Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Weber State Wildcats vs. Idaho Vandals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf453d1afe91f66341b81a1f0fedd10fd4271a119d0879f0a49a14af76c6f7d51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Weber State Wildcatsof Weber State Wildcats, Idaho Vandals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,724
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,046
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,724 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Idaho Vandals | 35c | 1,093$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.94 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Weber State Wildcats | 31c | 906.18$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.13 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26e2…1a63backed Idaho Vandals | 6c | 905.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Idaho Vandals | 69c | 599.13$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.4 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Idaho Vandals | 70c | 529.32$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.5 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Weber State Wildcats | 64c | 514.48$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.88 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Weber State Wildcats | 31c | 500$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 371 | 42.6%158 W · 213 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Idaho Vandals | 70c | 394$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.8 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Weber State Wildcats | 30c | 368$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.63 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Idaho Vandals | 8c | 301.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Idaho Vandals | 4c | 271.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Idaho Vandals | 24c | 270$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.73 | 252 | 46.4%117 W · 135 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Idaho Vandals | 8c | 261.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…34e1backed Idaho Vandals | 70c | 250$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Weber State Wildcats | 29c | 199.52$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.7 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Weber State Wildcats | 30c | 195$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Weber State Wildcats | 40c | 192.25$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.17 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Idaho Vandals | 47c | 157$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.86 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Weber State Wildcats | 33c | 153.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.34 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Idaho Vandals | 69c | 149$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.81 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Idaho Vandals | 69c | 144.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cc…015bbacked Idaho Vandals | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf72…b4a6backed Idaho Vandals | 70c | 106.43$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 94 | 70.2%66 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…6646backed Idaho Vandals | 28c | 106$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Idaho Vandals | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.18 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Weber State Wildcats | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +153.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b14…13dcbacked Weber State Wildcats | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Idaho Vandals | 71c | 86$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.06 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Idaho Vandals | 69c | 78.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.09 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Idaho Vandals | 69c | 66.13$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9460…97d5backed Weber State Wildcats | 31c | 64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.16 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Idaho Vandals | 67c | 59.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Weber State Wildcats | 31c | 59.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.89 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Weber State Wildcats | 49c | 57.72$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Weber State Wildcats | 31c | 46.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.15 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c4…d7dfbacked Weber State Wildcats | 29c | 34.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Idaho Vandals | 47c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Idaho Vandals | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…be18backed Idaho Vandals | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Idaho Vandals | 69c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Weber State Wildcats vs. Idaho Vandalsthis page
- Spread: Idaho Vandals (-5.5)Weber State Wildcats won
- Spread: Idaho Vandals (-6.5)Weber State Wildcats won
- Weber State Wildcats vs. Idaho Vandals: O/U 155.5Under won
- Weber State Wildcats vs. Idaho Vandals: O/U 156.5Under won
- Weber State Wildcats vs. Idaho Vandals: O/U 157.5Under won
- Weber State Wildcats vs. Idaho Vandals: O/U 158.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.