Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Portland State Vikings vs. Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c671d4a4b3c17c824172bb84af06c70c9c06c235621d1d5f7b1770eba9941ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Portland State Vikingsof Portland State Vikings, Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,288
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $134,846
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,288 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Portland State Vikings | 59c | 34,221$20,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,920.88 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 32c | 15,682$4,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,970.53 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 38c | 6,736$2,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,576.71 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 25c | 5,311$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.35 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 38c | 4,670$1,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,790.94 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 40c | 3,772$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512.16 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 38c | 3,273$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.47 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 24c | 1,661$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.38 | 252 | 46.4%117 W · 135 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 27c | 1,229$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.08 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 9c | 1,061$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.55 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 12c | 768.83$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 37c | 670.67$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.79 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Portland State Vikings | 79c | 649.4$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.25 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 33c | 371.98$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.34 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 40c | 325.14$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.27 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57f6…509bbacked Portland State Vikings | 76c | 319.74$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 19c | 293.68$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ca…ae4abacked Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 20c | 288.53$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 27c | 237$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 27c | 200$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.73 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 23c | 199.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Portland State Vikings | 77c | 194$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.26 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Portland State Vikings | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 33c | 161.18$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.78 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 26c | 139.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.93 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 23c | 134$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Portland State Vikings | 77c | 116.63$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…d3abbacked Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 23c | 109.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 202 | 34.2%69 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Portland State Vikings | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c77…a901backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…51f7backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…eeefbacked Portland State Vikings | 75c | 89.67$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 72 | 72.2%52 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4324…1390backed Portland State Vikings | 51c | 88$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.42 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Portland State Vikings | 79c | 75.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…5b77backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 24c | 67.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 44c | 63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 21c | 57.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7226…873dbacked Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 55c | 55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Portland State Vikings | 78c | 46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 32c | 43.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 27c | 40.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Portland State Vikings | 59c | 38.37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…0852backed Portland State Vikings | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Portland State Vikings | 79c | 23.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc25a…f243backed Portland State Vikings | 76c | 23.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 37 | 86.5%32 W · 5 L | +6.0wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf55c…a6abbacked Portland State Vikings | 77c | 17.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 141 | 71.6%101 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portland State Vikings vs. Northern Arizona Lumberjacksthis page
- Portland State Vikings vs. Northern Arizona Lumberjacks: O/U 134.5Over won
- Spread: Portland State Vikings (-6.5)Portland State Vikings won
- Spread: Portland State Vikings (-7.5)Portland State Vikings won
- Spread: Portland State Vikings (-8.5)Portland State Vikings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.