Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
South Alabama Jaguars vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9313d873ae9a490128217a641bb23493cf377d9438a68cf822b48833fbf5b293
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Appalachian State Mountaineersof South Alabama Jaguars, Appalachian State Mountaineers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,401
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,399
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,401 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1624…bf63backed South Alabama Jaguars | 36c | 3,402$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.69 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed South Alabama Jaguars | 33c | 3,030$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +27%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 64c | 2,010$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.49 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 67c | 1,731$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.9 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 66c | 1,633$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.31 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 67c | 890.37$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 67c | 846.95$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.49 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3887backed South Alabama Jaguars | 30c | 722.44$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14b9…b6a9backed South Alabama Jaguars | 32c | 686.04$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 56 | 19.6%11 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 68c | 417.66$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.12 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked South Alabama Jaguars | 32c | 370.93$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.7 | 371 | 42.6%158 W · 213 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed South Alabama Jaguars | 23c | 340.87$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.16 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc44…e036backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 68c | 340.04$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.81 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed South Alabama Jaguars | 19c | 310.59$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.38 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed South Alabama Jaguars | 34c | 228.44$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.67 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked South Alabama Jaguars | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.06 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8127…c407backed South Alabama Jaguars | 31c | 172.46$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.34 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed South Alabama Jaguars | 18c | 168.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked South Alabama Jaguars | 14c | 165.68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked South Alabama Jaguars | 16c | 159.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked South Alabama Jaguars | 24c | 151.91$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a6…102bbacked South Alabama Jaguars | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed South Alabama Jaguars | 17c | 143$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3bf…87acbacked South Alabama Jaguars | 35c | 139.74$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed South Alabama Jaguars | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…2caebacked South Alabama Jaguars | 19c | 115.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed South Alabama Jaguars | 32c | 112$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x007c…82fdbacked South Alabama Jaguars | 17c | 110$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 69c | 106.94$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.88 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x496e…c7a8backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…ee8dbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 66c | 99.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd046…c496backed South Alabama Jaguars | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 70c | 89.78$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.23 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed South Alabama Jaguars | 18c | 81.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x212e…f69ebacked South Alabama Jaguars | 27c | 74.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed South Alabama Jaguars | 31c | 73.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 181 | 67.4%122 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked South Alabama Jaguars | 19c | 70.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed South Alabama Jaguars | 17c | 63.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 192 | 37%71 W · 121 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked South Alabama Jaguars | 25c | 63.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked South Alabama Jaguars | 32c | 62.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked South Alabama Jaguars | 36c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 181 | 29.3%53 W · 128 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed South Alabama Jaguars | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 63 | 19%12 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f5…ea6abacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaafa…3471backed South Alabama Jaguars | 34c | 58.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 252 | 30.6%77 W · 175 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2037…a613backed South Alabama Jaguars | 20c | 54.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -67%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed South Alabama Jaguars | 26c | 52.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…b0b4backed South Alabama Jaguars | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e87…5e74backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 66c | 49.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked South Alabama Jaguars | 33c | 49.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked South Alabama Jaguars | 26c | 47.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 79c | 46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31eb…847dbacked South Alabama Jaguars | 34c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd772…4b00backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 66c | 44.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b5…1ccfbacked South Alabama Jaguars | 31c | 42.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed South Alabama Jaguars | 37c | 37.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 200 | 24%48 W · 152 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…abb4backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 68c | 37.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f1…ebeebacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3947…6c1ebacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf06a…cfdabacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 68c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 67c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…e5f5backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 68c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 63c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 68c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 69c | 21.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 66c | 20.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…fb77backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d15…10c8backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 68c | 17.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda4d…217abacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 80c | 16.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.24 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…6fbdbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 66c | 15.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 72cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- South Alabama Jaguars vs. Appalachian State Mountaineersthis page
- South Alabama Jaguars vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers: O/U 129.5Under won
- South Alabama Jaguars vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers: O/U 130.5Under won
- South Alabama Jaguars vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers: O/U 131.5Under won
- Spread: Appalachian State Mountaineers (-4.5)Appalachian State Mountaineers won
- Spread: Appalachian State Mountaineers (-5.5)Appalachian State Mountaineers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.