TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Norway vs. Senegal: Norway O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$138,052
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$159,205

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,052 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under7c18,735$1,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,324.323,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under67c12,529$8,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,385.574,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under78c9,916$7,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,709.774,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Over19c5,178$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,177.5432429.9%97 W · 227 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over56c4,999$2,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,221.2828337.1%105 W · 178 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over22c4,578$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,558.318,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Over20c4,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,199.9914433.3%48 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over45c3,754$1,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,077.642,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over29c3,104$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,214.394,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x187c…8708backed Over19c2,681$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,163.783729.7%11 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under73c2,456$1,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,793.81,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over41c2,310$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,354.721,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under13c2,043$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.592,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under49c1,989$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.423,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over55c1,767$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.221,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over45c1,739$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953.632,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x742d…020dbacked Over20c1,609$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,287.323020%6 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over15c1,600$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,355.982,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under70c1,337$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936.232,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a51…f305backed Over31c1,292$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.5918827.7%52 W · 136 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03b8…b4aebacked Under80c1,250$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00023353.2%124 W · 109 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over15c1,200$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.961,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over19c1,153$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$933.932,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0f8…003dbacked Under1c1,100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11948.5%8 W · 86 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-82.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76aa…58cebacked Over55c1,091$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.099760.8%59 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9865…57acbacked Over19c1,053$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.6310911%12 W · 97 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick20cpaid-66%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed Over20c1,050$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8408725.3%22 W · 65 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61ac…4781backed Over54c1,018$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.9952522.5%118 W · 407 L+0.5wins0.00per pick22cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Under80c1,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80019545.6%89 W · 106 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaebb…c29abacked Over55c830.42$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.562850%14 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over26c816.87$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6082,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over54c684.51$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.941,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under46c647.83$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2986238.7%24 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+55.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e26…8991backed Over19c637.53$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.416136%58 W · 103 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66c2…85f4backed Over56c536.18$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.182646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb1c…bd78backed Over19c526.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.3214235.2%50 W · 92 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7289…8d16backed Over20c500$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4006162.3%38 W · 23 L+7.0wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+33.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Over20c500$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40016747.3%79 W · 88 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Over17c500$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41595739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x822d…339bbacked Over19c493.58$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.81163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+36.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cfe…e4debacked Over16c489$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.8722623.5%53 W · 173 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b0f…3476backed Over19c473.68$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.6817938%68 W · 111 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa84…2b4bbacked Over55c454.55$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.558652.3%45 W · 41 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x12f1…3cd3backed Over54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1847250%36 W · 36 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over57c399.15$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.291,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd3c…fc78backed Over60c376.3$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.2622560.4%136 W · 89 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e56…cfdabacked Over18c376.27$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.687911.4%9 W · 70 L0.0wins0.00per pick11cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd050…c915backed Over54c368.22$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.486860.3%41 W · 27 L+11.5wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+39.1%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x6cff…da63backed Over55c362.48$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.482737%10 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under57c319$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.241,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over52c310.71$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.311,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Under38c307.74$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.4680225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under80c289.45$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.561,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over33c276.96$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.642,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Over19c270$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.718028.3%51 W · 129 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bad…1e9ebacked Over56c267.86$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.8612451.6%64 W · 60 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3670…18e8backed Over19c267.28$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.56113.1%8 W · 53 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick23cpaid-60.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeff5…dd85backed Over19c263.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.1610546.7%49 W · 56 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Over19c263.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.1622846.1%105 W · 123 L-0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda49…b396backed Over20c250$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20011634.5%40 W · 76 L-8.5wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-16.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3486…43ddbacked Over20c250$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2009031.1%28 W · 62 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under31c242.83$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.992,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Over18c237.44$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.747127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over19c217.83$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.4433120.8%69 W · 262 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05e0…e2cbbacked Under47c214.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013247%62 W · 70 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over79c212.84$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.191,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8822337.2%83 W · 140 L+20.1wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+28.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x30e7…d258backed Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.198330.1%25 W · 58 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-21.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over19c182.32$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.682,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0457…24b8backed Over56c165.21$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.692075%15 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe85c…65b9backed Over21c142.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.862231.8%7 W · 15 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick19cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd38c…371ebacked Over19c135.16$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.4820133.8%68 W · 133 L+14.0wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+33.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x11a2…0532backed Over53c133.96$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.966665.2%43 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over51c133.96$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.222,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf639…4a74backed Over19c130.7$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.717322.5%39 W · 134 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Under58c130$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.977051.3%395 W · 375 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under34c124.77$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.292,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Under18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2069744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x786c…14c3backed Over19c105.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.261741.2%7 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick28cpaid+46.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2630…0593backed Over19c105.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.262147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+33.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ecd…44e8backed Over19c105.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.262528%7 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Under76c100$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4725251.2%129 W · 123 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ddd…3254backed Over11c100$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896446.9%30 W · 34 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4974…4422backed Over20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802138.1%8 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick29cpaid-0.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over40c95.95$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.4446562.2%289 W · 176 L+42.0wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+16.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa0a2…0489backed Over21c95.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.243633.3%12 W · 24 L+5.8wins+0.16per pick17cpaid+170.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9ec2…a53cbacked Over21c92.48$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.489747.4%46 W · 51 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under45c91.11$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4132740.7%133 W · 194 L+0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x718f…1dc3backed Over33c90.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.1816342.3%69 W · 94 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5ce…9fcfbacked Over55c88.69$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.911838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x691e…cbbbbacked Over19c80$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.88751.7%45 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under70c70.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.831,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x69f4…c6eebacked Over43c69.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2517357.8%100 W · 73 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Under58c63.89$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2979149.2%389 W · 402 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over52c62$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9687237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf65a…c8fbbacked Over19c57.89$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.892425%6 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+25.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Over20c55$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.870948.9%347 W · 362 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84c3…35d4backed Under80c50$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407634.2%26 W · 50 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e90…ce0dbacked Over55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.56147.5%29 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.