TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Norway vs. Senegal: Norway O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,242
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,280

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,242 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under24c12,693$2,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,986.894,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under24c8,882$2,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,155.233,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over78c4,295$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.961,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over74c3,519$2,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.974,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over76c2,536$1,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.282,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over79c2,532$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.6530465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over73c2,005$1,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.352,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb48…6ad1backed Over78c1,894$1,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.732458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+284.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under21c1,700$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.0164443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under21c1,574$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.472,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc260…68dfbacked Under22c1,523$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3351957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+31.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdfde…fa1bbacked Under8c1,340$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.22313%3 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick13cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over78c1,200$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.151,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0f8…003dbacked Under1c1,100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11948.5%8 W · 86 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-82.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under21c978.24$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.431,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Under20c938.49$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.719545.6%89 W · 106 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ddd…3254backed Over73c899.99$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2416446.9%30 W · 34 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8884…f29bbacked Over80c876.34$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.342958.6%17 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over78c809$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.292,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under29c808.95$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.584,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb014…4969backed Over68c735.13$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.2413953.2%74 W · 65 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1544…b5f0backed Over79c714.24$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.991764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over78c641.01$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.0267447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over78c545.12$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.932,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over70c504.44$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.252,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45f2…722ebacked Under22c500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1106338.1%24 W · 39 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-34.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over74c484.73$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.388,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over61c479$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.811,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over79c421.95$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.612,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e3…0009backed Over63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.4620532.2%66 W · 139 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under21c298.4$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.661,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over72c276.38$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.941,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ea…105dbacked Under23c261.09$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6017735%62 W · 115 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over73c195.7$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.242,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7521…c083backed Over79c177.22$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.223066.7%20 W · 10 L+5.2wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+29.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe4b6…a582backed Over79c175.68$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.898461.9%52 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28e6…0210backed Over79c161.83$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.988863.6%56 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick64cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22af…becebacked Over79c140$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.732060%12 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38c7…5a76backed Over78c130.29$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.296068.3%41 W · 19 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+15.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over79c129$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.391,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ee3…01abbacked Over59c128.8$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.818140.7%33 W · 48 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Over79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5814351.7%74 W · 69 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb821…5cddbacked Over79c122.35$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.679463.8%60 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under10c113.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.082,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x57e6…3c3fbacked Under11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+21.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3af5…caebbacked Over79c94.34$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8115667.9%106 W · 50 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick71cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under21c90.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.271,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under22c74.9$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.481,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Over70c74.29$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2911660.3%70 W · 46 L+0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ba1…88c1backed Over60c70.98$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3910252.9%54 W · 48 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Under35c65.25$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8495037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91df…fd49backed Over79c63.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.294573.3%33 W · 12 L-0.2wins0.00per pick74cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cd3…e427backed Over79c63.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.297167.6%48 W · 23 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+0.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ca…2f70backed Over79c63.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.298459.5%50 W · 34 L-0.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bdf…f939backed Over79c60.76$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.762564%16 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Over77c60$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.860752.4%318 W · 289 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under22c55$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.170244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac1b…92debacked Over79c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.510634.9%37 W · 69 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Over65c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.435034.3%120 W · 230 L-24.0wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-33.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over78c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd800…c256backed Over80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1031358.1%182 W · 131 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ac5…72d5backed Over63c46.03$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.031752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5c2…94e1backed Over80c45$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92065%13 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+32.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over77c44.43$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.223,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8c8…b949backed Over79c44.19$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2827363.4%173 W · 100 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9830…e001backed Over79c43.5$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.133259.4%19 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x404a…19b2backed Over71c42.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2225754.5%140 W · 117 L+0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over78c40$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.83,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd72e…0621backed Over79c37.97$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.972972.4%21 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick70cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over80c33$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.642,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ea…7b04backed Over79c31.65$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.654866.7%32 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69f4…c6eebacked Over79c31.65$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6517357.8%100 W · 73 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a90…946abacked Over79c31.63$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.623063.3%19 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d0b…14edbacked Over59c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.33641.7%15 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2a58…b808backed Over57c28.79$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3822835.5%81 W · 147 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Over79c26.57$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.581,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44f6…1b65backed Over79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.321361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bc7…23f9backed Over79c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.33756.8%21 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf262…c56dbacked Over79c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.210139.6%40 W · 61 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x938c…8df4backed Over79c18.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.996861.8%42 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x482c…cbe8backed Over79c18.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.995474.1%40 W · 14 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick67cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf598…73e8backed Over80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.5862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+41.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe924…e6a7backed Over80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.51457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8f…261fbacked Over80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.