TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x26f1…ebee

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
111
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: MLB, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT3850%19 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$34.05
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$28.78
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$25.6
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.27
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.21
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.46
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.66
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.03
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.42
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.12
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.54
Suns vs. Magicbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.7
76ers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$20.09
Celtics vs. Hawksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.7
Rockets vs. Pelicansbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.4
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.01
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.56
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.42
Rangers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Senators vs. Devilsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Bruins vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$27.62
Bruins vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Lightning vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
All 22 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT2250%11 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$32.63
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 22 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+40.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+87.5%+$26.25
Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Athletics vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+112.5%+$11.25
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Thomas (MN) Tommies vs. South Dakota State Jackrabbitsbacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.04
South Alabama Jaguars vs. Appalachian State Mountaineersbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Western Carolina Catamounts vs. UNCG Spartansbacked Western Carolina Catamounts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 3 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+86.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Birmingham: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Otto Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Sky vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+69.2%+$20.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$5.65
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.