Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Eastern Washington Eagles vs. Montana Grizzlies: O/U 151.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6d65f628b0cf8654cf832246113d24d0f856a6acfd1011819fdfa2e4ca35f52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $182,936
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $182,941
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $182,936 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd435…826ebacked Over | 51c | 120,622$61,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,527.46 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Under | 49c | 30,000$14,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,700 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 48c | 18,888$9,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,066.24 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Under | 50c | 18,519$9,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,259.25 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 50c | 17,500$8,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,750 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Under | 50c | 16,011$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 49c | 12,604$6,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,176.01 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 12,253$6,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,001.84 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 50c | 10,580$5,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,290 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Over | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Under | 49c | 5,913$2,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,897.6 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 49c | 5,577$2,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,757.3 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Over | 51c | 5,010$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,459.88 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Over | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Over | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.99 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Over | 51c | 4,434$2,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,176.78 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Under | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 49c | 2,060$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.41 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 50c | 2,020$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 1,502$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.98 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ea…0637backed Under | 49c | 1,324$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 50c | 868.4$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.24 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Under | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Under | 49c | 632.65$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 49c | 599.99$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 51c | 568.57$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.6 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Over | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Under | 49c | 510.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.39 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 470$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.6 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b4…e428backed Under | 50c | 366.3$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 50c | 280.44$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.22 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 49c | 275.36$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.88 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 50c | 262.5$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.25 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 50c | 244.99$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.45 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 49c | 244.88$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Over | 51c | 194.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.66 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 52c | 194.2$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.22 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 48c | 192.13$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.62 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a40…4093backed Over | 51c | 156.73$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Under | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0a…7affbacked Under | 49c | 145$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.05 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Under | 50c | 122.5$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.25 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Under | 50c | 112$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 214 | 55.6%119 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9cf4backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Over | 52c | 97.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.59 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…ecbfbacked Under | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Under | 48c | 79.03$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 50c | 76.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed Under | 50c | 61.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8e…22c3backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Under | 49c | 40.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…e949backed Under | 49c | 39.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x583b…9249backed Under | 49c | 34.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…569fbacked Under | 49c | 34.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Under | 50c | 26.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Over | 52c | 23.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 52c | 21.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4909…8f39backed Under | 50c | 21.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Eastern Washington Eagles vs. Montana Grizzlies: O/U 151.5this page
- Eastern Washington Eagles vs. Montana GrizzliesEastern Washington Eagles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.