TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Norway vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,878
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$81,650

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,878 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c9,192$4,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,541.714,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under40c6,084$2,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,427.6344130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Over31c3,511$1,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,410.3727032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…cf79backed Under7c3,200$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.995119.6%10 W · 41 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick10cpaid+170.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdfde…fa1bbacked Under9c2,800$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.382313%3 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick13cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over69c2,637$1,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.4142345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under53c2,569$1,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,348.8264446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over61c2,186$1,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.328,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0df…9cf9backed Under6c2,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202020%4 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick7cpaid+121.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under31c2,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62064443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98f2…65dcbacked Over47c1,889$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.3627655.1%152 W · 124 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over56c1,706$959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.352,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over62c1,679$1,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.0935244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Over69c1,500$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.9935424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0f8…003dbacked Under1c1,100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11948.5%8 W · 86 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-82.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under31c1,026$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.0670244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44da…e225backed Under63c1,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.133452.9%18 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cc5…45c1backed Under54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001850%9 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under36c898.03$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.943,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8783…db0cbacked Over57c878.94$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.9419342%81 W · 112 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Under2c829.95$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1946012.4%57 W · 403 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under31c731.4$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.643,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e9…eedebacked Over30c726.09$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.7616755.1%92 W · 75 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f8d…cf69backed Over70c714.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.2927742.2%117 W · 160 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under57c669.87$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.453,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under30c630.37$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.113,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over24c537.66$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.6721641.7%90 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a8…9643backed Over44c501$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.5612040%48 W · 72 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12a9…af78backed Under8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403514.3%5 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over63c476.35$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.3537955.7%211 W · 168 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x275c…349cbacked Over33c466.29$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.4612528%35 W · 90 L+0.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid+43.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Under64c465.53$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020547.3%97 W · 108 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over72c458.29$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.324,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under45c430$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.523440.2%94 W · 140 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Over69c419.35$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13033149.5%164 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb2b…1e44backed Under31c419.35$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1304228.6%12 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-37.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0563…f41cbacked Under48c416.65$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9915040%60 W · 90 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under31c410.05$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.651,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe70c…17c5backed Over47c398.99$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.3233438.6%129 W · 205 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e32…ac88backed Over63c388.57$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.777951.9%41 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d76…11aebacked Over52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.628252.4%43 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under71c371.58$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.22,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under31c369.48$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.161,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed Under66c368.6$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.2126647%125 W · 141 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under75c342.07$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.452,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c38…e679backed Under31c304.61$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.439325.8%24 W · 69 L-8.1wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-26.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdcaf…c830backed Over23c300$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.56861.8%42 W · 26 L+10.2wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+37.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x404c…5c87backed Over21c300$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2376765.7%44 W · 23 L+12.4wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+39.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xdff2…2e27backed Over19c300$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.535060%30 W · 20 L+8.1wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+45.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9d1e…9e97backed Under44c295.61$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.428251.4%145 W · 137 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Under78c295.25$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.330054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9eb2…abdfbacked Over52c288.46$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.469348.4%45 W · 48 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76ca…e170backed Over35c285.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.7115455.8%86 W · 68 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over69c279.81$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.742,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over63c270$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.922153.4%118 W · 103 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xee0c…3e4dbacked Over62c258.46$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.4618158.6%106 W · 75 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under78c250$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1952,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2460…e144backed Over64c232.81$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.818058.8%47 W · 33 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Under78c208.66$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.6331156.6%176 W · 135 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f7…d6cabacked Over48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.338149.4%40 W · 41 L+8.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+29.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over71c204.65$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.271,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over69c201.19$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.792,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd20b…3a20backed Over67c200$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6712663.5%80 W · 46 L+8.9wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9705…7442backed Over22c200$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1561952.6%10 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.19per pick34cpaid+102.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe19a…abafbacked Over55c180$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814330.2%13 W · 30 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-33.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1bf7…ea54backed Over48c180$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.67544%33 W · 42 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under30c163.4$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.822,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Over54c162.96$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.9662452.7%329 W · 295 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Over26c154.59$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.5920337.9%77 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b11…2976backed Over70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8617962.6%112 W · 67 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9200…1b9bbacked Over70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.866162.3%38 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6861…cf22backed Under31c129.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4014142.6%60 W · 81 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under51c122.01$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.014,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over53c120.37$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.6787237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e68…682abacked Over34c117.65$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.6510346.6%48 W · 55 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under35c114.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4029639.9%118 W · 178 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6403…0318backed Over70c114.29$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.292927.6%8 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-49.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd2b0…cfa1backed Under62c109.45$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.861315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick24cpaid+31%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4841…1767backed Over47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.388421.4%18 W · 66 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4a7…b2efbacked Under32c104.14$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.337044.3%31 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5266…aac8backed Over58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4220651.9%107 W · 99 L+0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa681…8b89backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5027028.9%78 W · 192 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe689…0418backed Over23c100$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775646.4%26 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked Over33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6753436%192 W · 342 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61de…ed31backed Under74c100$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7412132.2%39 W · 82 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54d8…7ba2backed Over69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314551.1%23 W · 22 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd08…04fabacked Under54c94.44$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515820.7%12 W · 46 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-36.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1556…b722backed Over38c92.54$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.5429639.5%117 W · 179 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under80c88$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.42,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over46c85.53$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.382,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Under35c84.76$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6719339.9%77 W · 116 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x751f…4a2cbacked Under61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019144.5%85 W · 106 L-0.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a85…23b6backed Over70c81.06$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.321060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over40c79.99$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4850450.2%253 W · 251 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12c1…ddd6backed Over69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4619932.2%64 W · 135 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under30c71.98$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.591,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x232a…5b89backed Under55c71.43$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.22147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+32.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11a2…0532backed Over70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.436665.2%43 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fc0…a921backed Over70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4316542.4%70 W · 95 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Over59c68.71$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1736437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.