W · 123 L-0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Norway55c2,817$1,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,544.9837242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Norway22c2,695$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.091,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Norway28c2,676$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.231,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Senegal79c2,657$2,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.9725848.4%125 W · 133 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Senegal68c2,629$1,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.199345.2%42 W · 51 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2613…12bdbacked Norway23c2,628$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60014035.7%50 W · 90 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fb2…f24cbacked Norway19c2,600$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.765832.8%19 W · 39 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick27cpaid-10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab1c…aaddbacked Norway22c2,600$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.915628.6%16 W · 40 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Norway60c2,539$1,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,511.1587237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x11be…7712backed Norway22c2,512$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.722620.4%46 W · 180 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf747…7d29backed Norway32c2,450$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7848749.4%43 W · 44 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Senegal30c2,390$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,680.7643737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Norway38c2,378$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912.942,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd34a…78c7backed Norway9c2,374$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.7313721.2%29 W · 108 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked Senegal33c2,347$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,583.7320646.1%95 W · 111 L+12.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe1ff…01d0backed Norway21c2,300$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4869139.6%36 W · 55 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5e2…1327backed Norway22c2,273$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004820.8%10 W · 38 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-31.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8cc9…47f2backed Norway23c2,202$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50024226.4%64 W · 178 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Norway22c2,180$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.453,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed Senegal23c2,174$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,676.4525753.3%137 W · 120 L+23.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+17.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0693…9679backed Norway49c2,134$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,035.4722633.6%76 W · 150 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Norway72c2,114$1,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,516.2636437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Senegal78c2,051$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.2865948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed Senegal75c2,005$1,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.145841.4%24 W · 34 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-26.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Norway21c2,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42064443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4154…e7a8backed Norway71c2,000$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,42029633.4%99 W · 197 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Norway21c2,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42035424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed Senegal70c2,000$1,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.3710471.2%74 W · 30 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Senegal78c1,979$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.7768141.1%280 W · 401 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x18b8…c368backed Norway32c1,923$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.4517733.9%60 W · 117 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc402…83f7backed Norway73c1,905$1,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,390.979053.3%48 W · 42 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.