Fifa International · resolved market
Norway vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score in First Half
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a79f0e089c341663ccec398a54c150c61ef3a834afa149c83a69a3ab7f3bd5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,298
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,063
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,298 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 19c | 5,271$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.41 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 78c | 4,332$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.75 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Yes | 21c | 3,298$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.63 | 320 | 29.4%94 W · 226 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Yes | 21c | 2,282$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 352 | 44%155 W · 197 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.99 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 78c | 1,927$1,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.98 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 79c | 1,879$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.81 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 79c | 1,764$1,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.15 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fca…c922backed Yes | 21c | 1,667$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 125 | 17.6%22 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 79c | 1,655$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.65 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 11c | 1,332$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.96 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 78c | 1,273$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.36 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed No | 78c | 999.96$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.99 | 195 | 45.6%89 W · 106 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 10c | 636.53$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.76 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 78c | 598.29$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.62 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb56b…28dbbacked Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2618…aecfbacked Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 14c | 429.51$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.25 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 10c | 379$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8f…56e5backed Yes | 21c | 374.46$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed No | 78c | 320$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 11c | 298.59$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.73 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 11c | 268.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…0ff5backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 79c | 201.51$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.97 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 78c | 159.69$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7df…9e41backed Yes | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…a42abacked Yes | 21c | 141.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 66 | 18.2%12 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed No | 79c | 136.76$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.72 | 328 | 55.8%183 W · 145 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…43ddbacked Yes | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 90 | 31.1%28 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c6…f54ebacked Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b20…2f94backed Yes | 22c | 115$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 207 | 29%60 W · 147 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf170…d9eabacked Yes | 26c | 114.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5090…9e15backed Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 79c | 100.07$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1db2…dacabacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 193 | 24.9%48 W · 145 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf649…e594backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0091…2439backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f1…158dbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 27cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 78c | 99.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 78c | 99.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa409…82bdbacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1002…1ef5backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe71c…4987backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0d…2edabacked Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa0…9db3backed Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 79c | 52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf262…c56dbacked Yes | 22c | 51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 78c | 33.81$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 161 | 57.8%93 W · 68 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 548 | 59.5%326 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Norway vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score in First Halfthis page
- Norway vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Norway vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Norway vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Norway vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Norway vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Norway vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Norway vs. Senegal: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Norway vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- Norway vs. Senegal: Norway 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Norway vs. Senegal: Norway 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Norway vs. Senegal: Norway 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Norway vs. Senegal: Norway O/U 0.5Over won
- Norway vs. Senegal: Norway O/U 1.5Over won
- Norway vs. Senegal: Norway O/U 2.5Over won
- Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5Over won
- Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5Over won
- Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5Over won
- Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5Over won
- Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5Over won
- Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 5.5Under won
- Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 6.5Under won
- Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 7.5Under won
- Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 8.5Under won
- Norway vs. Senegal: Senegal 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Norway vs. Senegal: Senegal 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Norway vs. Senegal: Senegal 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Norway vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 0.5Over won
- Norway vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 1.5Over won
- Norway vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Norway (-1.5)Senegal won
- Spread: Norway (-2.5)Senegal won
- Spread: Norway (-3.5)Senegal won
- Spread: Senegal (-1.5)Norway won
- Spread: Senegal (-2.5)Norway won
- Spread: Senegal (-5.5)Norway won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.