TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$179,755
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$184,144

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,755 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over4c30,862$1,256 inLost-$1,255.954,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over6c24,883$1,428 inLost-$1,428.453,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae76…2763backed Over3c7,000$196 inLost-$19618626.3%49 W · 137 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over6c4,172$246 inLost-$246.0534924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Over6c3,566$210 inLost-$209.5366846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over4c3,516$158 inLost-$157.7310836.1%39 W · 69 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+32.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over8c3,000$240 inLost-$239.9938526.8%103 W · 282 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Over13c2,250$291 inLost-$291.4935424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over6c1,805$113 inLost-$113.384425%11 W · 33 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8ca…298dbacked Over3c1,716$50 inLost-$505824.1%14 W · 44 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick17cpaid+127.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8de4…a68fbacked Over12c1,667$200 inLost-$2006848.5%33 W · 35 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb241…902cbacked Over3c1,563$47 inLost-$47.047223.6%17 W · 55 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid+15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c12…62ccbacked Over3c1,446$50 inLost-$506926.1%18 W · 51 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick18cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over9c1,379$120 inLost-$119.5238437%142 W · 242 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over10c1,309$131 inLost-$130.991,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over3c999.61$28 inLost-$27.9933120.8%69 W · 262 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over5c918.17$50 inLost-$5032922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over5c814.29$39 inLost-$38.52,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe059…daaebacked Over3c666.67$20 inLost-$2011720.5%24 W · 93 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick17cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over5c549.81$30 inLost-$29.98,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over3c535.71$15 inLost-$1543819.2%84 W · 354 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3bf…e70fbacked Over13c400$52 inLost-$5240515.3%62 W · 343 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Over3c337.43$10 inLost-$10.1256541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over9c332.02$31 inLost-$30.691,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f0d…36f2backed Over5c277.14$14 inLost-$13.86250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over10c271.15$28 inLost-$27.7169534.8%242 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over5c185.55$10 inLost-$10.124,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over10c159.36$16 inLost-$15.947431.1%23 W · 51 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over13c141.62$19 inLost-$18.872,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c37…44fdbacked Over12c128.21$15 inLost-$14.7530%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8be…68b8backed Over11c105.05$11 inLost-$11.24825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-60.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over10c100$10 inLost-$10.146525.4%118 W · 347 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5246…cb03backed Over12c100$12 inLost-$11.712128.1%34 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.