MLB · resolved market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf792cf396c4c62ac101698a75885eaba32ed3c17866b250cdb8f8a73b2d87849
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pittsburgh Piratesof Pittsburgh Pirates, Houston Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $474,576
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $489,299
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $474,576 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 396 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 49,466$24,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,227.83 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced2…d98abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 64c | 47,242$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,242.47 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Houston Astros | 37c | 31,001$11,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,529.04 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Houston Astros | 51c | 25,500$13,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,005 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Houston Astros | 31c | 24,997$7,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,659.82 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 63c | 20,779$13,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,688.31 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,200 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a69…a466backed Houston Astros | 51c | 19,608$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Houston Astros | 49c | 19,017$9,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,249.25 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Houston Astros | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,650 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Houston Astros | 37c | 11,770$4,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,398.58 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Houston Astros | 43c | 11,327$4,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,870.67 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9e…1997backed Houston Astros | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Houston Astros | 39c | 9,727$3,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,811.02 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Houston Astros | 12c | 9,009$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.02 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 8,163$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,163.13 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Houston Astros | 52c | 7,354$3,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,823.89 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Houston Astros | 41c | 7,013$2,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,855.37 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf6…9af0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 6,013$2,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,066.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Houston Astros | 1c | 5,700$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 5,570$2,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,840.47 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 63c | 5,195$3,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,927.08 | 156 | 59%92 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Houston Astros | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.99 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 4,482$2,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,278.85 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Houston Astros | 50c | 4,346$2,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,172.76 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Houston Astros | 37c | 3,948$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.92 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 3,589$1,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,866.35 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Houston Astros | 36c | 3,528$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.52 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Houston Astros | 28c | 3,516$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.77 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Houston Astros | 52c | 3,014$1,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,563.65 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Houston Astros | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7f…a160backed Houston Astros | 51c | 2,892$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b3b5backed Houston Astros | 43c | 2,744$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.78 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Houston Astros | 50c | 2,742$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.67 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 2,636$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.72 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Houston Astros | 37c | 2,605$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.93 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…2ff4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 62c | 2,597$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.01 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…3aaebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 63c | 2,597$1,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.04 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Houston Astros | 52c | 2,451$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.05 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 64c | 2,327$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.72 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…7f7ebacked Houston Astros | 42c | 2,197$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.93 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Houston Astros | 44c | 2,140$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.85 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 2,030$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.74 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Houston Astros | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Houston Astros | 38c | 1,983$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.34 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed Houston Astros | 7c | 1,859$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.12 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 1,858$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.58 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Houston Astros | 8c | 1,765$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.24 | 218 | 41.3%90 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Houston Astros | 5c | 1,544$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.2 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 1,525$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.5 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Houston Astros | 52c | 1,435$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.25 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Houston Astros | 2c | 1,351$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Houston Astros | 44c | 1,229$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.51 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf786…f700backed Houston Astros | 39c | 1,173$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Houston Astros | 40c | 1,119$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.6 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 1,103$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.56 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 1,080$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.6 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 67c | 1,027$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.71 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…d601backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Houston Astros | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Houston Astros | 23c | 999.96$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.98 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 963$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.75 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Houston Astros | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0094…eea5backed Houston Astros | 12c | 853.33$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.2 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Houston Astros | 31c | 851.11$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.69 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Houston Astros | 34c | 814.6$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.91 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 810$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.1 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61cd…541ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 68c | 794.13$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.16 | 148 | 64.2%95 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Houston Astros | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 210 | 52.9%111 W · 99 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 760$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.43 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Houston Astros | 8c | 750$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.94 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 710.6$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.41 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Houston Astros | 40c | 699.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 62c | 645.69$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.69 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Houston Astros | 26c | 623.43$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.02 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 65c | 615.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.38 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 267 | 59.2%158 W · 109 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Houston Astros | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf77e…b594backed Houston Astros | 2c | 599.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 51 | 5.9%3 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +188.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Houston Astros | 43c | 598$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.45 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 579.72$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.25 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Houston Astros | 39c | 557.59$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.76 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Houston Astros | 51c | 532.17$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.79 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57fe…13c1backed Houston Astros | 36c | 531.31$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.27 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 62c | 515.55$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.91 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Houston Astros | 45c | 500.08$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.46 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Houston Astros | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Houston Astros | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 499.99$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Houston Astros | 25c | 499.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 75c | 498.15$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.12 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 63c | 488.59$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.57 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a5…cd84backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 484.55$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.43 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astrosthis page
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros: O/U 5.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros: O/U 6.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-3.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-5.5)Houston Astros won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.