Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Weber State Wildcats vs. Idaho Vandals: O/U 157.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7fb39d953c4634478d9977db2c8ab7ec10245b31466ae2cdbd276180f24ce96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,145
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,253
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,145 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Under | 52c | 36,731$19,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,594.67 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 48c | 28,000$13,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,440 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Over | 48c | 5,169$2,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,481.23 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 46c | 3,261$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.99 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 1,008$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.85 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Over | 48c | 802.08$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 48c | 420$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Over | 48c | 391.99$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.16 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 47c | 212.75$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.39 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over | 48c | 139.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.85 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.6 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Over | 46c | 82.63$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…e4abbacked Over | 23c | 64.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 53c | 56.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 52c | 42.27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.29 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Under | 61c | 34.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Under | 53c | 33.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +11.5wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7c46…c777backed Under | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dca…ff05backed Under | 53c | 24.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…c396backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Weber State Wildcats vs. Idaho Vandals: O/U 157.5this page
- Spread: Idaho Vandals (-5.5)Weber State Wildcats won
- Spread: Idaho Vandals (-6.5)Weber State Wildcats won
- Weber State Wildcats vs. Idaho VandalsWeber State Wildcats won
- Weber State Wildcats vs. Idaho Vandals: O/U 155.5Under won
- Weber State Wildcats vs. Idaho Vandals: O/U 156.5Under won
- Weber State Wildcats vs. Idaho Vandals: O/U 158.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.