TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

St. Thomas (MN) Tommies vs. South Dakota State Jackrabbits

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
St. Thomas (MN) Tommiesof St. Thomas (MN) Tommies, South Dakota State Jackrabbits
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$238,637
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$255,660

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $238,637 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7367…007fbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits47c80,250$37,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,717.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a06…e901backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies53c80,200$42,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,6941100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies49c16,329$7,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,331.6789645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits50c13,141$6,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,537.6924451.2%125 W · 119 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits51c12,500$6,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,37590645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x081b…1e22backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits47c6,298$2,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,959.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies53c5,038$2,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,357.85,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies53c4,383$2,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,060.0137441.7%156 W · 218 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies49c2,666$1,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,359.666043.3%26 W · 34 L-6.3wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-19.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits49c2,530$1,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,234.3112,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeeaa…10d6backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies53c2,411$1,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits51c2,150$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,096.589850%449 W · 449 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c03…1494backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies53c2,075$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies50c1,873$939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$933.891,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44e3…d5dabacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies53c1,811$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits51c1,500$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7653644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits49c1,300$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.452,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies54c876.65$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.945,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits46c799.48$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.761,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits52c630$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.62,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30037142.6%158 W · 213 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies56c550.6$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.9799848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits39c519.21$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.142,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies60c459.54$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.963,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb14…bd17backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18816350.9%83 W · 80 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies49c399.9$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.951,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits43c398.6$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.9368254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits50c388.67$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.511,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34fd…1852backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits56c296.89$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.48450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits50c281.7$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.8544549.4%220 W · 225 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies47c271$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.9272248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x930e…5668backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies49c251$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a50…3443backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits51c240$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7120…f318backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits51c235$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies51c227.14$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.5593447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits37c227.09$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.734,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7e1…153cbacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies49c224$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10040252.7%212 W · 190 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies51c197.18$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.5662451.1%319 W · 305 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6848462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies65c175$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.7914643.2%63 W · 83 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies57c171.34$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.631,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1487…d443backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies54c156.27$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.277648.7%37 W · 39 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits31c127.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.141,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies56c117.27$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.752,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4921455.6%119 W · 95 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9869…e817backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies53c94.45$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.391957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x850a…e5dbbacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3418167.4%122 W · 59 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits45c80$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3617241.3%71 W · 101 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits51c80$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.81,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits48c70.65$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.82,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits47c66.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.487451.4%38 W · 36 L+8.3wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+39.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3049849.6%247 W · 251 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies61c65.24$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.719259.8%55 W · 37 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x75cd…61a6backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits46c64.46$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.49966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+54.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x10b9…0a9bbacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies50c58.28$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.147350.7%37 W · 36 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a48…db20backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies71c56.64$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.643100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+147.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x57b5…1ccfbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits35c50.26$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.462619.2%5 W · 21 L-3.8wins-0.15per pick34cpaid-44.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xbc3a…e1f0backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.526848.1%129 W · 139 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f3d…fea8backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254658.7%27 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe113…375dbacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.171172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+33.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x752e…ecbfbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207352.1%38 W · 35 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaafa…3471backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025230.6%77 W · 175 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits29c40.41$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.763,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x584d…d358backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies49c37.7$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.19264.1%59 W · 33 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6fe…7a9abacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+20.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b64…d469backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.04580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+38.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26f1…ebeebacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb08b…1518backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies55c36.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.51650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb834…e4c1backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies70c36.32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.98350.6%42 W · 41 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49c…6dcabacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies49c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.367243.1%31 W · 41 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits43c33.6$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4537835.7%135 W · 243 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits47c31$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.434,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits52c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.664658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9487…54bbbacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1536248.6%176 W · 186 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies41c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.752353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits46c29.33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.621,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7e7…fef1backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits51c27.22$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.976238.7%24 W · 38 L-7.4wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb0a0…d84fbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits51c27.22$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.976144.3%27 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x212e…f69ebacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits39c27.05$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.59560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies76c26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2731666.1%209 W · 107 L+24.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits52c25.71$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4319653.1%104 W · 92 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x926c…a86bbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits46c25.65$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.82850%14 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+33.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies70c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.510095%95 W · 5 L+21.3wins+0.21per pick74cpaid+29.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x7f5f…99d3backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits51c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.751464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies50c23.74$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8138345.4%174 W · 209 L-18.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits50c23.71$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.851,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b98…e5d1backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies64c23.26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.332454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xef45…3976backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies62c20.74$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+103.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies50c20.08$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0416140.4%65 W · 96 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits52c20.07$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4121651.4%111 W · 105 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf395…ac0abacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1035650.8%181 W · 175 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79f1…178abacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103562.9%22 W · 13 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e77…ad85backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies53c18.94$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6588…1c46backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies61c18.64$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.19333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-45.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.