TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb6fe…7a9a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
101
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: MLB, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 60 out of 100; worst NHL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT3158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$34.05
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.26
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.78
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.45
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.23
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.42
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.64
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.01
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.03
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.42
Knicks vs. Thunderbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Celtics vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Pistons vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Bulls vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+86.2%+$34.48
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+72.8%+$14.56
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.46
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.98
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.42
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.02
Senators vs. Devilsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Senators vs. Lightningbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 21 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT2040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-28.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
All 20 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT1181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.29per pick53cpaid+56.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
MLB — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Cleveland Guardians vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Athletics vs. Houston Astrosbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astrosbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Tampa Bay Rays vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+20.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Thomas (MN) Tommies vs. South Dakota State Jackrabbitsbacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Florida Atlantic Owlsbacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Western Carolina Catamounts vs. UNCG Spartansbacked Western Carolina Catamounts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+316.7%+$63.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$9.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Sky vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$8.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Rizvan Kuniev vs. Jailton Almeida (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Almeida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.