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Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Norway (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Senegalof Norway, Senegal
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$620,082
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$621,209

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $620,082 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 234 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Norway9c49,002$4,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,193.32,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Norway10c30,096$3,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,066.6726320.5%54 W · 209 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fd8…ce32backed Norway8c25,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00013330.1%40 W · 93 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Senegal65c24,812$16,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,783.421029%61 W · 149 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Norway8c24,610$1,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,848.8229646.3%137 W · 159 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Senegal77c16,383$12,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,819.363,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Norway29c16,358$4,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,667.274,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Norway23c14,085$3,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,255.6875335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Norway19c13,448$2,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.2214542.1%61 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Norway28c13,348$3,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,703.896835.3%24 W · 44 L-0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-31.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0874…6277backed Norway7c11,792$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.23026.7%8 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick16cpaid+4.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Norway21c11,132$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,350.168,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Senegal75c10,895$8,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,670.194,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Norway35c9,821$3,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,402.761,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x06f8…2062backed Norway9c9,745$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$836.475916.9%10 W · 49 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09b2…a017backed Norway8c7,999$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.939819.4%19 W · 79 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+146.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fb2…f24cbacked Norway9c7,200$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.965832.8%19 W · 39 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick27cpaid-10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Norway31c6,966$2,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,124.731,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Norway9c6,727$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.493,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Norway29c6,156$1,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,756.642,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed Senegal66c6,104$4,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,085.3925753.3%137 W · 120 L+23.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+17.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Norway9c5,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45026216%42 W · 220 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Norway26c4,885$1,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,287.541,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5e…fd91backed Norway38c4,880$1,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,862.834431.8%14 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Norway24c4,531$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,108.72,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked Norway12c4,318$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.3720646.1%95 W · 111 L+12.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Norway8c4,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32029250.7%148 W · 144 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Norway13c3,969$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.171,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Senegal66c3,924$2,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.381,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Norway21c3,859$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.3387237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Norway27c3,746$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00018544.9%83 W · 102 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a8a…cb94backed Senegal72c3,378$2,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.4118056.1%101 W · 79 L+14.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc368…a3c4backed Senegal63c3,170$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,170.2116953.3%90 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Norway10c3,157$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33060821.9%133 W · 475 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Norway9c3,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2706939.1%27 W · 42 L+6.4wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+20%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x514b…5fa9backed Norway35c3,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0507538.7%29 W · 46 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Norway16c2,995$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.5622846.1%105 W · 123 L-0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed Senegal72c2,909$2,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.6626459.5%157 W · 107 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Senegal64c2,848$1,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.0885851.2%439 W · 419 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Norway35c2,823$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.261,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Norway22c2,815$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.2336234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed Senegal64c2,344$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.1320856.7%118 W · 90 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Norway29c2,283$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66035244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Norway24c2,099$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.071,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Norway35c2,000$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70435446%163 W · 191 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d19…a703backed Senegal79c1,852$1,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.97580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x73d5…53bfbacked Senegal74c1,842$1,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.6510560%63 W · 42 L+11.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xeff8…68ebbacked Norway28c1,774$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.313237.1%49 W · 83 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked Norway7c1,746$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.1458530.9%181 W · 404 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4edd…ddf1backed Senegal65c1,623$1,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.0127034.4%93 W · 177 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Norway22c1,554$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.152,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Norway22c1,526$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.32,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Norway9c1,517$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.531,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Norway29c1,500$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.9924526.5%65 W · 180 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf763…a0aabacked Senegal68c1,450$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.7818765.2%122 W · 65 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x671a…cf16backed Norway35c1,445$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006266.7%42 W · 584 L-0.6wins0.00per pick7cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Norway10c1,398$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.1843230.1%130 W · 302 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-41%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Norway20c1,362$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.6566846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9f84…be62backed Norway8c1,331$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.444112.2%5 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-36.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x557e…5007backed Senegal62c1,300$802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49821755.3%120 W · 97 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f78…c04fbacked Norway8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004325.6%11 W · 32 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x15ec…267dbacked Norway35c1,224$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.1927845.7%127 W · 151 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed Norway35c1,146$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40030142.5%128 W · 173 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4156…997ebacked Senegal64c1,120$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.6821143.1%91 W · 120 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Norway37c1,046$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.0565835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2735…42ebbacked Senegal73c1,034$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.847865.4%51 W · 27 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Norway8c982$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.562,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ac9…92d3backed Norway31c960.58$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30022622.1%50 W · 176 L-1.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid+48.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Norway14c939.61$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.222,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Norway19c931.58$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.1438819.1%74 W · 314 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked Norway16c899.99$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.715418.8%29 W · 125 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-27.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f3d…95b1backed Norway7c857.14$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609622.9%22 W · 74 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Norway9c807.82$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.842,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Senegal67c777.82$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.1779149.2%389 W · 402 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x318d…e94cbacked Norway32c711.73$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23117462.1%108 W · 66 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe5a6…d556backed Norway31c638.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008341%34 W · 49 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Senegal70c637$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.8277051.3%395 W · 375 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Norway8c631.37$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5148937%181 W · 308 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Norway17c608.45$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.841,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Norway8c539$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6225719.1%49 W · 208 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-51.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9330…b993backed Norway15c526.45$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.277138%27 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Norway8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4014528.3%41 W · 104 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e56…cfdabacked Norway8c488$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.047911.4%9 W · 70 L0.0wins0.00per pick11cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa864…3834backed Norway10c481.08$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-44.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…e3a0backed Norway20c470$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.661323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-51.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Norway9c433.96$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.062,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5960…6d42backed Norway29c418.11$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.7218548.1%89 W · 96 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Norway8c412.43$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.463,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed Norway8c400$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3215648.1%75 W · 81 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ed2…9d82backed Norway33c400$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1327950.6%40 W · 39 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2eef…d321backed Norway10c400$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402623.1%6 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick16cpaid-3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd43…7d3dbacked Norway8c400$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327445.9%34 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Norway22c390.84$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.2784738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9c2…9389backed Norway18c390.82$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705819%11 W · 47 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick25cpaid+23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b2e…34cbbacked Senegal72c385.04$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.8712342.3%52 W · 71 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Norway36c379.68$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.5639039%152 W · 238 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40d8…9fdabacked Norway26c341.06$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.6425741.6%107 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26bc…70a3backed Norway10c327.26$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.942810.7%3 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.14per pick25cpaid-76.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2cfe…e4debacked Norway12c326.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4922623.5%53 W · 173 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Norway8c326.89$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1535424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.