TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Norway vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$68,757
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,883

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,757 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over33c16,418$5,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,418.0642345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under67c11,619$7,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,834.2770244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0de8…6cf3backed Over34c4,123$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4006930.4%21 W · 48 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over5c3,670$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.553,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under66c3,228$2,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,081.61,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Over20c2,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40035424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under67c2,000$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.9964443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under66c1,472$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.4826454.5%144 W · 120 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1b6d…2f1abacked Over34c1,471$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Over34c1,471$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50037223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Under66c1,296$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.6418850%94 W · 94 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over27c1,207$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33035244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under66c1,200$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40835251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under66c1,042$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.221,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under67c1,039$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.843,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed4c…03cabacked Over14c805.72$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under66c745.38$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.862,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under67c744.07$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.5467447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc423…03b9backed Over3c714.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040912%49 W · 360 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under67c708.49$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.352,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Over14c701.96$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.3827032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under67c688.06$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.23,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over33c659.06$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.491,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over2c631.77$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.481,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf536…1579backed Over33c606.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015440.3%62 W · 92 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over34c588.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20032922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62ff…5058backed Over34c587.79$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.857847.4%37 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under67c573.82$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.3676551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under68c540.61$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17338351.4%197 W · 186 L-1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over34c505.76$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.962,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8494…814abacked Over32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16019251.6%99 W · 93 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over20c467.41$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.032,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under70c467.01$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.832,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x186a…559dbacked Under68c439.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.6714659.6%87 W · 59 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under74c406.12$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.6638745%174 W · 213 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under66c400$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13635352.7%186 W · 167 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c48…f6f6backed Over34c382.35$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1306026.7%16 W · 44 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over14c370.36$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5021641.7%90 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over33c324.89$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.738,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under75c311.45$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.824,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x565f…cb2dbacked Over34c310.24$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.488338.6%32 W · 51 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c38…e679backed Over34c305.06$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.729325.8%24 W · 69 L-8.1wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-26.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over7c303.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.782,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under66c279.99$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.81,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Over7c222.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3756541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d30…c902backed Over34c208.82$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717226.4%19 W · 53 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-43.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x68e9…845cbacked Over33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6630831.2%96 W · 212 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6837753.8%203 W · 174 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd86…a1bebacked Under66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686750.7%34 W · 33 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1597…6edebacked Over21c193.38$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8647029.1%137 W · 333 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under66c176.82$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.121,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01ae…55f8backed Over34c176.47$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607751.9%40 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over10c176.35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.91,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under78c164.5$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.54,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under66c154.91$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.6735251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over14c150.16$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.021,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Under77c150$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over30c150$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over30c150$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9fd…4f20backed Over14c149.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.63627.8%10 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb90…1917backed Under67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.254040%16 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-19.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc540…25e9backed Over7c148.14$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+19.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over32c134.1$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.912,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under67c129.99$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.731,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Under66c120$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.823453%124 W · 110 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Under66c120$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.817557.1%100 W · 75 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under79c108.61$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.22,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf1e2…c194backed Over10c105.89$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid-18.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x93c0…94abbacked Over33c105.85$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.051258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.19per pick40cpaid+30.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4acb…74fcbacked Over33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337640.8%31 W · 45 L-7.3wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0091…2439backed Over34c99.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341225%3 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc169…cb6abacked Over46c98.64$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4517047.1%80 W · 90 L+10.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under79c95.26$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.582,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe196…7976backed Over33c90.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3023528.1%66 W · 169 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over31c90$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.93,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over34c88.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c75…c91fbacked Over23c87.39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010737.4%40 W · 67 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe185…de06backed Over34c86.76$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.54314%6 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…67fdbacked Over33c85.85$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3332046.6%149 W · 171 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4061…dde5backed Over19c80.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1515722.3%35 W · 122 L+0.7wins0.00per pick22cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a29…2b6ebacked Over34c73.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-31.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x612a…b3d7backed Over34c73.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252857.1%16 W · 12 L+4.5wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+21.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2b14…13dcbacked Over33c70$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.16952.2%36 W · 33 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10e5…b4e9backed Over33c69.7$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2311046.4%51 W · 59 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Over31c65.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2919545.6%89 W · 106 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ec2…a53cbacked Over32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209747.4%46 W · 51 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd970…cc36backed Over33c62.3$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.564353.5%23 W · 20 L+4.8wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+25.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Over33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2052441.4%217 W · 307 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under68c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.245949.5%227 W · 232 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb76…0a16backed Over33c57.58$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197549.3%37 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacc1…6fa6backed Over33c57.48$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9740%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7db…6688backed Over32c57.23$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3116740.7%68 W · 99 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under67c55.94$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.652,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6403…0318backed Over34c54.91$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.672927.6%8 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-49.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7116…562abacked Over37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020339.4%80 W · 123 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under67c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3881554.8%447 W · 368 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under67c49.99$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.52,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over33c45.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1582340.9%337 W · 486 L-2.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f5d…7590backed Over34c44.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154632.6%15 W · 31 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+26.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over32c32.81$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.521,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.