TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Norway vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$192,662
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$232,743

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $192,662 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x34f6…4535backed Over46c32,976$15,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,818.534456.8%25 W · 19 L+6.6wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+23.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under59c25,893$15,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,358.684,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Under55c19,857$10,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,910.1817642%74 W · 102 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over35c10,538$3,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,85042345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Under65c10,000$6,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,50038026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Over42c9,630$4,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,555.6536437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Over45c7,777$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,277.3519038.9%74 W · 116 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7a…9e24backed Under80c7,000$5,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,589.7713234.1%45 W · 87 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over39c4,752$1,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,890.674,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over20c4,612$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,690.214620.5%30 W · 116 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over37c3,398$1,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,134.472,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4b2…33e1backed Under8c2,920$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.45139.2%20 W · 31 L+12.6wins+0.25per pick14cpaid+138.3%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under80c2,901$2,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,320.83,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd34a…78c7backed Over35c2,725$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,771.3613721.2%29 W · 108 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under65c2,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.9664443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over40c1,660$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$993.964,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under65c1,610$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.543,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfde…fa1bbacked Under14c1,460$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.22313%3 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick13cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under53c1,307$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6892,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over35c1,302$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.38,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0f8…003dbacked Under1c1,075$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.75948.5%8 W · 86 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-82.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under65c1,071$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.412,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under65c1,038$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.553,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under53c1,023$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.481,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2aef…f8dfbacked Over35c1,000$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6508736.8%32 W · 55 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Under62c947.37$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.1122846.1%105 W · 123 L-0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under58c915$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.672,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x729d…e139backed Over40c912.02$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.599573.7%70 W · 25 L+15.1wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+37.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over23c888$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.1115763.7%100 W · 57 L+16.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+16%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xef3a…1eb3backed Over35c857.14$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.144544.4%20 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over43c848.2$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.871,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Over33c662.76$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.0519545.6%89 W · 106 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6ab…fb13backed Under76c655.09$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50025842.2%109 W · 149 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c38…e679backed Over35c595.11$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.829325.8%24 W · 69 L-8.1wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-26.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under66c576.67$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.676551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b0f…3476backed Over51c529.9$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.1717938%68 W · 111 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa84…2b4bbacked Over49c512.71$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.718652.3%45 W · 41 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x61ac…4781backed Over41c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29552522.5%118 W · 407 L+0.5wins0.00per pick22cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e6f…31aebacked Under56c499.99$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.997826.9%21 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2c0…b876backed Over19c497.21$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.7410532.4%34 W · 71 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over41c490.48$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.672,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ca3…9613backed Under59c480.39$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.4315257.9%88 W · 64 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0b14…3ca3backed Over52c471.1$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.4314839.9%59 W · 89 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under65c467.26$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.721,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over29c448.28$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.287830.8%24 W · 54 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…8fc6backed Over35c429.77$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.357949.4%39 W · 40 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b97…8d88backed Over47c423.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.334351.2%22 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ba6…ab05backed Over35c418.31$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.96830.9%21 W · 47 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid+4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9f0…f1b2backed Under67c368$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.564850%24 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under66c321.45$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.872,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x68e9…845cbacked Over28c297.74$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.7430831.2%96 W · 212 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under26c294.89$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.792,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Under64c287.02$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18520841.3%86 W · 122 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over17c278.1$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.833,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over44c271.95$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.2963745.4%289 W · 348 L-2.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8583…3f3cbacked Over51c268.63$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.638652.3%45 W · 41 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over16c255.75$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.831,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under66c254$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.643,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x66c3…6d25backed Under79c252.89$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006467.2%43 W · 21 L+6.9wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3a0b…d29dbacked Over25c229$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.0934844.3%154 W · 194 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over44c228.04$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.71,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Under51c199.99$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.9916656.6%94 W · 72 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3cf…f0cbbacked Over52c192.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.524046.3%111 W · 129 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbcf…20aebacked Over27c170$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.825639.1%100 W · 156 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under54c162.07$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.931,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over36c156.25$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10074447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2725…e7d1backed Under66c149.99$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1121341.3%88 W · 125 L-18.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd220…fc0bbacked Over37c148.65$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.6510432.7%34 W · 70 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2760…c0eebacked Over45c143.13$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.825255.8%29 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under64c139.98$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.091,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe1e…7ee3backed Under58c136.67$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.2716165.8%106 W · 55 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x074b…af96backed Over37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.142536%9 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-25.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Over36c133.78$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.6213447%63 W · 71 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under66c133.32$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.9961750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under35c133.02$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.692,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over33c131.05$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.372,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf7a…3de0backed Over38c130$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.616655.4%92 W · 74 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6da3…95a0backed Under65c127.65$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.973363.6%21 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2353…45eabacked Over35c122.74$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.784228.6%12 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb078…289ebacked Under64c119.1$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7620756%116 W · 91 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Under79c117.79$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.0448328%135 W · 348 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc650…55a1backed Under58c117$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.0529363.1%185 W · 108 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over31c110.07$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.9587237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over37c108.37$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.271,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd145…c438backed Over27c107.41$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.414327.9%12 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-24.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fca…f72ebacked Over52c106.13$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.6114427.8%40 W · 104 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over63c103$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.341,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x66bc…25c9backed Under50c100.3$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5033221.7%72 W · 260 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x852d…c3dfbacked Under75c100$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753158.1%18 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick61cpaid+6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under66c100$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.52,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3bf…e70fbacked Over39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6140515.3%62 W · 343 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8a9…2948backed Under63c99.99$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.9926042.3%110 W · 150 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Over46c95.48$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5670948.9%347 W · 362 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over67c93$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.691,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Over47c91$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2377051.3%395 W · 375 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4156…997ebacked Under58c86.2$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9921143.1%91 W · 120 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43a8…e9d9backed Over27c85.34$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.314533.1%48 W · 97 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x09d8…d46abacked Over25c80$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid+28.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over31c79.53$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.711,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x515b…2d91backed Under73c68.49$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506258.1%36 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.