TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,140,004
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,372,595

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,140,004 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 524 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd65…ee96backed Over31c163,789$50,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113,788.7519644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under66c66,842$44,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,028.164,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over31c55,767$17,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,622.821,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under62c53,996$33,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,405.3166846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under69c37,437$25,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,831.6574752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Over30c34,395$10,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,083.3722348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Under71c31,221$22,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,166.8914232.4%46 W · 96 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under69c23,000$15,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,87032031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45ad…55b7backed Over44c22,673$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,672.586459.4%38 W · 26 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under69c21,740$14,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,932.972,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over30c19,920$5,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,944.2845428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under70c15,500$10,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,904.961,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under54c15,382$8,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,321.461,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Over21c14,444$3,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,410.7614045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under70c13,761$9,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,632.21,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Over30c12,371$3,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,667.3336123.5%85 W · 276 L-1.7wins0.00per pick24cpaid-21.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over42c11,010$4,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,390.0239644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under70c10,060$7,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,041.251,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under69c10,000$6,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,90037959.1%224 W · 155 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4bdb…0371backed Under0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109017.8%16 W · 74 L-0.2wins0.00per pick18cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under68c10,000$6,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,80074447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Under1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Over30c9,350$2,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,565.4895037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over31c9,194$2,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,342.73,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ac…b964backed Under68c9,051$6,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,154.715749.1%28 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under70c8,870$6,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,240.353,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Under70c8,741$6,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,158.3244144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over46c8,499$3,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,610.111,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x564f…d93bbacked Under10c8,229$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.637431.1%23 W · 51 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+28.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under70c8,000$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,60036250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Under56c8,000$4,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,479.954161%25 W · 16 L+0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under70c7,995$5,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,586.962,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Under70c7,777$5,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,443.895240.4%21 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick35cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd6c…21edbacked Over30c6,667$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,666.671752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+50.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over29c6,382$1,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,531.412,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Under57c6,241$3,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,536.424533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Under68c5,892$4,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,006.8213259.1%78 W · 54 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under70c5,447$3,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,828.8847144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under71c5,356$3,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,822.292,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Over51c5,353$2,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,632.744539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf4d…77c6backed Over30c5,107$1,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,575.087647.4%36 W · 40 L+13.4wins+0.18per pick30cpaid+80.2%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under70c5,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50086452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Under56c4,779$2,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,676.238333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Over30c4,444$1,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,110.832029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under1c4,368$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6821314.1%30 W · 183 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+135.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under70c4,200$2,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,943.781,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5a7…8105backed Under69c4,122$2,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,843.962835.7%10 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Under70c4,000$2,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,814.2847643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Over30c4,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,799.9814433.3%48 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over29c4,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,839.9222342.6%95 W · 128 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+53.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc3…7a59backed Under1c3,971$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.71250%0 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55f5…e2a0backed Over77c3,896$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.14870.8%34 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under18c3,880$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.1744130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under70c3,743$2,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,605.963,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over29c3,534$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,509.141,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93df…7306backed Over75c3,390$2,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.56863.2%43 W · 25 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under70c3,310$2,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,332.4950243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over30c3,270$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,294.842,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under70c3,200$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,24037850.5%191 W · 187 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under70c3,124$2,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,183.643,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Over30c3,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,10017636.4%64 W · 112 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+35.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d06…f79dbacked Over29c3,000$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,13012536.8%46 W · 79 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under70c2,944$2,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,060.826454.5%144 W · 120 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under69c2,899$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.3159752.1%311 W · 286 L-2.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under70c2,800$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,96038351.4%197 W · 186 L-1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked Over16c2,713$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,266.8312114%17 W · 104 L+0.5wins0.00per pick14cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Under27c2,633$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.2636234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Under70c2,592$1,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,814.418850%94 W · 94 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under80c2,500$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00065948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under70c2,400$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,68035251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under71c2,264$1,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,601.774,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under33c2,263$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.7719946.7%93 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Under71c2,173$1,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,543.14665.2%30 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Over23c2,123$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,624.8334845.1%157 W · 191 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over45c2,016$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,115.821641.7%90 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over75c2,009$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.1323857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under70c2,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.9964443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Under70c2,000$1,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,408.8747442.8%203 W · 271 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Over25c1,886$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,420.8828025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Under1c1,870$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.775335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over32c1,818$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,233.362,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb51c…5118backed Under67c1,794$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2004744.7%21 W · 26 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over33c1,768$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,185.252,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9689…df62backed Over29c1,724$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.1423427.8%65 W · 169 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over30c1,674$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.9389443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f66…849bbacked Over29c1,672$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,186.974626.1%12 W · 34 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick18cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under71c1,584$1,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.4548441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under68c1,548$1,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.9669534.8%242 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b26…8c32backed Over29c1,524$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.686418.8%12 W · 52 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed Over29c1,500$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,06511044.5%49 W · 61 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over26c1,500$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,110.9843826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c48…c943backed Over79c1,499$1,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.94757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick69cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10ce…fe1fbacked Over28c1,426$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.514833.3%16 W · 32 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4df…54dbbacked Over29c1,400$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9947835.9%28 W · 50 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae76…2763backed Over29c1,379$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.3118626.3%49 W · 137 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Over78c1,363$1,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.8727032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over29c1,335$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.6511122.5%25 W · 86 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-30.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d3d…0299backed Over28c1,307$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.874153.7%22 W · 19 L+5.2wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked Over73c1,292$937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.7117442%73 W · 101 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5d3…9fc7backed Under24c1,259$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.25541.8%23 W · 32 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+105.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.