TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2b14…13dc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
131
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Valorant, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 55 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT6952.2%36 W · 33 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 69 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.57
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$22.76
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$48.69
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.2
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.2
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$27
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$56.5
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$22.17
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+87.8%+$23.38
Jordan vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$43.4
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
Spread: France (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$65.57
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$29.15
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$51.71
Japan vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.16
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.5
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$21.5
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$14
Morocco vs. Haiti: Haiti O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$34.2
Showing 25 of 69 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-31.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Bucksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+66.7%+$17.2
Cavaliers vs. Thunderbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$26.4
Grizzlies vs. Heatbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$25.2
Pistons vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$25.3
Pacers vs. Raptorsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Heat vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$24.2
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+150%+$36
Cavaliers vs. Kings: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+138.1%+$34.8
76ers vs. Suns: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+132.6%+$34.2
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$25.2
Dylan Harper: Points O/U 9.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$25.03
Ayo Dosunmu: Rebounds O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$25.6
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$24.2
All 13 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16.67
Map Handicap: HOTU (-1.5) vs ROCEAN Lords (+1.5)backed ROCEAN Lords · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Map Handicap: 9INE (-1.5) vs PCIFIC (+1.5)backed 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+75.4%+$10.75
Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs G2 Ares (BO3) - IstabuLAN Playoffsbacked G2 Ares · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$25.5
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs fnatic (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+100%+$25
Counter-Strike: Crashers vs Galorys (BO3) - Ace South American Masters Open Qualifier Playoffsbacked Crashers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$25.3
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs illwill (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Betclic Apogee Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25.2
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Playoffsbacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+203%+$24.95
All 8 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick31cpaid+67.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+18.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-54.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KHL: Barys Astana vs. Metallurg Magnitogorskbacked Barys Astana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$24.2
KHL: HC Sochi vs. Lokomotiv Yaroslavlbacked HC Sochi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$16.31
Panthers vs. Lightningbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50.2
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+75.8%+$18.95
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$106.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Porto vs. CD Tondela: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.86
Will SC Braga win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$24.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Alianza Lima win on 2026-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+244.8%+$63.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$115.94
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.