MLB · resolved market
Cleveland Guardians vs. Milwaukee Brewers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbd49574ad8832c077eeb3abb42a681a1a38a68b7e807d5eacbc42dd19e2e6f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Milwaukee Brewersof Cleveland Guardians, Milwaukee Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $303,369
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $327,022
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $303,369 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 288 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Milwaukee Brewers | 68c | 20,894$14,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,610.31 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d3…709abacked Cleveland Guardians | 16c | 20,290$3,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,224.36 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 64c | 16,143$10,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,750.4 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cleveland Guardians | 21c | 14,962$3,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,117.77 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 80c | 13,480$10,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,724.83 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 13,084$7,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,495.26 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Cleveland Guardians | 23c | 12,868$2,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,990.04 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 12,638$7,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,181.39 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 73c | 9,188$6,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,445.04 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 7,143$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 7,014$2,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,875.62 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 6,378$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.67 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 5,483$2,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,303.04 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 4,261$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533.47 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Milwaukee Brewers | 71c | 4,256$3,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.86 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Cleveland Guardians | 21c | 4,245$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.23 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 3,644$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494.19 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.85 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 2,552$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.56 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 2,281$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.31 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 1,831$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.57 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 1,674$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.92 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54d7…7a20backed Cleveland Guardians | 18c | 1,629$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 1,543$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.36 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Cleveland Guardians | 21c | 1,492$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.86 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 1,181$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 1,027$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.28 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 1,017$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.95 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Cleveland Guardians | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 242 | 52.9%128 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5a…d0f0backed Cleveland Guardians | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 999.99$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 79c | 993.81$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.8 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Cleveland Guardians | 15c | 903.03$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.23 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cleveland Guardians | 21c | 888.32$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.4 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 74c | 858.31$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.74 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Cleveland Guardians | 20c | 836.9$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.65 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe478…28eabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6101…23bcbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 805.45$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.23 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 780$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.8 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Cleveland Guardians | 34c | 775.75$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.99 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 757.95$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.76 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 685.74$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.85 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Cleveland Guardians | 24c | 683.98$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.36 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 25c | 679$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.21 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 659.71$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.27 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 76c | 614.19$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.41 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 580$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.8 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 547.24$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.84 | 296 | 56.1%166 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 529.99$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x165f…d7c0backed Cleveland Guardians | 12c | 527.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.28 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…7a19backed Milwaukee Brewers | 77c | 526.5$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.72 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 524$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.29 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Cleveland Guardians | 27c | 499.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 268 | 57.8%155 W · 113 L | +26.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 488$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.2 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 488$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.08 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 21c | 470.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.57 | 276 | 52.9%146 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8528…44edbacked Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 467$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Cleveland Guardians | 35c | 450$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.72 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…1fafbacked Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 438.26$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.92 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abe…167dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 428$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Cleveland Guardians | 19c | 421.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 420$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.2 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Cleveland Guardians | 30c | 406.31$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.14 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Milwaukee Brewers | 74c | 392.69$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.34 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 358$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.36 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 348.84$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.51 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a70…4865backed Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb60…137abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…4a70backed Cleveland Guardians | 22c | 309$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 346 | 39.6%137 W · 209 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x640b…d920backed Cleveland Guardians | 10c | 305.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.44 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6862…8c75backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 305.08$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.08 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 297.62$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 280$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.8 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 240$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.4 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 76c | 236$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.47 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Cleveland Guardians | 23c | 233.68$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.76 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb05e…599abacked Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 232.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 231.48$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.86 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…8774backed Milwaukee Brewers | 79c | 228.88$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.71 | 75 | 69.3%52 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…5d2dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 228.73$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.07 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 223.36$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.58 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094d…5a65backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 211.73$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 205.11$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.1 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Cleveland Guardians | 32c | 204.38$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 23c | 200$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 704 | 50.1%353 W · 351 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 198.97$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.57 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a70…76b5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 196.43$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.43 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd82…9f66backed Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 193.55$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.55 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 187.42$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.44 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…aa54backed Cleveland Guardians | 21c | 185.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.32 | 242 | 43%104 W · 138 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0f…c535backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 185.8$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87ec…138fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 169.51$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.59 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…291abacked Cleveland Guardians | 15c | 164.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +102.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 164$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.24 | 391 | 51.9%203 W · 188 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Milwaukee Brewersthis page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Milwaukee BrewersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.