Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
South Alabama Jaguars vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers: O/U 129.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3fbba8bb49d780785a4d645d4eab20b214b671acc3b6a3beef412b4fa7f96e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $159,476
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $164,210
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,476 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd435…826ebacked Over | 51c | 93,460$47,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,244.68 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Under | 49c | 28,327$14,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,326.9 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 50c | 17,544$8,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,847.93 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 50c | 17,500$8,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,825 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 49c | 16,000$7,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,160 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Over | 50c | 14,345$7,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,172.74 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Under | 50c | 10,526$5,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,307.86 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Over | 50c | 10,000$4,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,991.11 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 49c | 7,718$3,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,904.4 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 50c | 5,701$2,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,838.73 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 5,309$2,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700.14 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Over | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Under | 50c | 4,711$2,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,365.23 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Over | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Over | 52c | 3,433$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Over | 54c | 3,147$1,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,694 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Over | 52c | 3,016$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,558.31 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 49c | 2,402$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 49c | 2,004$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.7 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Under | 46c | 1,739$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.13 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x778d…cbe2backed Under | 49c | 1,476$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.76 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 50c | 1,356$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678 | 262 | 54.2%142 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 1,089$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.96 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 48c | 982.29$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.79 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 46c | 858.13$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.5 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under | 46c | 800$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Under | 46c | 630.43$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.43 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 50c | 400$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 50c | 337.47$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.74 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0a…7affbacked Under | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 50c | 262.51$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.38 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Under | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 50c | 192.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.36 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a9…565cbacked Over | 57c | 177.98$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.35 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Under | 50c | 132.92$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.46 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 50c | 125$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.25 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda3d…1846backed Over | 53c | 111.81$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Under | 49c | 80.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.99 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 48c | 78.88$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.98 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3746…a99fbacked Under | 48c | 77.39$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 50c | 70.83$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.42 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Under | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9021…bf4ebacked Over | 53c | 55.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Over | 51c | 49.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 210 | 59.5%125 W · 85 L | +17.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Under | 50c | 48.07$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7259…620cbacked Under | 52c | 47.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Over | 51c | 43.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 48c | 42.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…fef1backed Over | 53c | 40.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…515fbacked Over | 50c | 39.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Under | 45c | 39.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Under | 50c | 35.64$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 55c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a0…d84fbacked Over | 53c | 33.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Under | 50c | 31.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 55c | 29.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 46c | 27.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x170f…790bbacked Under | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +6.8wins | +0.36per pick | 54cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0c72…f3ffbacked Over | 43c | 23.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa686…e7a8backed Over | 53c | 20.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09bf…fd00backed Over | 53c | 18.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- South Alabama Jaguars vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers: O/U 129.5this page
- South Alabama Jaguars vs. Appalachian State MountaineersAppalachian State Mountaineers won
- South Alabama Jaguars vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers: O/U 130.5Under won
- South Alabama Jaguars vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers: O/U 131.5Under won
- Spread: Appalachian State Mountaineers (-4.5)Appalachian State Mountaineers won
- Spread: Appalachian State Mountaineers (-5.5)Appalachian State Mountaineers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.