TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Senegal (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Norwayof Senegal, Norway
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$162,193
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$180,824

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,193 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb15…8393backed Senegal12c20,833$2,500 inLost-$2,50014829.7%44 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Senegal0c10,000$10 inLost-$103,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Senegal8c6,533$550 inLost-$549.992,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x929c…fe32backed Senegal13c5,477$712 inLost-$71229018.6%54 W · 236 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b63…bdd3backed Senegal13c4,615$600 inLost-$6005616.1%9 W · 47 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick12cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Senegal5c3,130$159 inLost-$158.884,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc428…6992backed Senegal12c2,834$344 inLost-$343.5540%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Senegal1c2,535$20 inLost-$20.3638333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Senegal3c2,502$74 inLost-$74.2775335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd34a…78c7backed Senegal13c2,000$260 inLost-$26013721.2%29 W · 108 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa4c…7bfdbacked Senegal13c1,538$200 inLost-$20014428.5%41 W · 103 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Senegal11c1,420$156 inLost-$156.1968141.1%280 W · 401 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Senegal13c1,000$130 inLost-$13028526.3%75 W · 210 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Senegal5c945.55$44 inLost-$43.642,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe16…60bebacked Senegal2c843.62$20 inLost-$2015063.3%95 W · 55 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Senegal14c571.43$80 inLost-$8054917.9%98 W · 451 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8142…f311backed Senegal14c499.99$70 inLost-$7010245.1%46 W · 56 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Senegal2c470.02$11 inLost-$10.721,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc84e…2d9bbacked Senegal12c458.33$55 inLost-$553312.1%4 W · 29 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Senegal13c443.71$57 inLost-$56.553,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Senegal13c400$52 inLost-$5210136.6%37 W · 64 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x27ed…504ebacked Senegal13c389.19$49 inLost-$49.011717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd404…b4ebbacked Senegal13c384.62$50 inLost-$506823.5%16 W · 52 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5871…0defbacked Senegal13c370.46$48 inLost-$48.162020%4 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Senegal7c358.36$24 inLost-$24.3498134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Senegal13c326.75$42 inLost-$42.4833149.5%164 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Senegal13c237.2$31 inLost-$30.8448937%181 W · 308 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Senegal13c227$30 inLost-$29.516835.3%24 W · 44 L-0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-31.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Senegal11c213.98$24 inLost-$24.11,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0459…0fcbbacked Senegal12c208.33$25 inLost-$2526720.6%55 W · 212 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-11.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Senegal11c202.92$23 inLost-$22.981,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e8e…0cc4backed Senegal12c200$24 inLost-$2418911.1%21 W · 168 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Senegal13c153.82$19 inLost-$19.413,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Senegal13c148.11$19 inLost-$18.563,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Senegal13c145.14$19 inLost-$18.8543230.1%130 W · 302 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-41%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43a8…e9d9backed Senegal14c141.43$20 inLost-$19.814533.1%48 W · 97 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16d4…6e9bbacked Senegal13c100$13 inLost-$1321128%59 W · 152 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed Senegal13c100$13 inLost-$1317227.3%47 W · 125 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a52…c0e8backed Senegal12c100$12 inLost-$124615.2%7 W · 39 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-45.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.