Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Portland State Vikings vs. Northern Arizona Lumberjacks: O/U 134.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x620dc4afd47640b321396789e779e118d709c19c673dde88d91814b58f281a92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $139,343
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $139,448
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,343 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 50c | 98,944$49,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,110.75 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 50c | 60,000$30,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,080 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Under | 50c | 25,914$12,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,879.41 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 14,255$6,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,656.13 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Over | 51c | 9,999$5,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,899.48 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 6,863$3,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,260.13 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 54c | 5,440$2,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,512.85 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Over | 56c | 5,193$2,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,292.54 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1e…8972backed Over | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -7.7wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Under | 49c | 4,618$2,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,262 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 47c | 4,212$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.99 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Under | 49c | 2,204$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.5 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Over | 53c | 1,800$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Under | 46c | 1,141$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 47c | 1,093$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.71 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 48c | 949.35$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.26 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 50c | 900$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.2 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda2e…8904backed Under | 46c | 860.96$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 47c | 850$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.5 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 50c | 839.99$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.12 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Under | 45c | 744.99$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.25 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 46c | 571$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.55 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 473$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.74 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Over | 51c | 369.98$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.29 | 408 | 49.8%203 W · 205 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Under | 49c | 299.99$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.9 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 47c | 262.93$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.58 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0a…7affbacked Under | 49c | 224$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 47c | 220$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 51c | 204.85$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.38 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2a…bc9bbacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 47c | 184.93$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 50c | 121.01$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Under | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Under | 50c | 100.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Over | 52c | 88.76$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 149 | 40.3%60 W · 89 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf926…fb21backed Under | 48c | 75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Over | 52c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 47c | 55.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 49c | 48.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Over | 52c | 41.31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Under | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 46c | 26.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bb…15eebacked Under | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Over | 56c | 19.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portland State Vikings vs. Northern Arizona Lumberjacks: O/U 134.5this page
- Portland State Vikings vs. Northern Arizona LumberjacksPortland State Vikings won
- Spread: Portland State Vikings (-6.5)Portland State Vikings won
- Spread: Portland State Vikings (-7.5)Portland State Vikings won
- Spread: Portland State Vikings (-8.5)Portland State Vikings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.