TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$940,300
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,035,466

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $940,300 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 335 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over16c77,586$12,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,376.33,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over35c42,693$15,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,065.8924533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over31c40,821$12,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,805.942345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under77c32,605$25,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,532.552,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under74c22,144$16,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,669.0166846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over12c20,189$2,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,352.054,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Under62c17,458$10,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,687.264235.7%15 W · 27 L-5.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-24.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over6c16,678$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.941,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Over16c10,763$1,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,732.5628229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over8c8,841$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.1351514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over12c8,555$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023.4934924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over35c8,228$2,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,875.671,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over29c7,808$2,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,250.839644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Over31c6,974$2,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,152.2444539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Over38c6,948$2,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,644.4227345.8%125 W · 148 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over27c6,759$1,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,815.481,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over22c6,566$1,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,415.393,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03b8…b4aebacked Under75c6,157$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,556.8123353.2%124 W · 109 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Over38c5,555$2,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,116.4232029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over38c5,290$1,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,989.8645428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9156…3d69backed Over6c5,087$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.23920.5%8 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-38.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Under70c4,999$3,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,475.2238333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ce…fe1fbacked Over7c4,758$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.884833.3%16 W · 32 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4280…f363backed Over6c4,680$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28130%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Over2c4,615$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.1534731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56e2…4a79backed Under66c3,500$2,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,186.496352.4%33 W · 30 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick57cpaid+12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5d3…9fc7backed Over14c3,194$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.845541.8%23 W · 32 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+105.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde45…8597backed Over32c3,144$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009538.9%37 W · 58 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8de4…a68fbacked Over35c3,059$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,064.476848.5%33 W · 35 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44da…e225backed Under68c3,000$2,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9543452.9%18 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over27c2,997$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.072,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d5c…98eebacked Over31c2,988$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.639740.2%39 W · 58 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over7c2,907$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under71c2,884$2,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.3174752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed Under77c2,868$2,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.2846230.1%139 W · 323 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x564f…d93bbacked Over28c2,759$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.757431.1%23 W · 51 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+28.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d49…7cc0backed Under72c2,621$1,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.9612862.5%80 W · 48 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over28c2,361$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.178,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaa0…e78abacked Over25c2,256$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.338950.6%45 W · 44 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over27c2,235$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59533544.5%149 W · 186 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d3c…d9b0backed Under68c2,091$1,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.1111436.8%42 W · 72 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1bb1…eac3backed Over6c1,999$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.9415920.1%32 W · 127 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Under64c1,890$1,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68975335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64ae…23c4backed Over7c1,857$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301225%3 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+50.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over38c1,828$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.351,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under78c1,792$1,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.521,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over17c1,761$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.752,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Under78c1,757$1,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.6887237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over18c1,643$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30036539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Over32c1,606$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.931545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e6f…31aebacked Over21c1,600$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.057826.9%21 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under79c1,539$1,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.683153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under72c1,513$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.851,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under72c1,476$1,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.551,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Over8c1,338$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.823823.7%9 W · 29 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96ef…b406backed Under65c1,325$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.753464.7%22 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e78…3945backed Over38c1,312$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50019529.7%58 W · 137 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over23c1,292$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2911,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Over20c1,281$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25020633%68 W · 138 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde63…46c2backed Over1c1,200$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0510727.1%29 W · 78 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick22cpaid-11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Under77c1,200$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.2321166.4%140 W · 71 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under59c1,185$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.351,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd408…e85cbacked Under74c1,181$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.3311149.5%55 W · 56 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b28…b6bebacked Over35c1,146$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002060%12 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Under77c1,138$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.1763544.4%282 W · 353 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over23c1,119$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.494,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under74c1,105$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.1819946.7%93 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Over11c1,103$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.035731.6%18 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8390…09f1backed Under68c1,095$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.0414235.9%51 W · 91 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over37c1,083$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40021641.7%90 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over8c1,060$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.512,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe65e…b719backed Under76c1,059$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.7117040%68 W · 102 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under78c1,057$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.5733740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Over34c1,056$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.725942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5d3…e1dfbacked Under62c1,050$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.088354.2%45 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76d1…b03fbacked Under62c1,045$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.79540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x830b…32fdbacked Over25c1,040$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.9523747.3%112 W · 125 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked Over34c1,025$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.8417442%73 W · 101 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Over2c1,015$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2544130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c12…62ccbacked Over7c1,015$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706926.1%18 W · 51 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick18cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over8c1,008$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7710836.1%39 W · 69 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+32.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over6c1,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6033120.8%69 W · 262 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36028337.1%105 W · 178 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde67…bab9backed Over8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80150%0 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b7a…9e24backed Under76c999.99$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.513234.1%45 W · 87 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Over6c999.94$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6024144.8%108 W · 133 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed Over10c962.27$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.943727%10 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over10c945.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.947431.1%23 W · 51 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b0f…3476backed Over38c939.63$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35817938%68 W · 111 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Over25c928.6$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.5658942.6%251 W · 338 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over34c882$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.8837242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over7c878.05$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.494425%11 W · 33 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4aef…22d9backed Under65c870.19$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.275966.1%39 W · 20 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over6c833.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5045120.6%93 W · 358 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under73c822.47$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.4723440.2%94 W · 140 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Over25c816.7$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.0837650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x337a…62dbbacked Over37c813.01$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006543.1%28 W · 37 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4457…f3e2backed Over14c799.99$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.614231%44 W · 98 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x708b…3424backed Over15c799.97$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.99580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb285…68d3backed Under77c784.6$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.6110169.3%70 W · 31 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.