Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
South Alabama Jaguars vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers: O/U 130.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05b3417f492c08f88523a7fc369ee51561092631cd4c134cdc66668804c955fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,173
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,830
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,173 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd435…826ebacked Over | 46c | 36,170$16,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,649.8 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 10,122$5,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,043.61 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 54c | 10,014$5,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,607.75 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 52c | 8,728$4,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,580.23 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Under | 54c | 6,052$3,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,783.79 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Over | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Over | 49c | 3,961$1,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940.74 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 54c | 3,889$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,788.94 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Under | 53c | 3,485$1,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638.08 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Under | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 54c | 1,436$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.7 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Under | 48c | 1,036$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.9 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 1,020$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.83 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 44c | 504$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.24 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Under | 47c | 470.53$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.82 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0a…7affbacked Under | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 53c | 225$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.75 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 47c | 165.93$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.99 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Under | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 45c | 123.16$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.77 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Under | 54c | 120.37$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.37 | 326 | 52.8%172 W · 154 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Under | 54c | 81.48$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8e…22c3backed Under | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 50c | 54.26$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…fea8backed Under | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54b0…b4f4backed Over | 50c | 45.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Under | 54c | 44.64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Under | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Under | 46c | 32.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Under | 54c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Over | 54c | 27.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c72…f3ffbacked Over | 41c | 24.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbe…03c5backed Under | 46c | 23.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bb…15eebacked Under | 55c | 23.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- South Alabama Jaguars vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers: O/U 130.5this page
- South Alabama Jaguars vs. Appalachian State MountaineersAppalachian State Mountaineers won
- South Alabama Jaguars vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers: O/U 129.5Under won
- South Alabama Jaguars vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers: O/U 131.5Under won
- Spread: Appalachian State Mountaineers (-4.5)Appalachian State Mountaineers won
- Spread: Appalachian State Mountaineers (-5.5)Appalachian State Mountaineers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.