TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2c0a…7aff

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
66
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Tennis, grading 49 out of 100 (-0.01 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category Tennis at 49 out of 100; worst NBA at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST2326.1%6 W · 17 L-5.6wins-0.24per pick51cpaid-54.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Lakers (-7.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+38.9%+$97.22
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$91.2
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+37%+$73.97
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Pacers vs. Bucks: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+104.1%+$208.16
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
76ers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+61.3%+$122.58
Spurs vs. Mavericks: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$260
Spread: Magic (-11.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+122.2%+$183.33
Wizards vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Cavaliers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$210
Spread: Kings (-1.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Timberwolves vs. Raptorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+84.1%+$176.86
All 23 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST2245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Weber State Wildcats vs. Idaho Vandals: O/U 158.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$90
South Dakota State Jackrabbits vs. Denver Pioneers: O/U 158.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+108.3%+$216.67
California Baptist Lancers vs. Southern Utah Thunderbirds: O/U 144.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Kansas City Roos vs. Oral Roberts Golden Eagles: O/U 146.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+126.6%+$113.96
Portland State Vikings vs. Northern Arizona Lumberjacks: O/U 134.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Robert Morris Colonials vs. Cleveland State Vikings: O/U 153.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+99.4%+$82.54
Belmont Bruins vs. UIC Flames: O/U 150.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+112.8%+$225.53
Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Davidson Wildcats: O/U 139.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Eastern Washington Eagles vs. Montana Grizzlies: O/U 151.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$71.05
Morehead State Eagles vs. Southeast Missouri State Redhawks: O/U 145.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+96.1%+$192.16
Eastern Illinois Panthers vs. Tennessee State Tigers: O/U 145.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles vs. UT Martin Skyhawks: O/U 132.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+100%+$160
Western Illinois Leathernecks vs. Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles: O/U 142.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Monmouth Hawks vs. Stony Brook Seawolves: O/U 136.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Iona Gaels vs. Siena Saints: O/U 140.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+104.1%+$312.24
Albany Great Danes vs. Bryant Bulldogs: O/U 134.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$450
Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 163.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Binghamton Bearcats vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 139.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Creighton Bluejays vs. Georgetown Hoyasbacked Georgetown Hoyas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+88.7%+$133.02
USC Upstate Spartans vs. UNC Asheville Bulldogs: O/U 140.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$150
South Alabama Jaguars vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers: O/U 130.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+88.7%+$133.02
South Alabama Jaguars vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers: O/U 129.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+104.1%+$156.12
All 22 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Golden Knightsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Penguins vs. Sabresbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+112.8%+$225.53
Islanders vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Kraken vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Oilers vs. Flamesbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Blues vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+51.5%+$128.79
Sharks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+38.2%+$210.08
Red Wings vs. Utah: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$225
Red Wings vs. Utah: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Bruins vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+69.5%+$104.24
Canadiens vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Bruins vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+96.5%+$241.18
Maple Leafs vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Sabres vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+66.7%+$66.67
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.