TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$371,465
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$388,982

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $371,465 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 371 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under42c45,367$19,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,064.842541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under24c27,566$6,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,621.2544539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under29c21,665$6,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,199.231,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over73c17,936$13,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,925.862,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x514b…5fa9backed Over62c13,139$8,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,027.647538.7%29 W · 46 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over59c12,067$7,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,926.563,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under23c10,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,249.9874447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over74c9,318$6,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,380.158,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb57e…ffe8backed Over80c7,363$5,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,472.5924620.3%50 W · 196 L-21.8wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-44.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over76c7,209$5,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,729.8877152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa704…11c1backed Over76c6,579$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,578.958672.1%62 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under22c5,696$1,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,230.851,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over77c5,057$3,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,177.051,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Under21c5,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05025844.6%115 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5e…fd91backed Under45c4,922$2,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,222.394431.8%14 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under24c4,425$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056.282,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under1c4,093$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9321314.1%30 W · 183 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+135.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e78…3945backed Over77c3,893$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.1219529.7%58 W · 137 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under23c3,790$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.432,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under20c3,750$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75044130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc3…7a59backed Under1c3,721$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.21250%0 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under24c3,519$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.881,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x238c…57b1backed Over57c3,509$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,508.775356.6%30 W · 23 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Under23c3,444$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.2214325.2%36 W · 107 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-42.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over77c3,425$2,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.752,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Under26c3,403$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883.2338333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Under24c3,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72047643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under21c2,867$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.1328025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over74c2,845$2,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.751,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under24c2,754$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.948441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5c9…1e01backed Over76c2,650$2,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.095168.6%35 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+27.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over76c2,632$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.5830465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Under24c2,400$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57644144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under19c2,314$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.7466846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under28c2,187$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.563,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…e2b8backed Over73c2,100$1,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5676258.1%36 W · 26 L+6.6wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5fd2…93ddbacked Over74c2,032$1,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.29839.8%39 W · 59 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under24c2,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48050243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed Over55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90010471.2%74 W · 30 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Under24c2,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48035424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under24c2,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48064443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x564f…d93bbacked Under20c1,895$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.967431.1%23 W · 51 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+28.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Under1c1,880$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.875335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Under25c1,836$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.7192038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under22c1,752$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.368047.5%38 W · 42 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under31c1,748$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.5969534.8%242 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under23c1,552$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.511,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8454…331abacked Under38c1,545$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.3810441.3%43 W · 61 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaa0…e78abacked Over78c1,400$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.018950.6%45 W · 44 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fe2…9645backed Over77c1,299$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.74065%26 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1603…913bbacked Over77c1,298$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.4913453%71 W · 63 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Under32c1,266$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.0614134.8%49 W · 92 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x081b…1c6abacked Over76c1,213$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.162060%12 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over70c1,133$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.552,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83ab…8174backed Over80c1,124$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.825226.9%14 W · 38 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-23.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x67be…6e09backed Over66c1,100$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36919531.3%61 W · 134 L-0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0f8…003dbacked Under1c1,100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11948.5%8 W · 86 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-82.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d76…11aebacked Over78c1,026$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.648252.4%43 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Under39c1,018$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.5919744.2%87 W · 110 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x319f…500bbacked Over75c1,010$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.58951.7%46 W · 43 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Over78c1,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22021850%109 W · 109 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Under24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24047442.8%203 W · 271 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Over76c1,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24018644.6%83 W · 103 L+0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4a7…b2efbacked Under21c1,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2107044.3%31 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over80c945.4$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.444,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e51…c6aabacked Under21c936.79$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012341.5%51 W · 72 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1af…c4d1backed Under21c895$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.9517745.8%81 W · 96 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under23c840$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.21,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under21c830.12$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.0213548.9%66 W · 69 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over76c815.79$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.7933544.5%149 W · 186 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7066…50e5backed Over80c800.31$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.0612250%61 W · 61 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x830b…32fdbacked Over59c750$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.3323747.3%112 W · 125 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Under24c671.12$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.0752744.4%234 W · 293 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f6…1a99backed Over76c662$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.885937.3%22 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf5b…5d3abacked Over76c657.89$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.8914568.3%99 W · 46 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick66cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over73c652.61$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.572,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x46d8…2174backed Over78c650$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1431838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick31cpaid-9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbae1…d8abbacked Over77c649.35$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.3511674.1%86 W · 30 L+16.3wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+28.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under9c645.43$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.172,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31c1…bc19backed Over78c641.03$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.036457.8%37 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda10…1028backed Over78c641.03$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.034647.8%22 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e2d…990cbacked Over78c641.03$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.0315054.7%82 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Over76c640.79$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.7922355.6%124 W · 99 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7702…fcefbacked Over58c638.63$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.433464.7%22 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under25c624.99$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.2568141.1%280 W · 401 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa55a…75a6backed Over78c611.12$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.455076%38 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under24c606.65$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.647144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe710…31afbacked Over78c597.28$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.41070%7 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf4d…33edbacked Over76c574.13$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.791258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over72c555.56$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.5637955.7%211 W · 168 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x454f…bb79backed Over76c526.32$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.323070%21 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under41c524.14$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21645248.9%221 W · 231 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5960…6d42backed Under22c520$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.518548.1%89 W · 96 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6e1…06bbbacked Over78c512.82$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.8224162.2%150 W · 91 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1056…3c9dbacked Over68c499.99$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16045445.4%206 W · 248 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under24c476.25$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.543,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd722…0564backed Under21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019436.6%71 W · 123 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9a9…5c31backed Over77c453.17$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.748065%52 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-3.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under24c442$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.0870244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under24c420.1$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.423,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.