TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Norway (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Senegalof Norway, Senegal
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$81,120
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$78,260

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,120 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Norway4c16,844$731 inLost-$731.464,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09b2…a017backed Norway3c4,999$125 inLost-$124.989819.4%19 W · 79 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+146.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Norway5c4,285$219 inLost-$218.643,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ac9…92d3backed Norway10c3,159$310 inLost-$31022622.1%50 W · 176 L-1.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid+48.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Norway6c3,135$195 inLost-$195.3160821.9%133 W · 475 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a5e…ef23backed Norway3c2,708$79 inLost-$78.53110%0 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aa7…e3d9backed Norway3c2,111$55 inLost-$54.89968.3%8 W · 88 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+73.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa67d…dbecbacked Norway11c1,825$197 inLost-$197.0831611.4%36 W · 280 L+0.4wins0.00per pick11cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Norway3c1,324$33 inLost-$33.135424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e56…cfdabacked Norway3c1,170$35 inLost-$34.827911.4%9 W · 70 L0.0wins0.00per pick11cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x671a…cf16backed Norway10c1,035$100 inLost-$1006266.7%42 W · 584 L-0.6wins0.00per pick7cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c48…009cbacked Norway3c862.07$25 inLost-$25214.8%1 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick12cpaid-68.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Norway3c700.92$20 inLost-$19.793,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Norway3c600$16 inLost-$15.647127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0874…6277backed Norway2c562.1$11 inLost-$11.243026.7%8 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick16cpaid+4.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xca3d…2fd7backed Norway8c500$40 inLost-$4010335%36 W · 67 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3607…c427backed Norway3c466.67$14 inLost-$1413833.3%46 W · 92 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Norway8c321.13$25 inLost-$24.842,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x779c…b96fbacked Norway10c300$30 inLost-$3012322%27 W · 96 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid-17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad3d…24e5backed Norway8c299.98$24 inLost-$24.34032.5%13 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid-21.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf501…8063backed Norway9c258.81$22 inLost-$22.141154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-15.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd577…048cbacked Norway9c228.58$20 inLost-$202123.8%5 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-48.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e49…f1afbacked Norway9c199.98$18 inLost-$18.345536.9%168 W · 287 L-26.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe71a…cdc1backed Norway19c106.64$20 inLost-$2012828.9%37 W · 91 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-7.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.