TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Timberwolves

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Timberwolvesof Pelicans, Timberwolves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,400,600
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,429,857

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,400,600 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 617 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Pelicans42c161,883$67,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67,495.336549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x73ff…0facbacked Pelicans41c105,531$43,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,413.866357.1%36 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Pelicans34c77,109$26,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,221.2211137.8%42 W · 69 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Timberwolves58c69,961$40,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,297.1666248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Pelicans13c57,871$7,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,691.61,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Timberwolves74c41,507$30,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,929.761,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Timberwolves66c39,936$26,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,431.524,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Timberwolves73c39,621$29,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,579.0920744%91 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Timberwolves60c35,597$21,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,413.221,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ccc…f2dabacked Timberwolves69c30,000$20,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,299.965064%32 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Pelicans22c29,972$6,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,451.771,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cde…b97dbacked Timberwolves73c28,549$20,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,745.7212251.6%63 W · 59 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Pelicans1c28,125$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.1564517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Pelicans3c27,067$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.911,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Pelicans33c25,104$8,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,284.2349244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Timberwolves76c25,000$18,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,07019653.6%105 W · 91 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Pelicans24c24,263$5,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,754.7132540.3%131 W · 194 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Timberwolves70c16,041$11,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,849.853,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Pelicans27c12,915$3,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,520.791,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Timberwolves66c11,755$7,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,996.771,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves63c11,481$7,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,286.759,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Pelicans3c11,317$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.1236023.1%83 W · 277 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Pelicans28c10,255$2,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,858.472,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Timberwolves74c9,782$7,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,558.3621350.7%108 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Pelicans30c8,627$2,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,588.259646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Pelicans23c8,579$1,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,969.0763746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7829…cfd3backed Pelicans31c7,238$2,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,264.292842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Timberwolves59c6,570$3,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,674.085,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pelicans21c6,550$1,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,378.528,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Pelicans28c6,484$1,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,796.941,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Pelicans23c6,400$1,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,447.732,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa73a…656abacked Pelicans22c5,909$1,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,286.225226.6%67 W · 185 L-26.7wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-49.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Pelicans36c5,779$2,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,080.5220744.9%93 W · 114 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6df…dda7backed Pelicans20c5,641$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,104.0924247.1%114 W · 128 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pelicans23c5,564$1,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,293.882,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Pelicans0c5,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves66c4,216$2,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,444.394,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Pelicans24c4,177$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.0358953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Pelicans25c4,085$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.611,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Timberwolves76c3,979$3,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.9346847.4%222 W · 246 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Pelicans28c3,979$1,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,130.7542640.4%172 W · 254 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e59…307dbacked Timberwolves75c3,940$2,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9858859.1%52 W · 36 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Pelicans20c3,907$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.9818941.8%79 W · 110 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed Pelicans10c3,516$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.854214.3%6 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-68%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Timberwolves65c3,086$1,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,090.7579650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Pelicans31c3,000$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93082442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Timberwolves66c2,877$1,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968.8131046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Pelicans20c2,567$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.8210447.1%49 W · 55 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8be2…494abacked Timberwolves70c2,457$1,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.952673.1%19 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Pelicans21c2,401$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.682,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Timberwolves66c2,357$1,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.0472450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Timberwolves77c2,302$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.2914357.3%82 W · 61 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Pelicans30c2,300$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.233,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Pelicans21c2,199$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.9817326.6%46 W · 127 L+0.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Pelicans38c2,032$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.264734%16 W · 31 L-6.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-30.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Timberwolves68c2,030$1,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.361,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Pelicans16c2,028$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.824937.3%93 W · 156 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-35%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90d9…56c4backed Timberwolves67c2,004$1,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.423571.4%25 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x43f2…09a5backed Timberwolves65c2,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70012756.7%72 W · 55 L+8.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4e3…1080backed Pelicans33c2,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6607842.3%33 W · 45 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b8c…8c15backed Timberwolves78c2,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4401681.3%13 W · 3 L+3.6wins+0.22per pick59cpaid+31.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Pelicans39c1,976$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.7214355.9%80 W · 63 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed Timberwolves72c1,954$1,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.055446.3%25 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Pelicans31c1,883$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.7986641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Timberwolves73c1,880$1,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.612850%64 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Pelicans39c1,842$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.351,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd21…a494backed Timberwolves70c1,695$1,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.645246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Pelicans34c1,633$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.1118743.3%81 W · 106 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Timberwolves67c1,629$1,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.1543438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7120…7c4ebacked Pelicans12c1,621$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.228923.6%21 W · 68 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-34.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5127…de1ebacked Pelicans12c1,594$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.0817944.1%79 W · 100 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Pelicans21c1,518$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.531,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6911…5318backed Pelicans11c1,510$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.152653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+18.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x093e…54c1backed Timberwolves69c1,493$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.961752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x254b…18c5backed Timberwolves70c1,477$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.11425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Pelicans15c1,443$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.291417.8%11 W · 130 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick13cpaid-46.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d43…ce68backed Timberwolves68c1,442$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.5517247.7%82 W · 90 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Pelicans32c1,400$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.1471654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed Timberwolves71c1,384$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.3443269.2%299 W · 133 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Pelicans3c1,353$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.961,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Pelicans18c1,328$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.6941753.2%222 W · 195 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Pelicans20c1,298$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.6629848%143 W · 155 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Timberwolves60c1,284$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.771449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Pelicans28c1,270$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.853,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Timberwolves68c1,261$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.5915140.4%61 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x53cd…11b3backed Pelicans18c1,246$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.999139.6%36 W · 55 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Timberwolves69c1,245$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.5537355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Pelicans26c1,160$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.1668838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0659…0f2bbacked Timberwolves75c1,133$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.196440.6%26 W · 38 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x42d0…77e2backed Timberwolves72c1,107$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+142.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Timberwolves76c1,105$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.9236243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Timberwolves60c1,100$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44068645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked Timberwolves70c1,091$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.43647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Timberwolves70c1,075$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.1148944.2%216 W · 273 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Timberwolves67c1,050$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.544740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xca8c…5d88backed Timberwolves73c1,045$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.13974.4%29 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf30…8b95backed Pelicans30c1,011$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.463636.1%13 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a5c…0fc2backed Timberwolves62c1,003$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.5110255.9%57 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfca2…9488backed Timberwolves72c1,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+45.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5669…e058backed Timberwolves71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2903161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+51.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.