Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Binghamton Bearcats vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 139.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfdbee4541e18d98364d675b00b7a08961220b279d3280d3bc3a5183149554ee6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,217
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,550
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,217 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd435…826ebacked Over | 49c | 48,118$23,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,634.33 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 51c | 22,500$11,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,375 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 50c | 18,888$9,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,444 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 50c | 18,100$9,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,050.1 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Over | 50c | 12,000$5,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,040 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Under | 52c | 7,731$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 52c | 7,500$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Under | 52c | 5,571$2,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,897.14 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 5,500$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Over | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Over | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.99 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 52c | 4,540$2,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360.8 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Over | 49c | 4,343$2,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,214.92 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…c255backed Under | 50c | 4,039$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,019.76 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 51c | 4,000$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,020 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Over | 50c | 2,693$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.64 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 1,954$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.4 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked Under | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6337…62c5backed Under | 51c | 1,444$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.44 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 119 | 58.8%70 W · 49 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Under | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Under | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 267 | 40.8%109 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Under | 51c | 509.8$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Under | 49c | 500$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0a…7affbacked Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 60c | 330.91$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.24 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 49c | 313.91$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.81 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 51c | 281$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.31 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 51c | 229.41$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x096a…0074backed Under | 51c | 220$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.2 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 36c | 196.59$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.88 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 51c | 196.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 51c | 196$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…a39abacked Over | 49c | 162.24$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.24 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -7.3wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 30c | 128.75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.3 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 52c | 112.5$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 52c | 104.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.59 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…fd63backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 40c | 96$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.81 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbf…fb9fbacked Under | 73c | 95.89$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 51c | 88$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Over | 50c | 79.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8e…22c3backed Under | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Under | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Over | 50c | 55.2$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Under | 52c | 52.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed Under | 51c | 52.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 49c | 50.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Under | 51c | 45.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Under | 51c | 44.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Under | 29c | 43.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e3…ac06backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Over | 50c | 38.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f36…9bbabacked Under | 51c | 37.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d20…1f58backed Under | 62c | 27.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 51c | 26.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Under | 52c | 26.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc842…21ebbacked Over | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 47cpaid | -66%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a12…a366backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Binghamton Bearcats vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 139.5this page
- Binghamton Bearcats vs. UMBC RetrieversUMBC Retrievers won
- Binghamton Bearcats vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 138.5Over won
- Spread: UMBC Retrievers (-11.5)UMBC Retrievers won
- Spread: UMBC Retrievers (-12.5)UMBC Retrievers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.