Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Weber State Wildcats vs. Idaho Vandals: O/U 158.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa11ccd2bf5c5b40e2d7744e41bf8a790447e84e8925bc9f30d881bf96128aa06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,062
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,081
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,062 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Under | 54c | 56,810$30,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,982.49 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 46c | 33,000$15,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,099.75 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Over | 46c | 21,243$9,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,720.02 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Over | 45c | 4,024$1,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,811 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Under | 55c | 3,999$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.75 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 45c | 1,615$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.73 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 54c | 811.29$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.72 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Over | 46c | 803.51$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 55c | 675$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.75 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 46c | 495.54$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.5 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Over | 46c | 461.99$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.15 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 55c | 210$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.7 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0a…7affbacked Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 10c | 191.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Under | 55c | 178.79$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.45 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over | 44c | 164.98$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.59 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Over | 46c | 109.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Under | 56c | 60.62$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 408 | 49.8%203 W · 205 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…e4abbacked Over | 42c | 54.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdb…75dbbacked Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 57c | 39.25$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Under | 64c | 38.27$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Under | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 41c | 27.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bb…15eebacked Over | 46c | 26.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Weber State Wildcats vs. Idaho Vandals: O/U 158.5this page
- Spread: Idaho Vandals (-5.5)Weber State Wildcats won
- Spread: Idaho Vandals (-6.5)Weber State Wildcats won
- Weber State Wildcats vs. Idaho VandalsWeber State Wildcats won
- Weber State Wildcats vs. Idaho Vandals: O/U 155.5Under won
- Weber State Wildcats vs. Idaho Vandals: O/U 156.5Under won
- Weber State Wildcats vs. Idaho Vandals: O/U 157.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.