TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Norway vs. Senegal: Norway O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$195,027
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$228,788

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $195,027 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c44,625$23,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,796.674,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0108…0d26backed Over44c20,000$8,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,199.82045%9 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cc0…5765backed Over54c19,999$10,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,199.746152.5%32 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under52c14,186$7,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,317.722,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under57c12,000$6,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,789.951,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over47c11,377$5,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,995.24,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe043…b415backed Over44c10,165$4,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,692.661258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over43c7,409$3,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,223.133,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under48c7,123$3,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,442.364,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb31b…d703backed Over44c6,444$2,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,608.811555.7%64 W · 51 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under56c6,362$3,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,562.7553448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under45c5,514$2,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,493.813,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under56c5,230$2,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,919.252,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over44c5,210$2,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,897.822,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under56c4,759$2,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,664.761,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under56c4,400$2,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,463.9786452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Over44c4,000$1,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,24014433.3%48 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Under56c3,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,679.9823255.2%128 W · 104 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over48c2,469$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,288.168,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd22…9ef1backed Under56c2,222$1,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,244.323933.3%13 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b6d…2f1abacked Over47c2,142$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,142.0415034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.9664443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over48c1,974$939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.022,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd58…18f9backed Under45c1,739$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.567337%27 W · 46 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-31.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaa84…2b4bbacked Over55c1,618$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.578652.3%45 W · 41 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over47c1,575$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.6835244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over50c1,376$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.481,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29bf…e7e0backed Over47c1,261$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.923145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over42c1,200$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.21,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under52c1,161$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.637959.1%224 W · 155 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e26…8991backed Over44c1,136$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.3616136%58 W · 103 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under56c1,135$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.023,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0f8…003dbacked Under1c1,090$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9948.5%8 W · 86 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-82.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed Over44c1,023$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.738725.3%22 W · 65 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Under54c999.4$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.6819545.6%89 W · 106 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over45c994.15$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.872,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over51c981.28$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.321,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over55c940$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.91,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6ab…fb13backed Over54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.9325842.2%109 W · 149 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x845b…5c2dbacked Over49c908.25$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.255735.1%20 W · 37 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over43c889$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.392,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc220…5012backed Over56c881.63$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.9129636.1%107 W · 189 L-0.7wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under57c877.18$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9967447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under57c863.54$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.2261750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfde…fa1bbacked Under14c859.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.42313%3 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick13cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under56c804.35$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.923,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x822d…339bbacked Over44c795.45$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.451163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+36.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over55c770$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.587237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under55c727.49$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.9846550.3%234 W · 231 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x096a…390bbacked Over44c699.14$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.521338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x35b1…8962backed Under58c689.66$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005543.6%24 W · 31 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Over55c685.76$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.5943246.8%202 W · 230 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd169…8ff6backed Over44c665.91$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.9117241.3%71 W · 101 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over55c619.99$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2791,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x74e7…c6ccbacked Over53c616.42$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.722259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ac9…92d3backed Over33c614$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41422622.1%50 W · 176 L-1.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid+48.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x729d…e139backed Over79c606.6$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.69573.7%70 W · 25 L+15.1wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+37.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under56c575.54$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.374447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a51…f305backed Over44c549.11$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.518827.7%52 W · 136 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over64c533$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.9315763.7%100 W · 57 L+16.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+16%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Under56c499.99$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.9945038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Over43c499.97$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.9847127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb014…4969backed Over55c490.91$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.9113953.2%74 W · 65 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under23c473.99$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.82,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb1c…bd78backed Over43c465.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.1214235.2%50 W · 92 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad33…a3c5backed Over37c455.96$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.963933.3%13 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06f0…ad99backed Over44c454.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.5517948%86 W · 93 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec12…fd9dbacked Over44c454.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.5515519.4%30 W · 125 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecd5…755ebacked Over55c418.18$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.185662.5%35 W · 21 L+7.4wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+75.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9a51…ce14backed Over44c417.73$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.936940.6%28 W · 41 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x12f1…3cd3backed Over53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1887250%36 W · 36 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over41c392.25$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.822,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over43c366$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.6222846.5%106 W · 122 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e3d…85abbacked Under56c359.11$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.136448.6%177 W · 187 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4924…8fc6backed Over44c350$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.27949.4%39 W · 40 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over56c327$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.8837955.7%211 W · 168 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under55c322.17$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.192,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Under29c321.19$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.7180225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6d5…2f69backed Over44c310$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.63148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under55c299.99$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.821,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Over44c284.09$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.0922846.1%105 W · 123 L-0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6844…7633backed Over54c270.26$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.327953.2%42 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf150…b6ffbacked Over43c213.98$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.974650%23 W · 23 L+5.6wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+37.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Under46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9216656.6%94 W · 72 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5266…aac8backed Over54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9220651.9%107 W · 99 L+0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e6f…31aebacked Over42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1167826.9%21 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Over53c200$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9541444.9%186 W · 228 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45f2…722ebacked Under57c199.99$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.996338.1%24 W · 39 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-34.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Under57c189.47$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.8536350.1%182 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1955153%292 W · 259 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xada6…9447backed Under55c181.25$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.822969%20 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c8d…4f5cbacked Under56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010452.9%55 W · 49 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under57c166.28$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.283,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ee3…01abbacked Over54c161.22$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.168140.7%33 W · 48 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under56c160$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.682348.8%402 W · 421 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under57c150$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.831,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2725…e7d1backed Under58c148.2$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.2621341.3%88 W · 125 L-18.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5751…cb3abacked Over43c141.86$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.863863.2%24 W · 14 L+5.4wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+24.9%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under14c140$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.92,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e9…ee46backed Over45c140$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773865.8%25 W · 13 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.